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Old 11-08-2009, 11:02 PM   #1
satansaloser2005
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On a less related note, I need some sleep. Oh, and I realize I left Pitch out of my list yesterDay; it was a complete oversight because I wasn't well. Sorry about that.

To bed with me now. Yay for the lynch on Cabbie, as he was my other top suspect (still, Roa is my first) and I'm glad to know I got something right for once. Maybe if I get some sleep it'll happen again.
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Old 11-08-2009, 11:06 PM   #2
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So.

How 'bout that Night discussion?

I bet it was riveting.
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Old 11-08-2009, 11:08 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by Feanor of the Peredhil View Post
So.

How 'bout that Night discussion?

I bet it was riveting.
*chokes on water* Fea, I love you.
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Old 11-08-2009, 11:11 PM   #4
Feanor of the Peredhil
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Now, now, Mira, there are better things to be choking on at 12:11 AM. Don't hurt yourself.
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Old 11-08-2009, 11:16 PM   #5
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Not so much when I'm at work, unfortunately. People need to be around to amuse me. Kthx.
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Old 11-09-2009, 04:13 AM   #6
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So.

How 'bout that Night discussion?

I bet it was riveting.
Isn’t she just adorable.

So, matters remain in the balance and we remain neutral (though open to offers). It's a shame really, as yesterDay’s voting record is a real juicy one, just ripe for analysis.

Here it is anyway, as it is traditional for me to post it:

Roa -> Nerwen (Nerwen - 1)
Roa -- Nerwen -> Fea (Fea - 1)
Loslote -> McCaber (Fea - 1, McCaber - 1)
Nogrod -> McCaber (Fea - 1, McCaber - 2)
SPM -> Roa (Fea - 1, McCaber - 2, Roa - 1)
Sally -> Roa (Fea - 1, McCaber - 2, Roa - 2)
Inzil -> McCaber (Fea - 1, McCaber - 3, Roa - 2)
Nerwen -> McCaber (Fea - 1, McCaber - 4, Roa - 2)
Brinn -> McCaber (Fea - 1, McCaber - 5, Roa - 2)
Fea -> Roa (Fea - 1, McCaber - 5, Roa - 3)

Did not vote: Pitch, McCaber

Make of it what you will.

Edit: I left my beloved off the voting record. How could I forget her!
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Old 11-09-2009, 05:02 AM   #7
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Thanks for the list, SPM.

Now, I said yesterDay evening that Roa and Sally were unlikely to both be wolves, but that was silly. At the time Sally voted, only Fea, Roa and McWolfer had votes and it was only five minutes to DL. So if she's a wolf and Roa and McCaber her packmates, she'd have known one of them was going down whatever she did.

This is not an accusation– I'm merely saying there's no particular reason Sally's vote on Roa couldn't have been wolf-on-wolf.
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Old 11-09-2009, 05:22 AM   #8
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Well, then. From my point of view, three of these people must be wolves:

Roa
Loslote
Nogrod
Sally
Inzil
Brinn


Which means that at least one wolf has a.) managed to attract little or no suspicion and b.) helped lynch McWolfer. And for it to be only one, Roa and Sally would have to be the other two.

If it's neither of them, the pack would have to include three out of the group of Loslote, Nogrod Brinn and Inzil. (It must include at least one of them.)
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Old 11-09-2009, 06:29 AM   #9
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Originally Posted by Nerwen View Post
Well, then. From my point of view, three of these people must be wolves:

Roa
Loslote
Nogrod
Sally
Inzil
Brinn


Which means that at least one wolf has a.) managed to attract little or no suspicion and b.) helped lynch McWolfer. And for it to be only one, Roa and Sally would have to be the other two.
I think Sally is almost certainly a wolf, and I intend for her to be my vote toDay.
Submarine+Dodgy Voting= Evil (it did in McCaber's case!)

Now, the others. I'm going almost entirely on memory here, because I haven't the time to do otherwise just now.

Roa: Well.... Early spat with SPM (who's presumed innocent now, but we can't assume he's been playing with our best interests in mind); Voted for SPM on Day 1, Greenie on Day 2, and Fea Day 3. I need to look at her more closely, but I don't see why should couldn't be a wolf.

Nog: The thing that jumps out about him is that he's been after McCaber from the start. Sure, it could have been wolf on wolf, but didn't he vote for McCaber fairly early on during Day 1, when several still had to vote?

Lottie: I've suspected her off and on, mostly because of her Day 1 vote, which came late, against Morsul. I've caught her in at least one slip, but she's given a plausible explanation. She was, I think, the first vote for McCaber on Day 2. Granted, he wasn't really a serious candidate at that point.

Brinn: she's one I haven't looked at much, and it's high time to do so. I think she also voted for McCaber at least once before yesterDay, on Day 2 after Lottie.

Nerwen: another who's mostly slipped by me.

LIke I said, I think I'm voting Sally toDay, but Brinn and Nerwen need analyzing.
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Old 11-09-2009, 06:45 AM   #10
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Nerwen, McCaber had no votes at the time I voted, and while some people had expressed suspicion towards him, others had expressed suspicion towards Loslote, and there were some other suspicions around as well.

McCaber
to me looked to be an east target for the wolves to lynch, and I was under the impression of extreme busyness on his end. One of the points against him was that he said he would be around and then wasn't, but on Day 1 the same thing happened and on Day 2 he said it was because his internet gave out. I wanted to give him the benefit of the doubt, which is why I imagine everyone ignored Pitch as a possible suspect as well.

I picked you off the list because no one has actually looked at you yet. I was hoping in the hours after my departure someone would, but no one did, and while we caught one wolf the others could have easily hidden in the bandwagon, making the votes useless.

