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#1 | |||||||||||
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Corpus Cacophonous
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: A green and pleasant land
Posts: 8,390
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A few points, in no particular order:
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Quite early on today, mormegil said: Quote:
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OK, Kuru, you want me to address your “evidence” against me. I shall: Quote:
To summarise my case against Kuru in a nutshell: 1) He was instrumental in nudging me towards voting for Evisse. 2) His defensiveness on DAY 2 was extraordinary, starting at a time when there were no accusations against him and building up as first I, then Firefoot, accused him. I find it difficult to believe that an innocent Villager would be quite so defensive in those circumstances. 3) Since the middle of DAY 2, he has single-mindedly accused me over and over again, without even considering the possibility that he might be wrong (just as mormegil single mindedly accused the phantom until he got him lynched). There are other points too, set out in my post above, but these are the main ones. The single-mindedness seems like a good Werewolf strategy to me. Keep two inncocent Villagers in people’s minds by constantly posting against them. Then, when one of them is lynched, move on to another. They are already beginning to prepare the groundwork for accusing Fordim in this regard. Also, Kuru has stated on a number of occasions how he considers indecisiveness as indicative of slipperiness and, therefore, guilt. But, as all innocent Villagers know, it is natural to be indecisive in this game when you are innocent. It is natural to change one’s mind as the game progresses. Only the Werewolves know who is innocent, and can therefore be single-minded it targeting them. Kuru is yet to address these points (or the others made in my long post above) properly. Finally, Fordim, while your “quiet” Villager theory has some merit, I have difficulty in voting for one of them since I remain unsure which one the Werewolf might be (and I think that it’s only one). On the other hand, I am pretty much convinced of Kuru’s guilt. Your "numbers" theory points to Kuru for me. Heck, I could be wrong about Kuru. I have been before, and I cannot be 100% certain. But, I'm pretty sure it's him so, as far as I am concerned, the best course of action is to vote for him.
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Do you mind? I'm busy doing the fishstick. It's a very delicate state of mind! |
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#2 |
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Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: At the abysmal Abyss Mall.
Posts: 276
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My appologies for my amazing silence so far today, most of this DAY was spent in school for me and even once I got home there were too many small (but vital) things for me to do that I could only read in fits and starts and never found a chance to post.
As it stands I'm caught between seeing the merits of Kuru's plan to vote for Saucepan Man and Saucepan Man's plan to vote for Kuru...and then part of me says that this is too close to yesterdays Phantom/Saucepanman dilema for comfort... Given the arguments I've read (as well as what conclusions and problems I have seen while reading) I get caught quite simply at the point where >Kuru's behaviour is too dangerous for a werewolf >Saucepan Man's arguments seem more well formulated Since behaviour is a rough science to judge by I'm currently leaning towards voting for Kuru.... I don't have a lot of time here but shall likely be back on briefly in a little less than an hour and if not at that time then during break (~9.30) I'll certainly make another appearance.
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A signature always reveals a man's character - and sometimes even his name ~Evan Esar. Pan for Everyone!
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#3 |
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Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: At the abysmal Abyss Mall.
Posts: 276
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Back briefly...as I said I would likely be.
I was just rereading what I had had and figured you might want an explanation (add to that the fact that I found a serious problem with my thinking and I'm back to today being a headache and a toss up) "Given the arguments I've read (as well as what conclusions and problems I have seen while reading) I get caught quite simply at the point where >Kuru's behaviour is too dangerous for a werewolf >Saucepan Man's arguments seem more well formulated"~Shelob The first of those two points should be fairly self explanatory. Kuru's insistance that we lynch Saucepan Man make him look like a werewolf simply because he's rather like a dog with a bone...but at the same time were a werewolf to act this way makes no sense because it's all but asking for us to lynch a true werewolf rather than an innocent (which would clearly be the werewolves main goal) The second point, admittedly, comes from that fact that I was raised by a scientist...Saucepan Man's arguments seem to be much more well thought out than do Kuru's and I am therefore more willing to believe his 'facts' than Kuru's. The problem I have found with this is that it is more likely a werewolf would have such well forumlated arguments than a smiple villager would simply because they would have had more time to formulate them (not time in a strictly 'time' sense, but rather time in that they would have a better overview of the whole game and so could have been planning this situation from the outset--therefore their arguments would be more well organized because they could be changed and adapted over the course of many days before ever seeing the light of day...as it were) Seeing that problem has once again brought me back to looking vainly at my screen and wishing I had a coin...
