TIG: LXV - Our fate lies with...them?

[Macalaure]

Of and about Alona
(I'm leaving out the interaction with Rikae, morm, and Durelin because I'm already convinced enough they're innocent)


Day1

Alona is one who criticises Nerwen for writing backwards most (could be staged). (+1 baddie-point)

Originally Posted by Nienna

I agree that Mac's vote for Alona seems fine while Pitchwife's seems a little desperate to join a bandwagon. I'm still trying to find out how he narrowed it down to Tum and Alona... but that worries me a bit.

Not sure what to make of this. This comment made Pitch change his vote, although that was largely due to an overreaction of his. (+1 baddie-point)

Form thinks back and forth about Alona and Nessa, and his choice for Nessa can be interpreted suspiciously. (+1 baddie-point)


Day2

A lot of buddiness with Mira in the beginning. (+1 baddie-point)

Lommy says she keeps on mixing Nessa, autume, and Alona up. I've seen fellows do similar things to make people think they're not in it together. She later repeats it (only for Alona, not for the other two, check #671) (total of +2 baddie-points)

Originally Posted by Nienna

-Alona – voted early because she said she might not be around… always the possibility to retract later… thought that Hakon bringing up surveys just felt weird and agreed with what Morm says about Hakon earlier

Suspiciously neutral statement (+2 baddie-points)

Originally Posted by Form

alonariel Very little substance as yet. She has at least the face value of making an effort to be useful, but fairly little to go by. In her favour, this could be the result of lack of time--and yesterday, Day 1, I'm hardly one to fault.

Keeping her safely in the middle (+1 baddie-point)

A lot more buddiness with Autume (+1 baddie-point)

#630/632 could be staged, but otherwise makes Sally look innocent, since a wolf usually knows what her fellows voted like (+1 baddie-point, +2 goodie-points)

Form follows up after Rikae mentions Alona and Autume's buddiness and defends both in a suspicious "it is eerie, but"-way (+2 baddie-points)

Nessa votes Alona, putting her into completely unnecessary danger considering the voting (+3 goodie-points)

Originally Posted by Lommy

Alona is more or less completely under my radar.

Since this is used as an excuse for not voting for her: (+1 baddie-point)

Sally retracts to save Alona at the last minute (+2 baddie-points)

Lommy retracts to save Alona at the last minute (+2 baddie-points), however, her "grateful" comment doesn't look like something a wolf would dare to do (+2 goodie-points)


Day3

Sally digs herself a nice deep hole while trying to defend her retraction and vote for Inzil (+2 baddie-points, but +1 goodie-point because a wolf would have carefully rehearsed a credible story)

Form thought the bear might kill Alona (+1 baddie-point) The last paragraph of #810 is strange (+1 baddie-point)

#814: Autume says we need to look at Alona, but twists it so that Lommy and Sally look more watchworthy in the end. She later thinks Sally is innocent and doesn't know what to do with Lommy (+1 baddie-point)

#824 Form makes a remark concerning Alona being coached (+1 goodie-point)

#838 Alona suspects neither Sally nor Lommy (+1 baddie-point each) She's wary of autume (+1 goodie point) and can't read Form (+1 baddie-point). Picks up my point about Nerwen being the bear (+1 goodie-point)

Lommy gives a believable explanation for her retraction (+1 goodie-point) "Alona's use of smileys is kind of disturbing." Eh? Anyway, Alona is surprisingly offended by that comment. (+1 goodie-point)

Autume mixed up the voting (+1 goodie-point, again, because a wolf would know such things)

Lommy declares Alona slightly suspicious (+1 goodie-point, but +1 baddie-point for keeping her in the middle), also (+1 baddie-point) for repeatedly throwing Alona and Autume into one box.

Autume says Alona is innocent (+1 baddie-point)

Originally Posted by Lommy

Other options? Voting Alona or Autume based on a general feeling without knowing their styles? Voting Form because of a mere fix idée? Voting Sally or Rikae?

Fishy (+1 baddie-point)

#918: Alona narrows the list down to Durelin and morm, and Autume, Sally, Nerwen, and Lommy. The suspicion for each is rather vague. She defends the chumminess with Autume, defends Sally more than she suspects her, is very generic about Nerwen. She keeps Lommy's "grateful" comment around, but says she doesn't have anything else. (+1 baddie-point for all but Nerwen)

Alona attacks Lommy for bringing up Form (+2 baddie-points for Form) (+2 goodie-points for Lommy)

Nessa is suspicious of Alona but doesn't vote. If she doesn't intend to vote for her, why carry her around as your prime suspect? (+1 baddie-point, +1 goodie-point)

#966 Form starts out finding Alona suspicious and then.. makes us pity her? Later re-states that Alona rings his alarm-bells (+1 baddie-point, +2 goodie-points)

Originally Posted by Form

So... if you're more suspicious of Alona, then go for her, but if you're equally suspicious, I'm not sure what the point would be.
...
Can you talk yourself into a flat-out preference?

(+2 baddie-points)

Sally is suspicious of Alona, too, but more of morm. (+1 goodie-point)

#994 (+2 baddie-points) for Form, again.

Then later again, he says he's probably going to vote for her and that she's his first choice. (+1 goodie-point)

And votes for her at a crucial point, but combined with his talk before, I see this as a possible wolf-on-wolf vote. It was obvious at this point that Alona was a goner sooner or later anyway (+3 goodie-points, +1 baddie-point)

#1069 He still wants to retract (+1 baddie-point)

#1098 Nerwen "somehow" chooses morm (+1 baddie-point) - not more than that because trying to save her at this point is risky

I will also add (+1 baddie point) for the morm-votes of Sally, (+3) for the ones of Autume, Nienna, and Mira.


And that makes:

Form 16:7 (+9 to evilness)
Nienna 6:0 (+6 to evilness)
Autume 7:2 (+5 to evilness)
Mira 4:0 (+4 to evilness)
Sally 8:4 (+4 to evilness)
Lommy 10:7 (+3 to evilness)
Nerwen 3:0 (+3 to evilness)
Nessa 1:4 (+3 to goodness)