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Initial thoughts: we could go through wilwa's posts to see if she said somewhere something that would prove otherwise (like suspecting Hakon in a way she would not have done if she were just posing to the WWs or something). I wouldn't put it past the WWs to make a "back-up plan" like that, or maybe wilwa making it up in place, although to be honest, if it is so, I am surprised, as I did not expect it this far... my view on the WWs was this far that they are rather less... hmm... constructive, or how to say it. |
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I don't get you Hakon... If wilwa says you're the real ranger why would we lynch you? :confused: It doesn't mean wilwa wouldn't be lying just to save her neck... but that wouldn't be your downfall anyway. Or is there something else we should know about... well, like of everything? :rolleyes: |
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EDIT: keeping x-ing... |
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Then we have to start finding new ways to solve this. But before that we should stick to do our best with what we have in a sane-scenario... |
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EDIT: x-ed again, okay, now I think I could (maybe, hopefully) understand it. |
This game is getting crazier and crazier...
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X'd since Nogrod at #440. |
I think I saw your point Hakon...
Language barrier... ot different ways of conceptualising things... whatever. |
I think Wilwa made that post because she is a wolf that wanted to escape getting revealed as one. If I was lynched she would be revealed as a wolf. By making that post Wolfwa made it seem like she was an innocent and she could avoid getting me lynched which would reveal her.
Seerwife(hope you don't mind), we need your dream. |
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EDIT:X'd with Nogrod. |
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Let's see our Dreamer's dream, then. |
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Sorry, I can't shed any light on the ranger question. As we all assumed one of them was a wolf, I just decided to let them stew a little and see if one of them would give xerself away. I certainly didn't expect this result.
As a matter of fact, I did dream a wolf last Night - but it's neither of them. What wilwa says sounds in a way too crazy to be made up. But if she's telling the truth, that means we have one wolf left out there in the dark, and I think it might be a good idea to give the two of them a little more rope to hang themselves, not knowing which one is going to be exposed. What do you say? |
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EDIT:X'd with Pitch. |
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EDIT- Ah. Never mind. I missed your reference to the 'two' of them |
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Just don't leave your revelation too late so no confusions of possible last minute frenzies get us... So a wolf in a bag toDay! Great! Off to bed with a lighter heart (it's coming 1.00AM here and waking-up call is at 6.30AM)... |
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We can think more later. If there is the other Wolf, I see it can be clever to keep your dreamwolf around for a while yet to see people's reactions. On the other hand, we probably are not going to collect much as the WWs will become initially careful (from this point when you said it on, probably, actually). So we can as well lynch the one. You should certainly give us the name... well, or you could try to pull it off by letting us choose a person for lynch toDay by our best conscience, and tell your Wolf's name to us only just before the DL, but there's the point that some mistakingly reasoning innocents might get caught in the trap and get suspected then. Especially as the WWs will know... but then, they could be caught based on "too coldblooded reasoning"... but then again... well, whatever. Quote:
EDIT: x-ed with nog |
Okay, possibly my last thought before going to bed.
The way I see the situation now is this: we really should (or: alas, need to) probably lynch wilwa at some point. Because unless we lynch some other Wolf (aside from the one Pitchwife dreamt of), then we will basically never know whether there is the last Wolf somewhere out there or if it is Wilwa. In that case, the most logical, although perhaps slightly coldblooded, but really rational, choice would be to lynch Wilwa toDay, and then see. And if wilwa turns out innocent, then we will have one more Day of interaction of a known Wolf, if Pitch does not reveal his dream yet now but only at the end of the Day. (A little value in that, but could be at least something.) But really the more I write the more I think that wilwa is a Wolf. Because really, if the WWs are really in bad condition now - and they are, the Seer is still alive - they would try to kill him. And when they kill him, they would be exposed, likely, if one of them is the Ranger. So wilwa's revelation as an ordo was really probably the most logical thing to do, basically the only thing that was left for the WWs. So in conclusion, I think she could be one. |
