Tol-in-Gaurhoth revisited (aka Werewolf 2)

[Eomer of the Rohirrim]

Sono and The Barrow-wight voted against the phantom when it was clear that Fordim the innocent would soon attract many votes. Strange behaviour for wolves, as they had a very obvious chance to kill Fordim immediately.

The carpenter and the mason are the least suspicious in my mind.

[the phantom]

Strange behaviour for wolves, as they had a very obvious chance to kill Fordim immediately

Actually, when SoN voted, Fordim and I were tied at one vote a piece, so it was really a choice between two innocents. Perhaps he feared me more? When BW voted, there was only a one vote difference between Fordim and I. I don't think it was an "obvious chance to kill Fordim". It was equally an obvious chance to kill me.

Therefore, I don't think that their voting removes them from consideration.

I honestly think that they voted for me instead of Fordim because they rather would've had him around, possibly because 1) Fordy has never had the chance to experience a werewolf town and I have, 2) they like Fordim more than they like me.

Even though I do not excuse them, I do not particularly suspect them, especially not BW. Though, if he too votes to lynch Fea and she is proven to be innocent, I might have to change my thoughts.

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

Strange behaviour for wolves, as they had a very obvious chance to kill Fordim immediately.

I've got this way of thinking, Eomer, where whatever I've got going through my mind, I find it safest to assume that somebody else is also considering it.

My thoughts with this:

Sono and The Barrow-wight voted against the phantom when it was clear that Fordim the innocent would soon attract many votes

are that that's certainly what I would have done. You do the stupidest thing imaginable because nobody would assume you stupid enough to do it. And once they get used to over-thinking every single one of your actions, you revert to telling the complete and honest pure-as-the-wind-driven-snow truth.

Quite honestly though, if you wanted to be thought of as innocent and you were a wolf, wouldn't you start acting innocent? Nobody is going to intentionally act guilty. That's just common sense.

[Encaitare]

That could be one of two things: we are friends, and she is giving me the benefit of the doubt and pointing out that there was no evidence against me... [Fea]

Which is exactly what it was. As of yet, I have no reason to suspect Fea. That could change later in the game. I'm certainly not trying to create alliances.

Nevertheless, your comment was meant to divert attention from Encaitare to other suspects. [SoN]

Isn't that all what we're doing, in a sense, whether innocent or werewolf? Trying to cast the blame away from those we don't want to see get killed? While the phantom's comment was obviously a joke and not something I expected to see, I suppose I can see how you'd think it was a defense. Let me just say that it was not premeditated.

I'm feeling a fair share of suspicion towards just about everyone right now. I'm almost positive that one of our two "naive" lasses is a werewolf. Which one, I'm not sure... I'm just getting bad vibes from the way-too-innocent thing.

Anyone else think SpM is having a delightfully sadistic time coming up with these fascinating (not to mention themed to each person) deaths?

[Eomer of the Rohirrim]

phantom, I disagree with you. As soon as Fordim put his strategy into motion I immediately guessed that the two of you were innocent (mostly because of the number of players, really - chances were that any 2 of the 12 would be innocent).

However, it seemed blatantly obvious to me that Fordim would attract more votes because it was he who cast the first stone. Within the first few posts on this thread I could tell that Fordim was in trouble. You I did not fear for at all. This was proved to be a good guess on my part.

As to why Sono and The Wight voted for you I can't really offer a certain answer. Most likely they just wanted to defend Fordim because no-one else was doing it at that time. So they picked on you, even though (I do not believe) they really thought you were guilty. So I don't suspect those two characters.

I am noticing a theme developed over the game though: that is, I shall have to vote before much of the analysis is posted, or either wait until the end by which time a majority vote will already have been reached. I was the only one to not vote the last time. It's slightly panicked but I will vote tonite, and very soon.

[the phantom]

However, it seemed blatantly obvious to me that Fordim would attract more votes because it was he who cast the first stone. Within the first few posts on this thread I could tell that Fordim was in trouble. You I did not fear for at all.

Well, I can tell you that I most certainly did fear for myself, but perhaps my judgment was clouded because my neck was on the line. Your logic does make sense.

Most likely they just wanted to defend Fordim because no-one else was doing it at that time.

I suppose that could be the case.

While the phantom's comment was obviously a joke and not something I expected to see, I suppose I can see how you'd think it was a defense. Let me just say that it was not premeditated.

I second that. Other people accusing Enca of being a werewolf brought to my mind an extremely humorous image of an elderly werewolf, so I made a little joke.

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

I'm with you, Eomer. I'm noticing this insane trend with my own posting where either I will vote early or not be able to at all. Unless something changes drastically and soon, I'm quite sure already of who gets my vote. Although, to be quite honest, it may not be who y'all are expecting.

The healer doesn't tell the secrets behind all of her remedies, you know.

[Eomer of the Rohirrim]

How do you lot think I became so rich? By making foolish decisions? Take a look outside your window and gaze at my beautiful house; think about it. I make decisions and have them work for me; I take risks and I get lucky.

Enca I am less suspicious of you than I was earlier: I genuinely think you are just a maverick old lady, so I may be forced to beg your pardon down the line, m'lady. Just a suggestion...

On this day I vote for a girl who has been one of the quietest players so far. She has contributed no theories and has lingered in the shadows for most of the time. Even when pressed for explanations by her friend (whom I suspect to be in real fear) she kept tight-lipped. She voted for Fordim the innocent just as the voting was nearing its climax.

It's a risk, but a risk which I feel is worth taking. Today I vote for ++Ainaserkewen.

If I am wrong then I neither expect nor ask for your forgiveness, young lass. However, if I am wrong, then know that I will feel terribly ashamed.

[Holbytlass]

I feel as you do, Eomer, about at least one of these young quiet ladies being a werewolf. As I mentioned earlier, I lean a little more towards Nimrodel9.
Right now, I'm going to throw out something that has been nagging in my mind these last couple of hours. It is just thoughts for now.
Fordim rashly accused and than voted for Phantom. He turned out to be innocent. Most of us voted against him. Most of us feel guilty about that. This time SoN rashly accused Feanor than voted for her. Maybe, he takes this as an opportunity to do the same, hoping we won't vote for him. Maybe a regular ol' wolf-trick?