Werewolf CX: Insert Title Here - the game thread

[Rikae]

Originally Posted by Aganzir

3 wolves and 8 villagers. If we lynch two ordos, we're basically toast (would you like a slice of ham to go with that?) - 3-4 at the beginning of day 3. Looks rather bleak to me.

That's true, but at least our odds of hitting a wolf by pure luck are decent, and after getting one, we'll have something to go on.

I'm actually looking forward to a game based on reasoning and analysis instead of gifted strategy. It's going to be a challenge, but I like a challenge.

Originally Posted by Agan

Anyway I think sally, Inzil and Rikae are the wolves because they are the only ones whose occupation isn't even remotely related to food.

Well, of course the one covered in blood couldn't possibly be responsible for gnawing off someone's head. That would just be too obvious, right?

[Eomer of the Rohirrim]

Originally Posted by Rikae

a game based on reasoning and analysis

How's that for optimism?

Well, starting from the hypothesis that wolves, more than ordos, would be hyped for the game and unable to refrain from posting ASAP, I guess I've already got my three wolves in the bag.

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Can't a fellow drink in peace?

Answer: apparently can't. Aside from agreeing about the very bleak state of this village's chances, there isn't that much to say. I simply hope we are lucky enough to get a Wolf on Day 1... then again, by pure maths, there is statistically also higher chance of hitting a Wolf... but I bet the WWs are going to do their worst to try to prevent it. So for future Days, looking at who voted how is gonna be crucial. Also, I therefore suggest making the votes as "orderly" as possible - meaning try to avoid spreading them out, so the WWs are actually forced to vote to save their lynchmates... that is, if their lynchmates are among the candidates in the first place. But yeah. I mean, gotta start at least from something, right.

Not that I (and I don't expect many of the Europeans, either) am going to be around for the DL (no chance, please). But anyway... that will be the stuff.

EDIT: x-ed with Lommy

[A Little Green]

Originally Posted by Eomer

Well, starting from the hypothesis that wolves, more than ordos, would be hyped for the game and unable to refrain from posting ASAP, I guess I've already got my three wolves in the bag.

What, including yourself?

Legate, what are lynchmates?

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Originally Posted by A Little Green

Legate, what are lynchmates?

Meaning: their packmates who are about to be lynched. (The second use of that term should probably have been "packmates" by then.) Basically what I meant: WWs will be forced to vote to save their packmates, if those packmates are in the danger of getting lynched, more so than in a bigger village, because they actually are also hard-pressed to win as soon as possible. That.

[A Little Green]

I'd prefer to vote within an hour - ridiculous, I know, but I blame the timezone. I'd be tempted to vote for a no-show, simply because a game like this is especially easy for quiet, non-committal wolves to sail through while loudmouths promptly kill each other. Unfortunately, voting for someone for "not being present" would hardly be fair if you vote seven hours before deadline..

EDIT: x-ed with Legate

[A Little Green]

Originally Posted by Legate

Meaning: their packmates who are about to be lynched. (The second use of that term should probably have been "packmates" by then.) Basically what I meant: WWs will be forced to vote to save their packmates, if those packmates are in the danger of getting lynched, more so than in a bigger village, because they actually are also hard-pressed to win as soon as possible. That.

I'm not sure I'm following you here. Of course the village is small, but on the other hand - the wolf-villager ratio is fairly good for them, and with no gifteds to mess things up for them, I'd say our wolves are a lot less in a hurry than the average pack.

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Originally Posted by A Little Green

I'm not sure I'm following you here. Of course the village is small, but on the other hand - the wolf-villager ratio is fairly good for them, and with no gifteds to mess things up for them, I'd say our wolves are a lot less in a hurry than the average pack.

I know that, but I was trying to present the other side of the issue. Of course the easiest for the WWs is if we just keep blindly lynching innocents and they can just lay low. But the thing is, if they get under fire, they are actually in bigger danger than in a normal village, because there is no infinite crowd of random no-posters to hide in.

[Thinlómien]

So, what have we got so far -

Eomer being chatty and pointing fingers in the usual manner.

Aganzir trying to steal my occupation as the village pessimist. Having a bit of a devil-may-care attitude too, which might point at her innocence. I don't know.

Inziladun got on my bad side by making me hungry. Mmm enchiladas with guacamole... Other than that, hard to say. Literally basic Inzil, which statistically probably equals wolf.

Rikae enjoys the challenge? Good - we should keep her around as a wünderbaum... erm I mean, to keep the air fresh and optimistic.

Legate sounds like a parody of himself, only with shorter posts. I wonder if he's doing it intentionally or not.

Greenie is basically just trying to have a chat with someone and questioning their wording. Also absolutely typical.

...yeah, surprising conclusion, nobody seems super suspicious so far!

I would like to see more posts before I vote, but I really have to go to sleep within an hour, preferably sooner than later. Seeing as nothing really stands out, I don't feel very good about just randomly voting someone basically just because they posted, but voting someone just because they didn't post yet seems like an equally stupid move. Argh. Like literally my best lead at the moment is to vote Inzil because he is always a wolf... *scratches head*


edit: xed with Kath and everyone after her

[Rikae]

Originally Posted by Legate of Amon Lanc

Also, I therefore suggest making the votes as "orderly" as possible - meaning try to avoid spreading them out, so the WWs are actually forced to vote to save their lynchmates... that is, if their lynchmates are among the candidates in the first place.

In a village this small, trying not to spread out the votes very nearly translates to "lynch the first person who gets a vote", and of course, wolves can vote early with confidence that it isn't someone on their own side, and we can't.

All we have is talk, so we need to maximize the talk. The more debate, the better the trail.

EDIT: Whoa, X'd with Kath's vote onward.

[Thinlómien]

Well seeing as Aganzir has already channeled my inner pessimist, I'm trying to tone it down. But seriously the odds are not in our favour. (Hehehe I just realised that could be considered a pun. )

There may be a secret role or twist to help us but we shouldn't count on that. Rather, we should just keep our wits around and try or best and if we lose, pull the "the odds were against us from the start" card. Or that's at least how I'm trying to do it. But I'm really hoping I don't need to go on my "I hate random votes on Day1" crusade in this game.

Okay... pessimism, pessimism, pessimism... what else is in my brain? Well: practical matters. The DL is 7am Finnish time, so I'll be voting ridiculously early every day, starting toDay.

Speaking of which, the current amount of data doesn't look very encouraging. Where is everyone?


edit: xed with Eomer, yay!