WW LXXV: It's Always Tea Time Here

[Nerwen]

Well, at the moment, I think it's a choice of Brinn, Morsul or Skip, though I don't think any of them look terribly bad. But I don't have time to look at anyone else now. Brinn seems the least likely, Morsul I can't make head nor tail of, which leaves

++skip spence.

Seemingly, he did try to help at least two of the known wolves out, and maybe all three. That might mean something.

I'll try to get back later.

EDIT:X'd with Morsul.

[Mirandir]

I'm here, and apologize for my epic lack of posting these past few days. RL just hit the fan. Hopefully since I'll be with Nienna in a couple hours I'll actually be able to post and be around toDay.

In the meantime, I've been trying to figure out what Morsul is trying to accomplish by voting for himself. Yes, it makes sense if he is innocent to want to get rid of suspicion on him to focus on a wolf. However, if he is indeed innocent he's only hurting the village by encouraging us to kill him and give the wolves a leg up. If the cobbler wasn't already dead, he'd be my main suspect.

If he is a wolf, though, voting for himself to make it look like he has nothing to lose is something of an intelligent strategy. However, it casts a lot of suspicion on his actions in general.

So this pretty much boils down to I have no idea what to think. I'm leaning toward innocent and pigheaded, but tempted to vote him for sheer stupidity at the risk of being hypocritical.

[Morsul the Dark]

or there's a third plan I haven't unveiled

[Brinniel]

Originally Posted by Shasta

Greenie was the Seer?!

I must have spent an hour earlier today putting all my points against her into one big case, and see where it gets me.

I don't know, but his reaction does seem a bit fake to me.

Originally Posted by Nerwen

Now, naturally we have no guarantee Greenie dreamt a wolf at all. However, since she stated suspicion of Nogrod yesterDay, and indeed voted him, and since Nogrod was starting to creep me out towards the end of yesterDay, I think he's worth looking at. Besides, he's been under my radar most of the game.

Originally Posted by Nerwen after Nog Day 1 analysis

General Remarks: Well, while #128 is the only single post I'd call definitely furry-looking, from Nog's overall Day One posting I shouldn't be that *surprised* if he turns out a wolf. I won't put it stronger than that– later Days may give a different picture. Also, I haven't yet looked at what the known wolves said about him– as I recall, not much.

Originally Posted by Nerwen after Nog Day 2 analysis

Meh... Can't really tell either way– he's given so little to go on. No wonder he's been under the radar! This could be Nogwolf testing the wind, then resigning himself to losing a comrade and taking a while to decide which one to vote for– or innocent Nogrod without time and/or energy to contribute much. (Note though, that he's posted quite a lot, it's just that most of it lacks substance.) Did play a real, if small, part in getting Sally lynched, but some of his other posts seem off.

Originally Posted by Nerwen after Nog Day 3 analysis

General Comments: well, he doesn't come out of it looking nearly as bad as Glirdan did when I analysed him– but on the whole I'd say he's "leaning furry".

She starts off saying she doesn't think he looks furry, but wouldn't be surprised if he was. Treading middle ground so that she can go either way without looking like she flipflopped. I notice that as the Day continues and more players grow suspicious of Nogrod, her suspicion grows into "leaning furry." It looks pretty suspicious to me.

Originally Posted by skip

Insane for offering them up for the slaugher, eh? Yes, that may well be the case. A working theory of mine is that Shasta and Morsul are the remaining wolves. But if they are that seems like too bold a plan, especially if it's been made before hand. Hm...

Could this be an innocent newbie just trying to avoid the bandwagon, or a newbie wolf offering other options? I'm leaning towards the former because again, I really doubt a wolf wouldn't hide in the Nogrod bandwagon.

Originally Posted by Legate

Anyway, my main dilemma toDay is simply whether to join lynching Nogrod - and therefore getting part of the answers to the above - or to believe in the other of the possibilities and lynch one of the other suspects, in my case Inzil. However as I am not sure how much the other makes sense right now and considering that I have been slightly unsure about Inzil's guilt for a few reasons (see earlier toDay), it might as well be Nogrod. Even though I am wondering if his defense is not that of a genuine innocent.

Leaves both options open and plays it safe. It could indicate wolf, but at least his words seem more genuine. Legate's a bit of a question mark to me at the moment.

[Aganzir]

Originally Posted by Brinniel

I don't know, but his reaction does seem a bit fake to me.

Not necessarily. I would have been surprised/slightly embarrassed too if my top suspect had been revealed as the seer.

[Brinniel]

I still have more to say, but I'm off my work shift and need to leave now. I'll be back later.