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Old 05-08-2008, 10:10 PM   #272
Nerwen
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Gwathagor and Nogrod, Day 2.

I'm trying to work out how much (if at all) Nogrod's sacrifice of Gwath was planned in advance, as it may shed light on the voting patterns of the unknowns.

Known innocents are in italics, known wolves are underlined, everyone else is in bold.

NOGROD

#88.
Attack Lommy, claiming her first post of the Day is wolvish.

#91.
Analyses Lhuna's posts, decides she dreamt of Mith as innocent.

#93.
Lists Agan's actions.

#100.
Still after Lommy, but mentions other names (Kath, Nerwen, Volo) in passing. Gwath is suspicious, in tandem with Legate.

#122.
Lommy innocent, Volo and Legate suspicious. Nerwen and Gwath have made "slips". (Gwath's slip was identified by Lommy in an earlier post.)

#128.
Volo and Nerwen are suspicious. Gwath is "our best bet".

#131.
"Could be persuaded" to vote Volo.

#132.
Defends self from Legate.

#152.
Corrects Sally about number of votes already cast (two).

#154.
Quote:
[replying to Mithalwen] You should get that [a diagnosis of monomania] quick before you people make bad decisions...
#169.
Complains that "the whole village is filled with cobblers".
Votes Gwathagor.


GWATHAGOR

#127.
Preliminary post: says hi, needs to read more.

#136.
Lommy, Legate and Nogrod are suspicious. Lommy is less so than the other two.
Oddwen suspicious. Volo OK.

#139.
Defends self against Sally. Calls her "fuzzy".

#147.
Quote:
It's fun to see everyone getting frantic as DL approaches. Ok, now I really am going to go read the thread again and then vote.
#155.
Votes Legate.

From this it looks as though Nogrod's sacrifice of Gwath was a late decision– in fact Nogrod spent the first part of the day trying to find another victim and switched to Gwath rather suddenly when Lommy found something on him.

Hope this helps.

EDIT: fixed bolding.

EDIT 2: fixed grammar
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Last edited by Nerwen; 05-09-2008 at 07:47 AM.
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