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Old 07-08-2005, 10:18 PM   #1
Orominuialwen
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Location: Umbar, but before the corsairs took over. (Ave Maria University, FL, USA)
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Orominuialwen has just left Hobbiton.
First, I'd like to apologize for my absence. I tried to get on the computer twice earlier today, but got kicked off after less than 10 minutes each time, and the second time got yelled at for "checking my e-mail every 5 minutes." Anyway, I thought I'd better explain why I wasn't here until now.

Here's what I think of everybody who's left:
Feanor-- Probably innocent. None of our proven innocents have really accused her. For that matter, nobody really has, except for me at the very beginning, but I'm not inclined to go with that any more. She just seems too conspicuous of a personality to be a wolf.

Holbytlass-- Probably innocent too. I'm pretty well convinced that she's our hunter, as most everybody else seems to think. Obviously the wolves have left her alive because they too think she's the hunter and don't want to risk her taking out one of them if they kill her.

tgwbs-- Quite possibly guilty. Until yesterday with mormegil, who was a dead giveway as a wolf and suspected by us all by then, tgwbs had an uncanny knack for leading the charge in lynching innocent villagers. He's either an innocent with really bad gut instincts or a wolf trying to hide out in the open. I'm still not sure which.

Gil 2-- A bit of a mystery. He could go either way, really.

Kath-- Quite possibly guilty as well. I do think that either she or tgwbs is a wolf, but not both. The fact that mormegil suddenly stopped accusing her on Day 2 is very suspicious, but that doesn't necessarily make her a wolf. After all, the Seer never said anything definite about her, but she still does seem like she could be a wolf.

Me-- Definitely innocent. That's about all I can say!

Nilp-- Same sort of situation as with Gil. I'm inclined to say he's innocent just because I have that sort of feeling about him, but I'm not going to trust that completely. He too could go either way.
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Old 07-08-2005, 11:09 PM   #2
Holbytlass
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Holbytlass has just left Hobbiton.
I probably will sleep through the deadline, so I'm voting now for

++KATH

Because I think she's the mytho-wolf
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Old 07-08-2005, 11:25 PM   #3
Orominuialwen
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Orominuialwen has just left Hobbiton.
Blast! I just realized that I won't be able to make the deadline tomorrow. (I have to go to a funeral tomorrow morning and I have to be there an hour early because I'm singing in the choir, so I will be busy getting ready when the deadline arrives [8 a.m. central time])

Therefore, with much regret, I will have to cast my vote now, sooner than I would like to. I'm worried about doing this, but please forgive me if I'm wrong.

++TGWBS
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Old 07-09-2005, 12:38 AM   #4
Nilpaurion Felagund
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Nilpaurion Felagund is a guest at the Prancing Pony.Nilpaurion Felagund is a guest at the Prancing Pony.
Pipe This is definitely getting more interesting . . .

At first, I scoffed at Gil's explanation of his resuscitation, but after a few thoughts, he would only say that if in fact no role has been passed to him. And perhaps he, unlike me, learns his lesson well.

Now yesterday, I was disappointed at not being able to participate, but I'm glad we got a wolf. I also had an idea yesterday not unlike Firefoot's: the guy might be a werewolf trying to secure innocence with his attack. Notice the way he jumped on morm after Firefoot had already denounced him.

I agree with Oro here: either Kath or the guy is a wolf, but not both. Unless they're pulling the greatest act I have ever seen. But I'm not sure of that.

Hmmm . . . the tough part here is we have equal evidence for the guy's guilt (q.v.) and Kath's morpholupism (hehe, I just made a word up.) Decisions, decisions . . .

++the guy who be short

He's more suspicious to me.
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Old 07-09-2005, 02:57 AM   #5
Kath
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Kath is battling Black Riders on Weathertop.Kath is battling Black Riders on Weathertop.Kath is battling Black Riders on Weathertop.
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Well you all know my reasons so my vote goes to

++TGWBS
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Old 07-09-2005, 04:45 AM   #6
the guy who be short
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++Kath

We're at the stage where, if you kill me, the entire game is lost. As I am garnering more votes, I will post openly.

The three remaining wolves are: Kath, Nilp, Feanor. I am almost certain of this.

Unfortunately, it means the only innocent to have voted for me thus far is Oro, who cannot return and change her vote.

There is therefore no point in, once again, pointing to my extremely adequate response to Firefoot's questioning, which left her satisfied.

There is no point in pointing out Kath's slip in accusing me of piggybacking off Firefoot yesterday, then killing her so she could accuse me of piggybacking off an innocent.

The wolves' job is then complete.
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Old 07-09-2005, 04:59 AM   #7
the guy who be short
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Why Feanor and Nilpaurion are werewolves

Fea:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fea
So many people seem certain that Kath is the mytho... but what if we're wrong? I'm afraid to chance it, as our seer never confirmed it, and the "proof" is just as likely a series of twisted coincidences.
How coincidental. Somebody goes from top suspect to not-mentioned over a Night without so much as an explanation.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fea
I've been nervous about TGWBS since Firefoot's call last night. After her subsequent death, my suspicion doubled.
I have been pointing out since the beginning of Day 3, when durelin my main suspect was proven innocent, that the entire think is a set up, with strong evidence. It is ignored.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fea
but I really think that TGWBS is the one we should kill. Just to disprove his "I'm innocent"s like we did with Mormegil.
She seems to discount the fact that we need to kill a werewolf. This strikes me as too whimsical.

Nilp:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nilp
I also had an idea yesterday not unlike Firefoot's: the guy might be a werewolf trying to secure innocence with his attack. Notice the way he jumped on morm after Firefoot had already denounced him.
Using evidence that has already been explained and disproved.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nilp
Hmmm . . . the tough part here is we have equal evidence for the guy's guilt (q.v.)
Again, the link leads to evidence that was satisfactorily disproved.

There you go. Once I'm dead, expect those three to jump on you. Cunning wolves...
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