Tol-in-Gaurhoth XIII: Enter Shamville - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Firefoot · 11-11-2005, 06:30 AM

I don't really care whether we do a double lynching or not. But I do have to vote soon, so if a clear decision has not been reached I will vote for Glirdan so that we're not penned in one way or the other (as someone could still vote for Wayne).

Wilwa - obviously, I haven't seen your reasoning yet, but if those are the two you're debating between I would go for Eonwe unless you really do have a good reason for dreaming of Kitanna. Kitanna seems very innocent to me right now.

So if we take Wilwa's claim as true (I am starting to trust her more), then the three wolves must come from this list:

Celuien - She isn't wholly innocent in my eyes, but she is less suspicious than about four or five other people.
Eonwe - I'm pretty suspicious of him. A seer dream here might not be a bad idea.
Glirdan - Hm... I'm really not sure. He could be guilty, but now that I'm actually awake and thinking, I'm not seeing him as so guilty any more. My opinion of him flip-flops about as fast as he does. If we decide not to lynch him, a seer dream here would probably be effective.
Kitanna - I think she's probably innocent. Her analyses have all seemed straight-forward and honest to me.
Lalaith - Right now I think she may be innocent. However, a closer look at her posts might not be a bad idea.
LMP - I honestly do not feel very suspicious of him. Not to say that he isn't a superb bluffer, but at this point I think he is innocent.
Tar - 50-50. Sometimes her posts seem innocent; othertimes, guilty. She could bear a closer look.
Wayne - will be lynched; presumably is a wolf.

One of the things I would like to do is look more at possible trios - this will be easier once we know Wayne's (and Glirdan's?) roles.

I really wish I could have done something more in depth, but hopefully if this is the last chance I ever get to post, you all will know where I was going.

Firefoot · 11-11-2005, 06:55 AM

As I said I would:

++Glirdan

My final opinion is probably leaning against a double lynching, purely because of the risk factor; but if the four rest of you all decide that the double lynching is the best way to go, I would go along with that. Good luck.

Eonwe · 11-11-2005, 07:44 AM

ok here's how i take it. there is almost assuradly one wolf in teh votes for wayne. wayne is a wofl. that leaves one left to cast a vote. he is in a bad place, becasue wayne is already as good as dead now. that means of Anguirel, Eonwe, Firefoot, Lalaith, and LMP i think there is a fine chance there is a wolf. ang and firefoot are cleared. that leaves me lmp, and lalaith. i know im innocent. that leaves lmp and lalaith.

i would suggest dreaming of lmp, lalaith, or me. but i think lalaith has teh most potential.

ill try to go back and collect teh votes up to this point adn analyze them...

Eonwe · 11-11-2005, 08:36 AM

and here is voting up to now:

voter - vote

wilwa - wayne
wayne - wilwa
glirdan - wayne
kittana - wayne
tar - wayne
celuien - wayne
firefoot - glirdan

analysis may follow shortly...

Anguirel · 11-11-2005, 09:26 AM

I agree with Lalaith that a double-lynching at this point would be too perilous.

Can anything be divined from the Day One votes, when Wayne was a leading candidate? I think, for instance, we can clear Celuien definitively...

I'll return with more when I can.

11-11-2005, 07:44 AM	#3
Eonwe Ghost Prince of Cardolan Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: In a world grown ever smaller. Posts: 678	ok here's how i take it. there is almost assuradly one wolf in teh votes for wayne. wayne is a wofl. that leaves one left to cast a vote. he is in a bad place, becasue wayne is already as good as dead now. that means of Anguirel, Eonwe, Firefoot, Lalaith, and LMP i think there is a fine chance there is a wolf. ang and firefoot are cleared. that leaves me lmp, and lalaith. i know im innocent. that leaves lmp and lalaith. i would suggest dreaming of lmp, lalaith, or me. but i think lalaith has teh most potential. ill try to go back and collect teh votes up to this point adn analyze them... __________________ I've got bridge club on Wednesday, Archery on Thursday, Dancing on a Friday night!

11-11-2005, 08:36 AM	#4
Eonwe Ghost Prince of Cardolan Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: In a world grown ever smaller. Posts: 678	and here is voting up to now: voter - vote wilwa - wayne wayne - wilwa glirdan - wayne kittana - wayne tar - wayne celuien - wayne firefoot - glirdan analysis may follow shortly... __________________ I've got bridge club on Wednesday, Archery on Thursday, Dancing on a Friday night!

11-11-2005, 09:26 AM	#5
Anguirel Byronic Brand Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: The 1590s Posts: 2,778	I agree with Lalaith that a double-lynching at this point would be too perilous. Can anything be divined from the Day One votes, when Wayne was a leading candidate? I think, for instance, we can clear Celuien definitively... I'll return with more when I can. __________________ Among the friendly dead, being bad at games did not seem to matter -Il Lupo Fenriso

11-11-2005, 06:30 AM	#1
Firefoot Illusionary Holbytla Join Date: Dec 2003 Posts: 7,547	I don't really care whether we do a double lynching or not. But I do have to vote soon, so if a clear decision has not been reached I will vote for Glirdan so that we're not penned in one way or the other (as someone could still vote for Wayne). Wilwa - obviously, I haven't seen your reasoning yet, but if those are the two you're debating between I would go for Eonwe unless you really do have a good reason for dreaming of Kitanna. Kitanna seems very innocent to me right now. So if we take Wilwa's claim as true (I am starting to trust her more), then the three wolves must come from this list: Celuien - She isn't wholly innocent in my eyes, but she is less suspicious than about four or five other people. Eonwe - I'm pretty suspicious of him. A seer dream here might not be a bad idea. Glirdan - Hm... I'm really not sure. He could be guilty, but now that I'm actually awake and thinking, I'm not seeing him as so guilty any more. My opinion of him flip-flops about as fast as he does. If we decide not to lynch him, a seer dream here would probably be effective. Kitanna - I think she's probably innocent. Her analyses have all seemed straight-forward and honest to me. Lalaith - Right now I think she may be innocent. However, a closer look at her posts might not be a bad idea. LMP - I honestly do not feel very suspicious of him. Not to say that he isn't a superb bluffer, but at this point I think he is innocent. Tar - 50-50. Sometimes her posts seem innocent; othertimes, guilty. She could bear a closer look. Wayne - will be lynched; presumably is a wolf. One of the things I would like to do is look more at possible trios - this will be easier once we know Wayne's (and Glirdan's?) roles. I really wish I could have done something more in depth, but hopefully if this is the last chance I ever get to post, you all will know where I was going.

11-11-2005, 06:55 AM	#2
Firefoot Illusionary Holbytla Join Date: Dec 2003 Posts: 7,547	As I said I would: ++Glirdan My final opinion is probably leaning against a double lynching, purely because of the risk factor; but if the four rest of you all decide that the double lynching is the best way to go, I would go along with that. Good luck.