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Old 08-12-2012, 11:43 AM   #1
Inziladun
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I was afraid of this.

I am the Seer.

My Night 1 dream was Kitanna. Hence, my "vague" suspicion. I was hoping to get her lynched.

Unfortunately, my dream last Night was Nerwen.

Why didn't they kill me last Night? I can't say. Maybe it's just an exceptionally bold pack confident of their one remaining member.

Oh well.
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Old 08-12-2012, 12:34 PM   #2
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Originally Posted by Inziladun View Post
Why didn't they kill me last Night? I can't say. Maybe it's just an exceptionally bold pack confident of their one remaining member.
Actually, it would make sense. If you're Radagast and they'd killed you, we'd most likely have lynched Kit toDay anyway, whereas this way, they gain a chance of getting you lynched and using toNight's kill on someone else. If the third wolf hadn't come under any suspicion worth mentioning yet, it would be a viable strategy.
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Old 08-12-2012, 12:57 PM   #3
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All I can say is that I tried to be vague enough in my suspicion of Kit that they wouldn't home in on me, and at the same time leave something to go on in case they did.

Also, I thought Nerwen might have been trying to raise Sally as an alternative lynch to Kit after Sally's vote for her. That's why I picked Nerwen last Night.
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Old 08-12-2012, 01:00 PM   #4
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Without further ado:

++Kitanna
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Old 08-12-2012, 01:11 PM   #5
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All I can say is that I tried to be vague enough in my suspicion of Kit that they wouldn't home in on me, and at the same time leave something to go on in case they did.
Hm, I must say you did strike me as the most seerish-looking person in this village exactly because of the vagueness of your suspicion.

Let's not be hasty though. I seem to remember I helped to lynch a seer Kit once, I'd be loath to repeat that mistake. But I must say her "I know a living innocent but I'm not going to tell you" attitude isn't exactly trust-inspiring.
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Old 08-12-2012, 01:13 PM   #6
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Let's not be hasty though. I seem to remember I helped to lynch a seer Kit once, I'd be loath to repeat that mistake. But I must say her "I know a living innocent but I'm not going to tell you" attitude isn't exactly trust-inspiring.
Fair enough. That's pretty much all I can say, but if anyone has a question, feel free.
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Old 08-12-2012, 01:15 PM   #7
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Let's not be hasty though. I seem to remember I helped to lynch a seer Kit once, I'd be loath to repeat that mistake. But I must say her "I know a living innocent but I'm not going to tell you" attitude isn't exactly trust-inspiring.
I'll be honest, I've given you a wolf already. And if that still gets me lynched I don't feel inclined to help this village further. I will reveal my dream if this village trusts me enough to lynch Zil. When I die, I'll die innocent. Zil and his packmate can't say the same.

