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Old 10-03-2005, 08:22 PM   #1
Alcarillo
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A third of us are wolves? The game is getting dangerous. We must think like the wolves if we're going to catch the cursed one, at least. So who would the wolves kill?

1. A useful person, on the loud side, without whom the village would have a difficult time catching wolves. Cailin, Saucepan Man, Boro, and all the loud ones. Unfortunately, if we lynch one of these people and he/she turns out to be innocent, we have lost a valuable member of the village.

or

2. A quiet person, whose death would probably not help the village make any plans. Myself, Marcolie, a few others fall into this category.

The problem is knowing which sort of people the wolves go after. I tend to think of the first category, which Shelob fell into, is what the wolves would want to eliminate first, and especially last night, when the ranger was gone. The ex-cursed could also be somebody people would be hesitant to lynch. Saucepan Man or Boro or another with little to no suspicion could certainly be the ex-cursed. Somebody with a good voting record could also be the new wolf. However, if we do lynch one and he turns out to be innocent, our village has suffered a grievous loss. If we let him live and he is a wolf, then his influence is surely a very grave danger.
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Old 10-03-2005, 08:31 PM   #2
The Saucepan Man
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alcarillo
The ex-cursed could also be somebody people would be hesitant to lynch. Saucepan Man or Boro or another with little to no suspicion could certainly be the ex-cursed.
I wish it were so, but I hardly think that, after yester-Day's events, I fit the description of one with "little or no suspicion".

I agree that we may be going down a very dangerous path if we try to second guess who the Wolves would have gone for last Night. I think that we have a much better chance of spotting one of the three original Wolves from the evidence accumulated over the past two Days' comments and votes.
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