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Old 06-06-2015, 04:15 PM   #1
Nogrod
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the phantom View Post
Okay-

If Boro is the Seer we want the vote to go to Shasta (he dreamed him innocent).

If Firefoot is the Seer we want the vote to go to Nilp (she suspects Boro earlier perhaps reflecting on Shasta).

If Nerwen is the Seer we want the vote to go to Shasta (dreamed him innocent).

Any other factors we need to consider in this?
Oh my...

Anyway.

Let's pick Shasta then and secure all vote the same so the wolves have minimal chances of swaying the vote, right?

Btw. there are some interesting things with Firefoot... I'll try to make it shortish - and soonish (to go to bed early today).
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Old 06-06-2015, 04:17 PM   #2
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Oh, and putting my money where my mouth is...

++ Shasta
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Old 06-06-2015, 04:22 PM   #3
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Indeed. No need to delay, right? They also apparently have Lottie bagged, can't imagine what would have to happen to turn it over...

++Shasta

And really, Firefoot is now making so much sense there (e.g. raising the possibility that I might not be the Seer... unless, of course, unless she knows because she is a Wolf and knows I got something wrong? But then again, what... I didn't really post anything that conclusive). I really hope she's innocent, and she started acting really helpfully and all.
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Old 06-06-2015, 04:25 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Legate of Amon Lanc View Post
And really, Firefoot is now making so much sense there
Earlier toDay she argued for lynching the ranger...

It is an interesting read, her posting that is.

I'll be back with it soon as I can.
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Old 06-06-2015, 04:52 PM   #5
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Firefoot


She seems to start every Day with a theoretical analysis of something. D1 it is the deliberate tie, on D2 it is how different sides would have either wished or not wished for the tie, and on D3 she counts possible innocent vs. wolf ratios among the dead / living.

The third one is actually followed by an interesting thing:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ff#406
The significance of this is that if either of the wolf packs is missing members, I would think they would be getting a bit nervous/desperate (depending on how many missing members...), not knowing whether the other pack is in similar shape. Could be telling toDay (for comparison, at the start of Day 2, there was a 51% all the people killed were innocent). (Hmm…)
How come she thinks about these things as the very first thing of the Day - maybe it's something very close?


On D2 she clearly goes nudging both Rikae and Mac in a way I'm used to see more from the wolves - but it is not anything conclusive of course as the innocents can test the waters as well.

With Rikae she jumps quite fast to Nerwen’s question whether Rikae actually knew Rune was killed because he was looking gifted (#253) by saying
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ff
I was also getting some bad vibes from Rikae, but don't have any reasons or analysis to back it up yet.
With Mac (#284) she makes the classic:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ff
Anyone else think Mac responded really defensively to what I thought was at best a rather half-hearted accusation? (referencing posts 252 and 281)?

Being clearly more active on D3 she has been all over the place doing many things - like taking care we set up this information line Nilp had reminded should be there. And being invaluable in there.

But then in #419 She first makes a pretty detailed speculation as to how the wolves could kill if the lover sacrificed - and then turned to speculate with the possibility of rather lynching the ranger!

#427 is the post which Lottie-wolf spotted in her frenzy and where she puts the Night-kills nicely in place.

And then of course her #534 where she defends herself by saying that
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ff
I'd also like to point out that I have been pretty consistent in my suspicion of Mac, and voted for him yesterday
And since when has consistency been anything but the privilege of those who already know something?


It seems her suspicions have been pretty consistent though - and yes we can also speculate if she then is the seer (happily we can do it here). But I'll check them and leave you with this thus far so that you can get some first ideas about how interesting Firefoot is (I mean she could be anything).

What do you think?
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Old 06-06-2015, 05:05 PM   #6
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Hmmm... Guess I'll have to do a separate exam with the kills flipped.
Well I certainly still think we should not trust the "revealed kills" completely. And rethinking now what Rikae said... it really is possible she was the target of Lottie's group, and she lied, and I was the other one's target, but either way, it does not really give us much. There are no stronger arguments for it being either way, and it does not really give us any solid info we could use.

Quote:
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The third one is actually followed by an interesting thing: How come she thinks about these things as the very first thing of the Day - maybe it's something very close?
Interesting thought. Although - not wishing to be a spoilsport, but we sadly can't do much with this analysis from our perspective on this thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nog
But then in #419 She first makes a pretty detailed speculation as to how the wolves could kill if the lover sacrificed - and then turned to speculate with the possibility of rather lynching the ranger!
Nah, I looked it up, it wasn't that bad. She's got a point, the whole argument is about that Ranger technically could bring the info back from the dead more clearly than the Lover - which is true. But it is also true that getting rid of the Ranger for one Night is pretty bad. In fact, outing him is really bad. So yeah. Depends just how well she has thought it through (if she had an innocent, simple motive, or a well-thought, evil one).
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