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Old 11-07-2009, 09:26 PM   #11
Brinniel
Reflection of Darkness
 
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Polishing the stars. Well, somebody has to do it; they're looking a little bit dull.
Posts: 2,983
Brinniel is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Brinniel is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Brinniel is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.
I'm finally here, and thinking.

Fea was one of my top candidates, but obviously we now know she's not a wolf. At this stage of the game, she and Spm are more likely to cause us more harm unfortunately. Because they're going to help whoever gives them the greatest advantage, which would right now be the wolves. We can promise not to lynch them and the ranger can protect them, but they can still be killed at Night. If the wolves decide to side up with them and not lynch or kill them, the lovers are basically guaranteed survival. And if we end up lynching an innocent toDay, there's no need for the wolves to kill them since they can use them to sway toMorrow's vote their way. The good thing is that lovers can't know for certain who the wolves are and even if they want to side with them, they could end up helping us to lynch a wolf anyway. Really, if we want any chance of winning, we need to lynch a wolf toDay. With one wolf down, it's probably less likely the lovers and wolves will team up since they'll need to survive more Days and having two known innocents around is dangerous.

So who to lynch then? I need to go back and look at everyone more carefully. Roa's vote switch to Fea is rather odd. McCaber doesn't look any better from yesterDay, so I could end up voting him again. I suspected Loslote earlier in the game, and would like to look at her again. Then there's others like Nerwen who have fallen under my radar.
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