WW XCVI - The Fell Winter of 2911

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Okay... not sure what the vote count is now, but I think G55 is still more creepy than Pitch.

++Galadriel55

EDIT: x-ed with Nog

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Legate of Amon Lanc

I think G55 is still more creepy than Pitch.

I kind of agree with you here. But the problem for me is that she always is like that and ends up lynched on D1 just because - and more often innocent than not.

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Originally Posted by Nogrod

I kind of agree with you here. But the problem for me is that she always is like that and ends up lynched on D1 just because - and more often innocent than not.

I am not sure if that has happened so often in games I have been in, but might be so. Still... let's see.

[Kitanna]

“It was Nogrod!” Pitch cried. He pointed a finger to the retired barkeep.

“No, Inzil is in league with the wolves. He'll kill us all.” Menel jumped in.

All day the villagers had argued. Things had been bad when the food started to run out, but now it was getting worse. The Hobbits had come up with the terrible idea of killing the guilty party. A life for a life. Kitanna was dead and someone had to pay.

“Galadriel did it!” Inzil said, trying to keep his calm after unjust accusations from Menel.

“It had to have been Pitch. He's always been a shifty one.” G55 moved to quick to shift the blame from herself. “And he cheated me on a bushel of apples last spring.”

“You're all fools!” Pitch backed himself into a corner. “I didn't kill anybody. You all know it was Nogrod! He's been skulking around here ever since he retired.”

The others exchanged looks. A life for a life. Four Hobbits rushed Pitch, dragging him into the center of the room. They formed a circle around him, jeering, demanding he confess to his crime. Pitch continued to protest. He was innocent, they needed to look into their own hearts for the guilty.

No one was sure after that who threw the mug, but when it hit Pitch's head the villagers descended on him. Most of the blows landed on Pitch, but a few closest to him were struck in the close confines of the circle. They kicked and punched, someone even taking up another mug to smash into his head. After a few minutes they backed off. Pitch's blood pooled around him. His body lifeless.

Lommy and Kath searched his person. They found nothing. There was no baying from wolves outside, no thunder cracking to denote evil had died, no nothing. Pitch had died innocent.

The Dead
Kitanna - Left on the Brandywine to be eaten on Night 1, Moddess
Pitchwife - Beaten to death on Day 1, Ordo

The Living
Shasta
Menel
Glirdan
G55
Nerwen
Legate
Nogrod
Lommy
Inzil
Aganzir
Sally
Kath

Night 2 Begins
Wolves, seer, ranger, and cobbler, PM your picks. Everyone else, sleep.

[Kitanna]

Inzil stayed late to clean up the mess left by the unfortunate Pitch's death. There was no need for the villagers to be reminded of their tragic mistake. However, the blood stain wasn't coming up out of the wood despite all his vigorous scrubbing. A rug of sorts would need to be put down before tomorrow.

The door to the tavern opened. The night air stuck in Inzil's throat. The sheer bitterness of it seized his lungs. This weather was too cold for decent Hobbitfolk to live in.

“We're closed and you know it,” he said to the intruder. His eyes never left the blood stain, his hands continuing their work.

“Won't you even serve us a mug of hot cider on a cold night like this?” Three pairs of snow covered Hobbit feet circled Inzil.

He got to his feet and shook his rag in their faces. “Go home to your families! How can you want hot cider or anything else after what we done to poor Pitch today. Get out of here.”

One of the intruders grabbed hold of Inzil's feet, wrestling him to the ground. When he was down another grabbed hold of his feet. The third grabbed a stray scarf and slipped it around Inzil's neck.

The barkeep spurted and choked, trying to kick off his attackers. As the life drained away his fight slowed. As the last breath escaped, there was a brief moment when a third eye shown on his forehead. The three dragged him out into the snow to leave him for their wolfy compatriots.

They went home content in the knowledge they had killed the seer.

The Dead
Kitanna - Left on the Brandywine to be eaten on Night 1, Moddess
Pitchwife - Beaten to death on Day 1, Ordo
Inzil - Strangled on Night 2, Seer

The Living
Shasta
Menel
Glirdan
G55
Nerwen
Legate
Nogrod
Lommy
Aganzir
Sally
Kath

Day 2 Begins
If you did not vote yesterday and do not vote again today you will be modfired

[Nogrod]

Uh-oh. That was bad news...