And did you think Nerwen, that perhaps those who voted for me were trying to save McCaber, since I was the easiest replacement lynch at the time, and wasn't around to defend myself after all the suspicion started to accrue? Or were you hoping that that idea wouldn't come up? Afterall, if it had succeeded, we would have 4 wolves and 6 innocents, 2 of which were the lovers who have the possibility of working with the wolves. And we would have had to lynch a wolf or lose. ToDay could have been the last Day, if McCaber hadn't been lynched.

And at the time, I was mad enough to hope that Fea got lynched just so the lovers would lose after having been so difficult. Rational? No, but I'm not Spock- I get angry. (Actually, so does Spock, so scratch that.)

I may or may not be on in a few hours. I will vote sometime before DL, though I can't promise when. Maybe I won't have to vote first this time with no suspects, though right now I don't like the way Sally, jumped so easily onto the suspicion against me.

(And Nerwen, I have never in WW history, tried to save a fellow wolf. Ask anyone who's ever been a wolf with me. I will sacrifice my fellows in a heartbeat. So I would never have tried to save
McCaber had I bee his packmate.)

edit: crossed with Inzil
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Old 11-09-2009, 07:20 AM   #11
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I think Sally is almost certainly a wolf, and I intend for her to be my vote toDay.
Submarine+Dodgy Voting= Evil (it did in McCaber's case!)
Ill+working 60 hours a week=evil. Yes, that makes sense. I admire your intuition, Dun. (Yes, that's sarcasm, you numpkins. )

Anyway, I still think Roa evil but I can also understand her getting upset (and thus acting suspicious just out of frustration), so I'll definitely take a look at a couple other people toDay when I get a chance.

Maths. There's eight of us and three wolves. We were very fortunate to get the McCobblerWolf but we still can't mess up toDay, so let's save our energy for important discussions and not waste it on babble, okay?
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Old 11-09-2009, 07:26 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by Roa_Aoife View Post
And did you think Nerwen, that perhaps those who voted for me were trying to save McCaber, since I was the easiest replacement lynch at the time, and wasn't around to defend myself after all the suspicion started to accrue?
Of course it occurred to me. That's one of the reasons I suspect Sally. What I was saying before is that, contrary to what I said last Night, there's no reason you couldn't be in it together. A Wolfisaloser (if such she is) could have been voting an innocent Roa to try and save McWolfer. Or she could have been voting a packmate to look good. I don't know which of these is true; perhaps they're both wrong and she's innocent. I'm just trying to sort out the possibilities.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Roa_Aoife View Post
Or were you hoping that that idea wouldn't come up?
I though that it was implicit in my comment yesterDay at #390.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Me
If he's a wolf, either Sally or Roa might well be another, but not, from the look of things, both.
i.e. My initial reaction was, "Hey, what if Sally is a wolf and she's voting innocent Roa to try and save McCaber?

So, Roa, why am I supposed to be "hoping the idea won't come up?" Is this a roundabout way of accusing me, or what?

And do you really think that Wolf-me would take part in a fiendish plot that– as far as I can work out– depends on no-one suspecting the wolves of doing the most obvious thing possible? Really?

EDIT:X'd with two Sallys.
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Old 11-08-2009, 11:23 PM   #13
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Alright, posting before bed.

First and foremost- to Fea and SPM, while I can't say I'm happy with your choices in strategy, I do owe you an apology. I was rude and it was inexcusable. You have a right to play however you want, and while as a villager I may be unhappy, as a player I should respect your choice.

To those who suspect me:

Your reasons are what? I lost my temper? Because that's so out of character for me? At the time, it looked to me like Fea and SPM had thrown their chips in with the wolves, so no matter what we would lose. I wanted to punish them for that. My mentality was one of "If I'm going down, I'm taking them with me."

Yes, my vote for Nerwen was a shot in the dark. I had only one suspect at the beginning of the Day, and that was Fea. My last two posts were made as my guest (Craydon) was literally trying to pull me away from my keyboard so we wouldn't be late. Loslote, you accuse me of splitting the vote, but no one else had voted at that point. Had you voted, I'd have followed you since I believe you to be innocent, especially with how you handled Fea and SPM's coming out and subsequent statement of non-cooperation. But no one had voted, and I had no suspects. How was I supposed to vote with the village when the village hadn't voted?

Yes, McCaber was a wolf (and now we are in the place we were yesterday). I fail to see how that points to me being a wolf.

I'm going to bed. My posting will be about the same as yesterday. (In quantity, hopefully not in quality.)

Edit: Crossed with Fea's first post down.
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Old 11-09-2009, 02:39 AM   #14
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Loslote, you accuse me of splitting the vote, but no one else had voted at that point. Had you voted, I'd have followed you since I believe you to be innocent, especially with how you handled Fea and SPM's coming out and subsequent statement of non-cooperation. But no one had voted, and I had no suspects. How was I supposed to vote with the village when the village hadn't voted?
The village would hardly have voted for Fea, would it? Or me either, I should think. Did you really expect people (innoccent-type people, anyway) to follow either of those votes?

Quote:
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Yes, McCaber was a wolf (and now we are in the place we were yesterday). I fail to see how that points to me being a wolf.
Because Fea, presumably the intended lynchee, had just become a known innocent and McWolfer was next in line to the gallows. Therefore if you were a wolf you would need to put forward another candidate in a hurry.

I don't say you are a wolf, mind. You seemed to panic at the Lovers' reveal, in a way that could have been either that of a wolf or of a frustrated innocent.
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