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A signature always reveals a man's character - and sometimes even his name ~Evan Esar. Pan for Everyone!
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#4 |
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Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: May 2003
Location: The Party Tree
Posts: 1,042
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I have read all theories and posts and opinions that have been put forth so far, I feel like The Phantom did the other day when he believed all of them. Yesterday, I voted for SaucepanMan, today I do the same. I think we should put Kuru's idea into action.
++SaucepanMan
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Holby is an actual flesh-and-blood person, right? Not, say a sock-puppet of Nilp’s, by any chance? ~Nerwen, WWCIII |
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#5 | |||||||||
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Corpus Cacophonous
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: A green and pleasant land
Posts: 8,390
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It looks like Holbytlass is the third Werewolf.
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Do you mind? I'm busy doing the fishstick. It's a very delicate state of mind! |
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#6 |
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Corpus Cacophonous
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: A green and pleasant land
Posts: 8,390
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Well, I might not be around again before the deadline, so I'd best vote now.
++ KURUHARAN Y'all know why ...
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Do you mind? I'm busy doing the fishstick. It's a very delicate state of mind! |
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#7 | |||||||||
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Regal Dwarven Shade
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: A Remote Dwarven Hold
Posts: 3,593
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...finding a path that cannot be found, walking a road that cannot be seen, climbing a ladder that was never placed, or reading a paragraph that has no... |
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#8 | |||
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Raffish Rapscallion
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Far from the 'Downs, it seems :-(
Posts: 2,835
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Originally posted by Fordim:
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Originally posted by Sauce: Quote:
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#9 |
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Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: At the abysmal Abyss Mall.
Posts: 276
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I'm still caught fairly evenly between Kuru and Saucepan Man...however one thing caught my eye:
"You are either lying or misrepresenting what I've been saying" ~Kuru It was for this reason (though with Saucepan Man misrepresenting me, not Kuru) that led me to vote for Saucepan Man on day 2.... I still feel strongly that Kuru is a werewolf...but the only argument against him is one based on strategy...Saucepan Man has a few stronger points against him. >his arguments are very fine tuned (as I've described in an above post) >He has three times now (twice with me and once with Kuru) been accused of misrepresenting the views/opinions of other players...If I had been accused of such I would be far more careful to insure that no one could make that accusation again...as I said before misrepresentation can only lead to confusion and, eventually, a win for the werewolves... For such reasons I feel it to be in our best interest that I vote ++THE SAUCEPAN MAN ...though part of me still screams against it...
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A signature always reveals a man's character - and sometimes even his name ~Evan Esar. Pan for Everyone!