Thinking positively, there should be a hint of some sort, probably clear enough in Zil's posting on D1 as otherwise the wolves are too darn lucky.

I'm going to look for something in there and suggest a few more pairs of eyes do the same so that we miss nothing.

[Nogrod]

Well, there goes the optimism...

I can't see an obvious reason for the wolves to pick Zil except that he was non-controversial and not suspected in any major way by anyone - and his early vote for G55 doesn't stand out in any way.

He did defend ("defend" may be a too strong word here though) Menel, Agan and Kath to some degree by kind of questioning the validity of some suspicions thrown at the three. He seemed to switch his mind somewhat on Pitch and me (first thinking Pitch's suspicion on Menel and Kath and his vote on me looked bad and then later saying his vote on me looked something he'd consider following - but that G55 looked worse).

The strongest there was seems to be his concern on behalf of Menel - like these (two different times):

Originally Posted by Zil

Menel has merited a comment for his words, but more than one person homing in on it at once puts one in mind of a pack of salivating beasts eyeing some raw meat.

Originally Posted by Zil

The whole thing about Menel looks like the beginning stirrings of a bandwagon.

So he at least was concerned about the suspicions on Menel which could indicate towards Menel being dreamt of innocent (it might be a decent seer pick as he probably hasn't ever played with Menel before). It could, but does it? Dunno.

[Nerwen]

Zilanalysis

#4. IC banter.

#16. Agrees with Kath that the Cobbler is particularly dangerous. Disagrees with Pitch that Menel's "obvious" advice on wolf-catching is particularly suspicious (using the phrase "I don't see that" –a possible hint?). Approves of Pitch being vocal, however. Points out that the cobbler needs to avoid Night-kills– this was a response to the exchange between Kath (#11), Agan (#12)and Pitch (#13). In context, it doesn't seem a particularly "Captain Obvious" statement at all– which is interesting since later it became something of an issue.


#32. IC banter. Responds to G55's and my own comments about Menel (#25, #26):

Originally Posted by Zil

Menel has merited a comment for his words, but more than one person homing in on it at once puts one in mind of a pack of salivating beasts eyeing some raw meat.

Tells G55 (again in response to #26) that he recalls Agan calling the Cobbler "she" before.


#39. Accepts my pointing out (#33) that G55 and my posts commenting on Menel's "obviousness" actually crossed. Accepts Menel's clarification at #38.


#55. (responding to Legate):

Hmm. G55 may indeed have not noticed that habit of Agan's before, or she may have forgotten it. If anything strikes me about G55, it's the questioning of Agan combined with what appears to be a piling on to what Pitch started about Menel.

Further comments that "The whole thing about Menel looks like the beginning stirrings of a bandwagon."

Disagrees with Pitch that Kath's question at #19 is suspicious. Is somewhat wary of Pitch.

Responding to Shasta at #53, says he too is "rather bothered" by G55, and may vote her.

Also in response to Shasta, who asks why those who "pounced" on Menel for "stating the obvious" didn't do the same to Zil (see #16.), says, "I don't know either. Are you trying to incite them to do so?"


#56. Vote-post.

Originally Posted by Zil

Ok. It's bedtime, and with the morning madness that is my weekday routine, I may or may not make back before DL.

I guess I can see Pitch's point on Nog, and it's tempting to follow Pitch's lead there. However, I think that in the totality of circumstance, G55 looks worse.

++G55

Choose well.

Conclusion: Well, it certainly looks pretty straightforward: his dream was most likely either G55 (wolf) or Menel (innocent). The good news is that it could not have been Pitch, since he is somewhat suspicious of him.

The voting-pattern yesterDay also strongly suggests G55 might be a wolf, rescued from the gallows by her comrades. (However, we should bear in mind that, by definition, this would be a perfect framing-opportunity.)

EDIT:X'd with Nogrod.; edit 2: typo.