[mormegil]

tgwbs -> Isabell
morm -> Lommy
Fea -> Gil
Volo -> Sixth
Mith -> Gil
Boro -> Fea (Isabell1, Lommy1, Gil2, Sixth1, Fea1)
Sixth -> Lommy (Isabell1, Lommy2, Gil2, Sixth1, Fea1)
Lommy -> Isabell (Isabell2, Lommy2, Gil2, Sixth1, Fea1)
Agan -> Isabell (Isabell3, Lommy2, Gil2, Sixth1, Fea1)
Isabell -> Feanor (Isabell3, Lommy2, Gil2, Fea2)
Shasta -> Gil (Isabell3, Lommy2, Gil3, Fea2)
Noggie -> Isabell (Isabell4, Lommy2, Gil3, Fea2)

Well 2 of the 3 Gil votes were by known innocents. Admittedly I could be wrong about Mith and if I am I deserve to be duped because she has me fooled. Just to make it clear to all and not to debate the point I am going under the assumption that we have a Bear and a pack of 3 wolves. We have a good guy who can kill at night too. That would explain why there was no third kill one night and a kill on the other. Also the good guy or the bear killed Menel. My guess is that the good guy killed Fea as she would have been a good suspect and neither the wolf nor bear would be likely to kill her.

I would feel safe to say that a wolf did not vote for Isabell yesterday but that doesn't mean the bear didn't. That is what complicates this.

So based on voting let's look shall we....

Morm votes the first vote for Lommy. I can't be too objective but I'll try. Lommy was suspicous at the time and continues to be so this vote is not overly significant but leading votes are always a bit suspicious especially when a wolf is killed later and the vote preceding it by an innocent TGWBS was for the wolf. It would seem that perhaps I was trying to avert an Isabell campaign, if so I was very unsuccessful and didn't really campaign strongly for Lommy's death per se.

Volo's vote for Sixth was an odd vote and never caught on. I haven't paid much attention to sixth as nothing has struck me as odd but again first votes are always a bit suspicious and what was said about me could be said here too. Was he trying to lead us astray. Gil may have been an easier choice though which leads us to....

Mith (dang my whole paragraph on Mith was erased) I'll write it again. I see Mith's vote for Gil as the most suspicious so far in as much as Gil is a nonfactor right now and it seems that this vote could have been an attempt to get an easy lynching of an easy candidate. However, would Mith be better served by voting for Lommy or Sixth and pushing a campaign in their direction? Even so, at this point would she realize how quickly the Izabell bandwagon would role. There was only one vote and not a huge amount of talk yet. I feel Mith is innocent and if she has fooled me I deserve to be duped and she deserves credit. I AM going to move her, in my mind, from innocent to slightly suspicious based on what I have said. I just realized in looking back up that Mith's vote was second which is slightly more suspcious because Gil was an easy kill and they almost succeded.

Boro votes for Fea which seems a bit premature to do so. I think this vote very suspicious just like I find Mith's. Fea could prove easy cannon fodder if somebody wanted her lynched and not many have played with her as much as I have (Boro and Mith are some that have) so Boro would realize that it would be easy to get the newer players to suspect her. However, I've been on Fea's team when we were wolves before and I saw her in action so I have a good read on her so that may be some excuse for Boro's vote. Boro is wise and cunning and makes an excellent baddie. He has single handedly beat everybody before so don't put anything past him...ever! He's a top suspect on my list.


I don't a lot of time remaining right now

What I am thinking now is that only those who tried to save Isabell last night are possible wolves. Any that voted for Isabell or others are possible bears so I think we pick off that last wolf today and focus on the bear tomorrow. Hopefully I will come back and do a bit more detail on the other voters too.