You may all waste the day trying to decide who you want to believe. I have nothing left to say on the topic. Once I get back to my house I will concentrate on finding the third wolf.
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Old 08-12-2012, 01:53 PM   #8
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I will reveal my dream if this village trusts me enough to lynch Zil.
And if we lynch Zil and find him genuine, the point will be moot anyway, is that it?
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Old 08-12-2012, 02:32 PM   #9
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Whichever one it is, there will be connexions to analyse from Day One: both Kitanna and Inzil were in the thick of things. And considering that first days are often uneventful and lacking in content, I'm glad our Seer battle is between these two!
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Old 08-12-2012, 02:58 PM   #10
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Coppermirror
1: Mostly IC comments, with a quick paragraph about our odds as a village.
2: A response to Zil's comment about her preemptive defense. (that she had been sleeping through the night)
3: Just stating she'll be back later.
4: Summarizes what has happened thus far, but doesn't really say anything about what she thinks. Again explains herself to Zil about distancing herself from wolves.
5: Nothing much.
6:
Quote:
I'm not at all sure yet who I'll be voting for. I had intended to vote for either some of the quieter villagers or those who hadn't shown up yet, to avoid only finding active villagers suspicious, but as time's gone on, some quiet people have become more active. So I'll wait and see.
She pretty much states that she'll vote for a quiet one or the one who hasn't shown up. Which is what Nessa ended up doing.
7: She lists our odds again. Stating
Quote:
I suppose it doesn't matter too much whether or not we lose an innocent Pitchwife
After reading her scenarios this comment doesn't look too good. The village is so small, losing an innocent through a lynch should always matter.
8: Votes Nessa because she doesn't like that Nessa voted for Pitch, even though she had plans to do so herself. She does state that after working through worst-case scenarios she had changed her mind.
Quote:
My reasons: I don't believe that a vote for Pitchwife is a useful vote at the moment, as I think he won't show up and will get mod-fired anyway. I thought of voting for him earlier, but working through it in my previous post persuaded me that it wasn't a good idea. I may be wrong, but that's the basis for my vote.
9:
Quote:
I'm afraid my suspicion isn't very strong at all, but I had to pick someone.
Distance and defense of vote for Nessa.
Day 2:
10: She thinks the wolves thought Nerwen was the seer. I have no clue how she drew this conclusion.
Quote:
I was sure that they would go for me or for Galadriel55, unless they thought they could get the Seer.
Why you? Why G55? Nerwen looked like a normal Night 2 pick. She didn't vote or leave much behind.
Quote:
I'm glad that Pitchwife didn't show up yesterDAY, because it meant that Nessa decided to vote for him. I was planning to vote for Nessa anyway, but out of a last minute "I have to vote for somebody and don't want to get on the Kitanna bandwagon or waste my vote!" worry rather than any actual suspicion. But her voting for Pitchwife seemed suspicious and gave me a real reason to vote for her, and also made Galadriel55 suspicious enough to vote. It's great that she really was a wolf.
What? You never once expressed any desire to lynch Nessa until your vote post. This looks like a "look, I helped catch a wolf, I wanted to vote for her all along, afterall."
Quote:
Very suspicious: Inziladum
Suspicious: Eomer, Sally
Unknown: Shasta, Pitchwife, Kitanna
Almost certainly innocent: Galadriel55
Innocent: Coppermirror, Nerwen (deceased)
I'm glad she finally commits to some form of suspicion that straddling the middle ground. And her reasoning for finding G55 innocentish is interesting.
11: She answers my questions about why she thought Nerwen was the seer in this post. She also puts forth a few interesting theories on Nessa and her vote for Pitch.
12: Talks about Zil's early posts in which he does sort of pick her out of the crowd. She had been talking the most at the time. Understands his vague feelings of guilt on my part, but still finds him suspicious.
13: Thinks she misread my reveal and asks for an expansion.
14: Explains her reasons for why Nessa would distance herself from a wolf lynch.
15: Sees how Zil is the wolf and I'm the seer, but also sees how I'm the wolf and Zil's the seer.

Copper speaks a lot and on Day 1 didn't say a whole lot of anything. Even though she has listed some suspicions today she is still not committing to anything. That makes me wary, but I'm not sold on her as guilty. I'm not convinced she's innocent either. I'd like to see what else she has to say.

Shasta
1: IC banter
2: Responds to Zil's declaration of voting for him just for being Shasta. Mostly more IC banter though.
3:
Quote:
That's a good point, but I do have to dock you a few points for considering voting someone who hasn't shown up. Is Eomer even aware the game's started?
I'm not sure who he's referring to. Sally maybe?
4: Votes Nessa, doesn't really give a reason.
He hasn't spoken today and there's not much to go on. I don't like he didn't even try to give a reason for voting Nessa.
Quote:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nerwen
But hey, now that the general paranoia's getting into swing (as is right and proper), I'm not sure I like the way Nessa's latching on to my suspicion of Sally's latching on to Inzil's suspicion.... complicated, isn't it?
Funnily enough, I was going to say relatively the same thing... only replacing your name with Eomer's. Hmm. I do need to vote (I'm about to hit the hay), so I think I'm going to go ahead and vote for -
Maybe I misread this, but after his response to Nerwen I'd have thought he'd throw a vote in her direction. Still he looks slightly more innocent because (and someone let me know if I screw up the order) but he was the first to vote Nessa. It's weird he didn't give a reason. Did he maybe think the voting would turn against me to her at any time and he was working to distance himself? Or was he just voting for her cause of his own time constraints and her vote for Pitch was suspicious enough to vote for.
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Old 08-12-2012, 03:15 PM   #11
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Hm, I must say you did strike me as the most seerish-looking person in this village exactly because of the vagueness of your suspicion.

Let's not be hasty though. I seem to remember I helped to lynch a seer Kit once, I'd be loath to repeat that mistake. But I must say her "I know a living innocent but I'm not going to tell you" attitude isn't exactly trust-inspiring.


Can I just "This" that entire post? Because I have.


Kit would have been nicely on the lynching block again toDay, so I could see her trying a reveal, but at the same time I could see a poor and frustrated seer!Kit knowing she needs to impart her wisdom while she still can.

How convenient, then, that Dun has dreamt Kit, and Kit Dun. Might we entertain the possibility that they are both wolves, and that this is a rather elaborate scheme? Of course not, because the real seer would have spoken up by now. (Unless of course it's me and that "reveal" up there was, at least in its former parts, genuine. But how likely is that, right?)


At this moment I'm more inclined to trust Dun, but I know nothing for certain, at least as far as wolves are concerned. I'm off to tidy my lair, but I will return later with less confusing (but still frustratingly honest, apparently ) thoughts.
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