TIG: LXV - Our fate lies with...them?

[Formendacil]

Originally Posted by Mirandir

That is seriously all he posted. Based on this meager amount, I personally don't see any ranger hints. Furthermore, I certainly don't see any reason why the bear would kill him. He doesn't mention the bear at all (unless I missed something), and thus doesn't leave any clues as to who he thinks it might be. Why bother killing someone who doesn't post a lot and thereby is probably going to be an easy lynch target for his lack of participation. I don't get it.

Granted, I'm going to look my answer is too right and fits too perfectly... but that seems perfectly obvious to me--Shasta was quiet and left no trail, and therefore the Bear would kill him--to leave no trail. I've mentioned this a couple times already, and I think it's fair to bring it up again, but the Bear should be a lot harder to find than Wolves or a Seer, because s/he has no knowledge of anyone's roles--same as an Ordo. Theories that Bears can't help giving themselves away aside (because while they have some credence, they're not really relevant to the night kills), it would be in the Bear's best interest to kill the quiet ones at night, because this keeps them as anonymous as their daytime knowledge might.

Brinn's death also fits that pattern. Hakon's? Well... Hakon's death doesn't fit it as obviously, but it does fit. At least, it seems to me anyway, that there's pretty much no way on the basis of Day 1 that Hakon's demise would implicate anyone, and I would interpret that in the same way: the Bear is sniping people leaving no trail, and that's the whole point.