Werewolf LIII: The Republic - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Thinlómien · 12-05-2008, 03:50 PM

Just out of interest, living people bolded, mods in italics:

the phantom 329
Boromir88 240
Nerwen 121
Thinlómien 116
mormegil 102
Rune Son of Bjarne 95
Brinniel 94
Shastanis Althreduin 92
A Little Green 85
satansaloser2005 85
Feanor of the Peredhil 80
Nogrod 79
Gwathagor 57
Ilya 54
Aganzir 44
Kath 41
Eönwë 33
Legate of Amon Lanc 33
Mithalwen 28
Gil-Galad 12
McCaber 11
THE Ka 9
Rikae 6
Diamond18 2
Formendacil 1

Phantom's post count is monstrous.

But I'm not sure if I've ever had this many posts in a single game either.

Yes, you're allowed to ask why I'm doing stuff like this. I'm just talking because no one else is. Who knows if I will inspire someone to write something, to write whatever. Because we've fallen back into silence...

Thinlómien · 12-05-2008, 04:01 PM

Nerwen and Greenie, what do you think of lynching Gil? If you (still) don't approve of it, do you have any better ideas?

Kath · 12-05-2008, 04:35 PM

I'm around Lommy.

The more I've seen of Brinn toDay the less I have suspected her. Brinn I thought came across as very innocent in the floodposting she did, I don't believe a wolvish Brinn would speak out that much or that there wouldn't be anything jumping out as suspicious in all that talk. Oh and to answer a question of hers, that thing I said about lynching her for her long posts was indeed a joke.

Unfortunately that means I've lost pretty much the only suspect I have! I've been thinking about the double lynch idea but I really don't know who I would put on the lynching block with Gil.

Thinlómien · 12-05-2008, 04:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kath

Unfortunately that means I've lost pretty much the only suspect I have! I've been thinking about the double lynch idea but I really don't know who I would put on the lynching block with Gil.

If we make a double lynch we lose all we gain by lynching Gil. If we want to double lynch people, I suggest picking two people that might actually be wolves, not Gil.

Kath · 12-05-2008, 05:01 PM

I'm getting very tired and very confused - please explain?

Thinlómien · 12-05-2008, 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kath

I'm getting very tired and very confused - please explain?

If we double lynch, today is the final Day. So then we'd better get it right. And if we want to get it right, we don't lynch Gil.

If we just single lynch today, toMorrow is the final Day and Gil's death has simply bought us time and removed one more option from our lynch list.

Btw, assuming that we two and Gil are innocent, we have a 66% chance of getting it right if we double-lynch two of the others. Tempting, isn't it? But then again, if we get it wrong...

Kath · 12-05-2008, 05:11 PM

Random calculations here ... because I'm not sure you're right.

Alive:
Kath
Lommy
Nerwen
Greenie
Brinn
Gil

Gil and Nerwen die lynched.

Lommy dies by kill.

Alive next Day:
Kath
Greenie
Brinn

So wouldn't we still have toMorrow as well?

Thinlómien · 12-05-2008, 05:16 PM

Noogles is kind of pressuring me to get done with ww so that he can send his audio clips to Brinn...

So, Kath, what shall we do? Shall we lynch Gil as was planned? Or shall we gamble and go for a risky double-lynch? If we do that (I'm not sure if it's wise) I insist we lynch Nerwen at least.

The profit of the double-lynch is that we get to remove two unknowns while toMorrow we only get to remove one. One other player will be removed by then, yes, but it's most probably me whom no one suspects, so it won't really probably remove a lynch option in anyone's mind.

The profit of lynching Gil is that we still have more time and our lynch toMorrow will probably be better thought of than any ex tempore double lynch right now.

Still, I'm tempted... Aieee.

edit: xed with Kath

12-05-2008, 03:50 PM	#1
Thinlómien Shady She-Penguin Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: In a far land beyond the Sea Posts: 8,093	Just out of interest, living people bolded, mods in italics: the phantom 329 Boromir88 240 Nerwen 121 Thinlómien 116 mormegil 102 Rune Son of Bjarne 95 Brinniel 94 Shastanis Althreduin 92 A Little Green 85 satansaloser2005 85 Feanor of the Peredhil 80 Nogrod 79 Gwathagor 57 Ilya 54 Aganzir 44 Kath 41 Eönwë 33 Legate of Amon Lanc 33 Mithalwen 28 Gil-Galad 12 McCaber 11 THE Ka 9 Rikae 6 Diamond18 2 Formendacil 1 Phantom's post count is monstrous. But I'm not sure if I've ever had this many posts in a single game either. Yes, you're allowed to ask why I'm doing stuff like this. I'm just talking because no one else is. Who knows if I will inspire someone to write something, to write whatever. Because we've fallen back into silence... __________________ Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris

12-05-2008, 04:01 PM	#2
Thinlómien Shady She-Penguin Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: In a far land beyond the Sea Posts: 8,093	Nerwen and Greenie, what do you think of lynching Gil? If you (still) don't approve of it, do you have any better ideas? __________________ Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris

12-05-2008, 04:35 PM	#3
Kath Everlasting Whiteness Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: Perusing the laminated book of dreams Posts: 4,533	I'm around Lommy. The more I've seen of Brinn toDay the less I have suspected her. Brinn I thought came across as very innocent in the floodposting she did, I don't believe a wolvish Brinn would speak out that much or that there wouldn't be anything jumping out as suspicious in all that talk. Oh and to answer a question of hers, that thing I said about lynching her for her long posts was indeed a joke. Unfortunately that means I've lost pretty much the only suspect I have! I've been thinking about the double lynch idea but I really don't know who I would put on the lynching block with Gil. __________________ “If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.”

12-05-2008, 05:01 PM	#5
Kath Everlasting Whiteness Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: Perusing the laminated book of dreams Posts: 4,533	I'm getting very tired and very confused - please explain? __________________ “If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.”

12-05-2008, 05:11 PM	#7
Kath Everlasting Whiteness Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: Perusing the laminated book of dreams Posts: 4,533	Random calculations here ... because I'm not sure you're right. Alive: Kath Lommy Nerwen Greenie Brinn Gil Gil and Nerwen die lynched. Lommy dies by kill. Alive next Day: Kath Greenie Brinn So wouldn't we still have toMorrow as well? __________________ “If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.”

12-05-2008, 05:16 PM	#8
Thinlómien Shady She-Penguin Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: In a far land beyond the Sea Posts: 8,093	Noogles is kind of pressuring me to get done with ww so that he can send his audio clips to Brinn... So, Kath, what shall we do? Shall we lynch Gil as was planned? Or shall we gamble and go for a risky double-lynch? If we do that (I'm not sure if it's wise) I insist we lynch Nerwen at least. The profit of the double-lynch is that we get to remove two unknowns while toMorrow we only get to remove one. One other player will be removed by then, yes, but it's most probably me whom no one suspects, so it won't really probably remove a lynch option in anyone's mind. The profit of lynching Gil is that we still have more time and our lynch toMorrow will probably be better thought of than any ex tempore double lynch right now. Still, I'm tempted... Aieee. edit: xed with Kath __________________ Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris

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