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Old 05-07-2009, 04:17 AM   #1
Nogrod
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lhunardawen View Post
Wouldn't they want NOT to kill me all the more for fear of being implicated in my death?
Well they would love to not kill you if they suspected you being the seer going after one of them in a way you did. But they couldn't afford not to kill you if they actually suspected you. Yeah, Legate would probably be dead meat after you turned out the seer but that's a price they need to pay not to give the seer a chance to get more of them.

Now the interesting part is why didn't they kill you Lhuna? Either they didn't believe you to be the seer strongly enough. Or then you are one of the baddies and that was a preplanned thing you did on Day1.


Sorry, I got to run again.
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Old 05-07-2009, 06:12 AM   #2
Nilpaurion Felagund
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I just realised Wilwa voted before Lhuna.

Which means if she intended a Wraith-on-Wraith she could have done so.

But since in Lhuna's only post before Wilwa's vote she mentioned only Legate in a negative light, a Wilwawraith would have avoided casting that risky second vote.

In any case, a perusing of the archives indicates Wilwa's innocence--that is, she is helpful, thinking, and, more importantly, she is not being vague with her suspicions.
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Old 05-07-2009, 06:19 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nogrod View Post
Now the interesting part is why didn't they kill you Lhuna? Either they didn't believe you to be the seer strongly enough. Or then you are one of the baddies and that was a preplanned thing you did on Day1.
This is Legate yesterDay (#148), replying to my post on possible reasons why Kath had been killed:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Legate of Amon Lanc View Post
The Hunter idea is interesting - however, would the Wraiths really be so much afraid of that? (In that case, they shouldn't dare to kill anybody at all! - Well, not that there would be anything wrong about that ) I mean, there is still the full number of us (okay, now minus two; it was minus one at Night) - so I think mathematically it's not that big chance. The less if the Hunter would manage to pick a Wraith as his target. Okay, another thing to consider might be, let's say, avoiding people who might be likely to be protected by the Ranger - but again, not quite sure who would that be after yesterDay, and also, the same problem as with the Hunter - there's still quite many of us, so the chance is quite small. So I really cannot think of such a reason being this. It really might be just some Wraiths playing it safe from the very beginning, or something else, like there being no better pick as everybody else would suspect some Wraith etc... but that seems a bit farfetched to me too. Hmm... maybe the opportunities to frame somebody else were just too small, so the Wraiths simply would not use the chance? Can't say.
This looks rather as if it might be something let slip from the Nightly discussion... so maybe the reason's in there somewhere?

Note, though, that he seems awfully obtuse about my theory (that the wraiths were afraid that a Seer-like person might really be the Hunter), apparently not realising that it would make him the main suspect. I thought at the time, "Well, he's probably not a wraith then, or he'd be jumpier". But this is Legate we're talking about; I should have known how cool he can play it. The rest may be just him babbling to distract me.

EDIT: X'd with Nilp
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Old 05-07-2009, 07:31 AM   #4
wilwarin538
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Silmaril

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nilpaurion Felagund View Post
I just realised Wilwa voted before Lhuna.

Which means if she intended a Wraith-on-Wraith she could have done so.

But since in Lhuna's only post before Wilwa's vote she mentioned only Legate in a negative light, a Wilwawraith would have avoided casting that risky second vote.

In any case, a perusing of the archives indicates Wilwa's innocence--that is, she is helpful, thinking, and, more importantly, she is not being vague with her suspicions.
Thank you.

So I just had time to skim everything. It seems everyone is trusting Nogrod, which is good. And like someone said earlier (Nerwen? Nienna? Always get those two confused), even if he's lying and Legate is innocent, then we'll have a Wraith tomorrow. So:

++ Legate

Hope to see you all next Day.
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Old 05-07-2009, 08:11 AM   #5
Brinniel
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I'm inclined to trust Nogrod, though I still don't really get why he revealed when he did. Was he really that concerned he'd be a potential Night kill? I couldn't see that. Anyway, we'll know the truth soon enough. And if this is wolf-on-wolf, we'll figure it out if Noggie doesn't die or get attacked in the next few Nights.

++Legate

Btw, a comment about Sally's behaviour. She's acting odd, but I don't think it's wolfish behaviour; it seems a bit too obvious. She's been busy I think, so perhaps she's just deprived of sleep.

That's all from me toDay. I agree that this Day should be used to find the other wolves. I'm sorry I can't be of help with that; explanation on the admin thread.
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