TIG LXIX: Meeting at the House of Usher

[Brinniel]

I'm finally here, and thinking.

Fea was one of my top candidates, but obviously we now know she's not a wolf. At this stage of the game, she and Spm are more likely to cause us more harm unfortunately. Because they're going to help whoever gives them the greatest advantage, which would right now be the wolves. We can promise not to lynch them and the ranger can protect them, but they can still be killed at Night. If the wolves decide to side up with them and not lynch or kill them, the lovers are basically guaranteed survival. And if we end up lynching an innocent toDay, there's no need for the wolves to kill them since they can use them to sway toMorrow's vote their way. The good thing is that lovers can't know for certain who the wolves are and even if they want to side with them, they could end up helping us to lynch a wolf anyway. Really, if we want any chance of winning, we need to lynch a wolf toDay. With one wolf down, it's probably less likely the lovers and wolves will team up since they'll need to survive more Days and having two known innocents around is dangerous.

So who to lynch then? I need to go back and look at everyone more carefully. Roa's vote switch to Fea is rather odd. McCaber doesn't look any better from yesterDay, so I could end up voting him again. I suspected Loslote earlier in the game, and would like to look at her again. Then there's others like Nerwen who have fallen under my radar.

[satansaloser2005]

Voting now. Sorry, but I keep about dozing off and I want to make sure I vote.

++Roa


Fea and Saucie, please consider helping us out. I know you don't have to but we (that is, the innocents) are certainly more trustworthy than the wolves. Just sayin'.



Okay, that's it for me for now. I'll be sure to save up more energy for toMorrow.

[Nienna]

Roa--> Nerwen
Roa-- Nerwen
Roa--> Fea
Lottie--> McCaber
Nog--> McCaber (2)
SPM--> Roa
Sally--> Roa (2)

[Inziladun]

I see SPM made good on his earlier threat to vote Roa for threatening his beloved with lynching.

So we have votes for McCaber (2), Roa (2), and Fea (1).

I don't trust Roa at the moment, but SPM's vote can't be considered an indication he thinks she might be a wolf, because we have no way of knowing which side he's taken. However, there are still more innocents than wolves, I think, so it's in the lovers' interests to help the village.
McCaber just seems too easy. If innocent, he's perfect for wolves, because he's really does look like he could be a sly wolf cruising through quietly, while so much else has occupied our attention, as Nerwen said.
This could well be the vote that makes or breaks the game, so I'd really like to get it right.
Now Sally's gone for Roa. I wonder if there's anything to the way she made sure to note that she meant 'we' to refer to the village. I think her meaning would have clear without that.

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by Inziladun

McCaber just seems too easy. If innocent, he's perfect for wolves, because he's really does look like he could be a sly wolf cruising through quietly, while so much else has occupied our attention, as Nerwen said.

Now Sally's gone for Roa. I wonder if there's anything to the way she made sure to note that she meant 'we' to refer to the village. I think her meaning would have clear without that.

Oh, that was rather a wicked-looking comment of Sally's... I wonder if she could be one of them? Not really much for or against it, but that's because she's been a submarine.

Meanwhile, the two most obvious lynch-candidates are Roa and McCaber, and in different ways both of them look a bit too easy... but then anyone else would be almost random.

The thing is, I think if Roa is a wolf, that implies McCaber is too, anyway, because otherwise he would be a nice, easy lynch for her.

[Inziladun]

All right.

++McCaber

[Nerwen]

Well, then–

++McCaber.

If he's a wolf, either Sally or Roa might well be another, but not, from the look of things, both.

If Roa gets it instead and she's a wolf, I suggest McCaber is too.

And if whoever gets lynched toDay is innocent, I guess we're done for– unless our Machiavellian lovebirds have a change of heart.

(Hey, I meant that about you two being clever. Really. I did. )

EDIT X'd with Zil and Brinn.

[Brinniel]

McCaber: His lack of contribution is bad enough. Then toDay he does a 180 on Nogrod and he says he around, but doesn't provide any substance. If you're around, why not contribute? If McCaber's submarine-like behaviour is due to RL reasons, then I can understand a bit better. But he hasn't said that, so I'm not going to assume it is.

Sally: Is another submarine, but she has stated that's due to RL. Her vote for Hakon on Day One looks bad, but that's not enough alone for me to think her a wolf. Her vote toDay looks like she's trying to suck up to the lovers, not sure what to think about that as it could go either way. Right now I'm feeling slightly concerned about her.

Nerwen: Has contributed, is consistent, and I agree with a lot she says. So far she looks okay in my book.

Inziladun: Has been contributing a fair amount. Nothing about him stands out to me as particularly suspicious.

Pitchwife: Hasn't shown up toDay, but I believe he stated he wouldn't be able to. His vote for Boro on Day One seemed to come from nowhere and he does play a bit safe at times following what others say, but I'm finding not much else. At the moment, I'm feeling pretty neutral about him.

Loslote: Her Day One vote is still really bad, and when she explained it she said she didn't know there was a bandwagon. But I think it was pretty clear by then that one was forming. On Day 2, her opinions of players looked rather safe, though toDay she's much more decisive. If McCaber turns out innocent, she's definitely one to be looked at.

Nogrod: Was a bit iffy at times during the last two Days, Day One for his vote and yesterDay from some interactions with other players. Though toDay I'm finding him to be quite reasonable, so I think I'll leave him alone for the time being.

Roa: She didn't really stick out to me as suspicious up until the lovers' reveal. Then she kinda freaked out. Was that because she's a wolf who now has to deal with two known innocents, or because she's an innocent who's certain the lovers have sided with the wolves and thinks we're doomed? I don't think her original vote for Nerwen was too odd; she was rushed and didn't have time to properly analyse. But that switch to Fea is very fishy. I won't count out the possibility she did it out of sheer annoyance, but it still looks pretty bad.

[Brinniel]

Hmm...it looks like it's between McCaber and Roa toDay (unless we want to join Roa and vote Fea ).

I'm going to vote now since yesterDay I cut it far too close (and I almost am again). McCaber has been my top suspect for two Days now. He's not contributing at all and it doesn't look like he intends to anytime soon. While I'm pretty suspicious of Roa's behaviour toDay, I'm still not quite sure about her as part of her behaviour could've been from frustration.

So..

++McCaber

EDIT: x-ed with Nerwen