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#10 | ||||||||||||
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Regal Dwarven Shade
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: A Remote Dwarven Hold
Posts: 3,593
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However, it is an added bonus for me that I don't think you're innocent. Quote:
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However, contrary to Saucepan's assertion...I already discussed this back in post #297. Quote:
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that this is not a good way for a werewolf to behave (as I've said a few times earlier).Quote:
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...finding a path that cannot be found, walking a road that cannot be seen, climbing a ladder that was never placed, or reading a paragraph that has no... Last edited by Kuruharan; 06-10-2005 at 06:28 AM. |
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#11 |
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Gibbering Gibbet
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Beyond cloud nine
Posts: 1,844
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Oh dear…we’re picking up right where we left off. Two loudmouths going away at each other making it virtually guaranteed that one of them is going to get hanged today. To clarify, then:
Saucy’s theory: morm and Kuru are wolves who have been systematically going after other loudmouths with the support of one quiet wolf. Kuru’s theory: Sauce is a werewolf and there are two more out there somewhere. My theory: one of either morm, Kuru, TORE or Sauce are wolves providing cover for the two quiet wolves. Of the three I still think, obviously, that my theory has the greatest merit . In response to the other two, I have to say that I find Sauce’s theory the more sound insofar as it takes into account a much broader picture: it makes a logical argument for the voting patterns and behaviour of the wolves as a group, rather than singling out a single person. So obviously, I think that Kuru’s theory is the less compelling – I have yet to see any real argument from him which would put the actions and votes of Sauce into a context that clearly points to his co-ordinated effort with other wolves.Next, there are – so far – three suggested courses of action, based on these theories: 1) Lynch Kuru. If he’s a wolf, go after morm next. 2) Lynch Sauce. If he’s a wolf…I’m not sure who is being suggested as the next target, but I suspect that Sauce is right and that it would be me. 3) Lynch one of the quiet villagers, either Holby or Oddwen. If she is a wolf, then go after the other one next. Oops, wait, I’ve just seen Holby’s vote for Sauce – that tears it: she’s probably one of the quiet wolves. And finally, one more list. What do we gain from each possible course of action if the hanged person is an innocent? 1) If we lynch Kuru and find that he’s an innocent I’m not sure that it proves anything. Sauce has not campaigned for his death, he’s only been defending himself so it wouldn’t prove that Sauce is a wolf. It might cast more suspicion on morm, who could be a wolf using Kuru as his innocent dupe, and possibly on TORE. 2) If we lynch Sauce and find that he’s innocent we can pretty much be certain that Kuru is either a smart wolf working with two quiet wolves, or an innocent who’s the dupe of another loudmouthed wolf (morm?). 3) If we lynch Holby and find that she’s innocent I’m not sure that anything new is learned either. Well, I won’t think that anything new is learned, but I’m sure that everyone else will be sure that you’ve found a wolf in the form of Fordim! At any event, things are – as always – moving along very quickly and it would appear that my cogitations are perhaps pointless insofar as there are already three votes against The Saucepan Man. To this point I have tried to cast my vote in response to the votes of others, but from here on out I am going to vote the way my reasoning takes me and not strategically. To that end I here vote that we hang: ++Holbytlass I must head off for a day of work now, and I shan’t have a chance to check in again until later this afternoon… I have no idea how I am going to concentrate on the matters at hand, however, with this going on! |
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#12 | |
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Regal Dwarven Shade
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: A Remote Dwarven Hold
Posts: 3,593
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...finding a path that cannot be found, walking a road that cannot be seen, climbing a ladder that was never placed, or reading a paragraph that has no... |
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#13 |
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Drummer in the Deep
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Next Sunday A.D.
Posts: 2,145
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Gah!
Erp - sorry, I got out late from work last night and didn't have time to post.
![]() As to your suspicions of me: be suspicious, fine. If you think you've found a werewolf, you are wrong. I've been loud in my life and I've been quiet - and quiet is by far the better. When you're not the center of attention and in demand, how you listen and what you take from it changes. I am led to believe that there are two loudmouthed wolves and a quiet. It would indeed be foolish for all three wolves to be in one camp. My suspicions are currently strongest against SpM, Morm, and Holby. Since, as Fordim has said, we have had no luck with in the loudmouth camp, I am willing to find a candidate from the quiet - ++HOLBYTLASS Her frequent jests fall too close to the truth for my ears. And where is Zali?
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But all the while I sit and think of times there were before
I listen for returning feet and voices at the door |
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#14 |
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Auspicious Wraith
Join Date: May 2002
Location: The Netherlands
Posts: 4,859
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I believe that voting is over, though I may look kindly upon anyone who votes in the next few minutes.
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Los Ingobernables de Harlond |
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