Werewolf IX: the Saga Owns You and You Know It

[Cailín]

Originally Posted by the phantom

Shelob voted for me, so naturally I'd like to suspect her (though I know there's probably no true reason to).

Alca voted for a candidate he figured would get jumped on by others. This might be guilty behavior- however he is showing a lot of faith in his fellow villagers to finish the job. Would a wolf be so willing to leave things to chance? I wouldn't have myself.

While it's true it's not very wolfish to start leading an attack on an innocent, at the time that Alcarillo voted, it seemed like everyone was half-convinced to vote for Bergil. Maybe Alcarillo was a werewolf just giving that last little push to make Bergil the suspect of the day. Or maybe not.

Wilwa was the second to hop on the Bergil vote. Was she a wolf trying to put an innocent safely in the lead, or an innocent figuring we have to lynch someone, it might as well be Bergil?

It seems to me a little too obvious when two wolves start off by voting for an innocent.

Wayne stepped in and voted for Alca, putting him into a tie with Bergil. Was Wayne an innocent thinking I don't want to vote for Bergil- Alca seems like a better idea, or a wolf thinking I think I should tie up the lead between two innocents?

That seems far-fetched. Wayne was only fifth to vote, far too early to be thinking about strategy or try to enforce a double lynching. I think Wayne might have sympathized with Bergil, since they were both in danger of being lynched solely because of their silence.

Holby put Bergil into the lead over Kath and Anca. Was she a wolf saving one of her fellow wolf's skin, or was she an innocent that didn't want to see a triple lynching and figured Bergil was as good as anyone?

I really wouldn't know. Of course, Holby suspects me and since I know I'm innocent, that makes me slightly less inclined to believe her.

Azaelia's last minute vote seems a bit odd. Why vote so late for someone who already appears to be on their way to the gallows? Was she an innocent who felt it her duty to vote, and so she, not knowing in the least who to vote for, simply tacked on her vote to the favorite of the day? Or was she a wolf and felt that her fellow wolf (Alca) was too close to the lead for comfort, and wanted to pad Bergil's total?

At the time Azaelia voted, there was only one minute left till the end of Day 1. It seems very unlikely she felt uneasy because at that moment, Alca was not in danger of being lynched at all anymore. But she said she panicked, so she might just have wanted to be sure.

A lot of these questions would be answered by finding out one thing: is Alcarillo an innocent?

As for Kath - it's hard to believe she and Holby are in league together. Kath was fiercely against lynching Bergil, while Holby started the 'let's kill Bergil' campaign. But they might just be really sneaky.

[Cailín]

Cross posted with the phantom and Folwren

As to why the wolves decided to kill TGWBS: might have been just because he's a clever player and no one suspected him so far. Neither did he voice a lot of real suspicions (except for Alca), so it was a pretty safe kill, I guess.

[the phantom]

Could you please explain to me why killing TGWBS would set up Alca?

Simply because their names are linked (as political opponents). The death of one automatically makes everyone think of the opponent. It's a natural reaction.

It seems to me a little too obvious when two wolves start off by voting for an innocent.

That is most likely true. I wasn't trying to suggest that.

Wayne was only fifth to vote, far too early to be thinking about strategy or try to enforce a double lynching.

Too early to enforce a double lynching- definitely. Too early for strategy- I'm not so sure.

If no wolves had been voted on at that point, I think it would be acceptable for a wolf to elevate another innocent to the front, especially if the other two wolves were still out there holding their votes.

It seems very unlikely she (Azalia) felt uneasy because at that moment, Alca was not in danger of being lynched at all anymore.

That is not true. At that point, Bergil was only ahead by one vote- and five people (besides Azalia) had not voted. Any of the five could have popped in and cast a vote for Alca, which would have tied him for the lead- in other words, killed him.

Alca was in danger to the end.