Game Thread: Werewolf- this time it's real!

[A Little Green]

Originally Posted by Kent

Are all early votes safe?

Dunno - I'd say early voting is safe if in case you vote early even if you could be around at deadline. If you vote early because you just can't be around at deadline, however, I wouldn't call it safe voting. Safe voting, the way I think of it, is something you can choose, whereas the time zone you live in generally isn't.


EDIT: x-ed with Nog

[A Little Green]

Originally Posted by Nog

Basically that's exactly what I'm after: I'm driving towards identifying them...

Are you for letting them to be concealed?

No, I am not. You didn't seem to get my point. My point was that if the wolves all have their 10 bonus votes left they aren't exactly likely to go around Night-killing every innocent having as much bonus votes in order to stay concealed - especially if the general consensus is that anyone having all their bonus votes left is suspicious. Therefore, it might well be that the assumption your hypothesis is based on is invalid - and, as you philosophy teacher probably know, a hypothesis based on an invalid assumption is likely to be invalid too.


EDIT: x-ed with Sally, Nog and Sally

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by A Little Green

Therefore, it might well be that the assumption your hypothesis is based on is invalid - and, as you philosophy teacher probably know, a hypothesis based on an invalid assumption is likely to be invalid too.

Haha! Love you for that!

Sadly that's a bit more complicated than that.

A logical deduction from true premises is always valid and true. (how one assures oneself of whether the premises are true is a much more problematic question)

A logical deduction from false premises (including at least one false premise) is logically valid as well, but might be true or false in content. (eg. "Sally is a duck"; "ducks can swim" eg. "Sally can swim" - the deduction is valid and the result is probably true, but one of the premises seems false - or does it? )

But also an illogical deduction can be true in content even if it's logically not valid - even if it rarely is.

But a hypothesis is something you can test reality with by experimenting with it.

An unsuccesful result shows the hypothesis was false.

A succesful result is more open to interpretation. To some it "confirms" the hypothesis, to others it "gives credibility" to it, and to some it just "does not prove the hypothesis false" (falsify it).

[satansaloser2005]

But I'm not a duck! Or a witch! And this isn't my nose, it's a false one!


(Sorry, I couldn't resist popping in with that. Won't see me for a few hours now.)