Tol-in-Gaurhoth XLVII: Dueling Wizards Werewolf II

[Diamond18]

Originally Posted by Celuien

Yes, but a reveal would make tonight the last night available since a duel is highly likely tomorrow... if there weren't a reveal now, there would at least be a full roster of gifted tomorrow, plus one extra night for seering/scrying. And there's the what if scenario where the one who's scried turns out to be a wolf, and all we get is the return of an ordo with no chance to fill out the roster. Does that make more sense?

Yes. YES! Celuien makes sense.

If we don't kill a wolf today, (CAILIN) the GW is force to scry her tonight to make her an ordo. The GW doesn't get to make a Ranger!!!!

If we kill Cailin, we're down a wolf and the GW gets to make a Ranger in the night!

Honestly, I find tp's claim to be the Hunter believable. He's been acting like he owns the world ever since Day 1, which does fit with the notion that he's got a lethal power and knows who the GW is. (Since Night 1). He's been consistent. Consistency is a good thing.

[the phantom]

No, Lommy, don't you start this now.

If you believe me, lynch Cailin!

If you believe Rikae, you might as well just lynch me rather than Legate.

But I hope that I can convince you that I'm the good guy. Hold on one sec. Let me prepare a post that might help everyone think this through.

[the phantom]

the phantom = Good Guy

Let's think this through.

What am I hoping to accomplish if I am evil? I must be trying to accomplish something, right?

What are the possibilities?

1) Get Cailin lynched.

But would I really take such a risk just to lynch someone that there is no possible way I know their identity? It would be one thing if I knew Cailin was the Seer or something, but sorry, the EW and WWs don't know anything of the sort. It is obviously ridiculous for the EW or a WW to reveal just to lynch someone.

2) Protect Legate.

But that makes no sense. The only Evil player worth protecting like that would be the EW, and Legate can't possibly be the EW since Rikae's already said he's a WW. And you know good and well that another WW is not going to reveal himself just to protect another WW that has already been discovered. It makes no sense. (And even more obviously the EW won't reveal just to save an already discovered WW.)

Read those two points carefully. If you don't understand them, please ask for clarification.

It makes no logical sense that I would be a lying Baddie.

Period.