Tol-in-Gaurhoth III (The Saga Continues...) - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

the guy who be short · 06-04-2005, 07:03 AM

I would like to reinforce Fordim's point: after further calculations, it is true, the percentage remains the same.

So the question is will this benefit us as Fordim said.

At the moment, I am not sure, one way or the other. On the one hand, Fordim has compelling arguments, on the other, the wolves could hijack the system.

I'm undecided. I am still against the new Seer ideas, but my suspicion about Fordim's maths proved false. I am almost convinced.

One final thing, Fordim. Why did you decide to post here instead of in the Town Hall [Werewolf 1] where all questions concerning our democracy [game structure] should go? Or are you suggesting that we should simply use this system unofficially?

the guy who be short · 06-04-2005, 07:10 AM

Quote:

Kuru, as always, ventures no solid opinions. Which makes me suspicious of him too. And that is most certainly not a xenophobic reaction.

Dwarrowphobia is in many ways worse than Xenophobia.

I will have to think about Fordim's shortlist strategy, I am currently neutral, Saucy, not pro. But one thing I will say in its defence:

Quote:

I see the “shortlist” idea as a very good mechanism for hanging a lot of innocent Villagers early on (the odds are more in favour of Villagers, rather than Werewolves, appearing on the random ‘shortlist’, at least at the outset)

Unstructured voting would have exactly the same odds. Neither system will help us mathematically.

Evisse the Blue · 06-04-2005, 07:23 AM

Saucy, I was in favour of a plan, as opposed to no plan. Chaotic behaviour tends to not work so well in our favour as it has been seen before. I am not sure, however that I undestand your reasoning when you automatically suspect everyone in favour of this plan of being a werewolf. Just a few hours ago, it used to be the other way around: those who opposed the plan were being suspected. Now, I confessed my ignorance when it comes to the obscure (

) science of mathematics, and therefore I had only a vague idea of the shortcomings of Fordim's theory, until more gifted villagers like the phantom and TGWBS explained them in detail. This is why I reprimanded the former for not speaking out earlier, it would have saved me a great deal of headache trying to work out the probabilities.

06-04-2005, 07:23 AM	#3
Evisse the Blue Brightness of a Blade Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: wherever I may roam Posts: 2,685	Saucy, I was in favour of a plan, as opposed to no plan. Chaotic behaviour tends to not work so well in our favour as it has been seen before. I am not sure, however that I undestand your reasoning when you automatically suspect everyone in favour of this plan of being a werewolf. Just a few hours ago, it used to be the other way around: those who opposed the plan were being suspected. Now, I confessed my ignorance when it comes to the obscure () science of mathematics, and therefore I had only a vague idea of the shortcomings of Fordim's theory, until more gifted villagers like the phantom and TGWBS explained them in detail. This is why I reprimanded the former for not speaking out earlier, it would have saved me a great deal of headache trying to work out the probabilities. __________________ And no one was ill, and everyone was pleased, except those who had to mow the grass.

06-04-2005, 07:03 AM	#1
the guy who be short Shadowed Prince Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Thulcandra Posts: 2,343	I would like to reinforce Fordim's point: after further calculations, it is true, the percentage remains the same. So the question is will this benefit us as Fordim said. At the moment, I am not sure, one way or the other. On the one hand, Fordim has compelling arguments, on the other, the wolves could hijack the system. I'm undecided. I am still against the new Seer ideas, but my suspicion about Fordim's maths proved false. I am almost convinced. One final thing, Fordim. Why did you decide to post here instead of in the Town Hall [Werewolf 1] where all questions concerning our democracy [game structure] should go? Or are you suggesting that we should simply use this system unofficially?