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Apart from that, I confess that I haven't been looking at wilwa very closely outside of the ranger question. I'm doing that now, and one thing I've noticed is that she was our late Kit's prime suspect on Day 1. As Roa noticed, wilwa never commented on Kit's suspicions of her. As for her anti-reveal toDay... Well. There was always a slight possibility we'd believe her and lynch Hakon, and I think it would have been wise for a wilwolf to make a Plan B for that case. By now, she'd have had 2 Days to prepare it. PS. Hakon, I forgot: well done. Thank you. |
Voting records of those still living (Pitch and Nog excluded), for anyone who might find it useful:
Day 1 Morsul--> Nienna Hakon--> Me Craydon--> Me Wilwa--> Hakon Roa--> SPM (1st vote, pre-Pitch's reveal) Me--> SPM Nerwen--> SPM Lari--> SPM Brinn--> SPM Lynched- SPM Day 2 Hakon--> Wilwa Morsul--> Hakon Craydon--> Morsul Wilwa--> Nienna Me--> Nienna Lari--> Nienna Roa--> Nog Nerwen--> Morsul Brinn--> Me Legate--> Me Lynched- Nienna Day 3 Craydon--> Me Hakon--> Wilwa Me--> Loslote Wilwa--> Brinn Brinn--> Loslote Morsul--> No Vote Roa--> Nerwen Lari--> Hakon Legate--> Lari Nerwen--> Lari Lynched- Loslote |
Wilwa's votes and explanations:
The Day 1 vote was for Hakon, saying that his rationale for voting me was thin (it was, but still...). Quote:
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And then Day 3, for Brinn. She based it on Brinn remarking that Morsul could be an ordo making a fake reveal. Brinn didn't appear to me to seriously consider that possibility, so this does look like a reach. Quote:
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OK. After some retro-investigation, I'm inclined to agree with Legate that our wolves may not need that much more rope after all.
Lari is my dreamwolf. What does that tell us about wilwa? Look at the Nienna bandwagon on Day 2. wilwa started it, Lari seconded it. And Lari's been quite supportive of wilwa all the time (a connection which Kit spotted early, probably the reason she was killed). wilwa, on the other hand, seems to have taken great care not to mention Lari at all, as far as I can see - which would be clever, as it would have brought both of them under suspicion if they'd been too obviously connected. The case seems pretty clear to me, but go look for yourselves. Anyway, let's lynch the known wolf before the probable one, so: ++Lariren Shadow Good night. |
A million thanks to Pitch for letting those of us that have a long day tomorrow have it easy tonight. Because I trust our seer's dreams, I will go with them.
++Lari. |
++Lari
I knew it was her. I looked over the votes today and I realized both Wilwa and Morsul voted for me at one point or another so I had a faint idea that the third wolf voted for me as well. I thought Lari. We caught two wolves today. YAY. |
I was just re-reading... but I didn't get very far... too exasperated by Roa's latest (#411).
She summarises what everyone else said regarding Loslote yesterDay. Now, the first thing that strikes me is the degree to which she blows her own trumpet over not having suspected Loslote: Quote:
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The way Roa describes what I did is, to my mind, very much an example of the use of weasel-words. Can you read that line without getting the impression of Evil!Nerwen making sure her fiendish plot had succeeded, nyeh-heh-heh-heh-heh? I haven't checked what she said other players said against what they actually did say, but just judging from what she said about me, she's doing some serious twisting there. No wonder she didn't see anything wrong with Lottie's analysis. I still think this is zealotry rather than wolvery, but it's getting to me. EDIT:X'd since Inzil. |
Back home from work. Really, Nerwen?
I summarized my own posts because I was summarizing every post that mentioned Loslote. Leaving my own out would have been suspicious as well, so I don't know what you expect. As for twisting your words, no, I was merely summarizing to the best of my ability. You did suggest that Loslote could be a wolf. You did double check that Loslote had been lynched and I made no mention of your purpose behind this. You'll note in my conclusion on you, I didn't even mention it. What I saw was the same situation as Nienna- you went along with the suspicion until the end, when you decided to add Lari to the list. Now, since the dreamer has declared Lari a wolf, and the last wolf is probably Wilwa, I obviously don't suspect you. But you can't possibly think I'm evil just because I suspect you. |
Oh, and
++Lari |
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Anyway– ++Lari. |
++ Lari
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It seems toDay is shaping up to be rather uneventful. I wonder if we all vote quickly would McCaber end the Day early?
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I agree Wilwa is probably the last wolf, but just in case she doesn't sprout fur when we lynch her, we may as well formulate our ideas on other people.
For instance, can we take Brinn to be a known innocent, based on Lari's slip? EDIT:X'd with Roa; typos. |
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EDIT:X'd with Hakon. |
She says she thinks Brinn is innocent.
A. How is that a slip? B. How would that exonerate Brinn? |
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