Tol-in-Gaurhoth XIV: Nyárë Nauroron Númenoreva

[Formendacil]

Originally Posted by The Saucepan Man

A vote for Spawn was never really a “safe” Wolfish vote, given the close nature of the voting. And it seems to me that both Aiwendil and Boromir88 were aware of the likelihood that the other would vote for Spawn when they voted.

True enough, I suppose. All the same, past experience should tell most of us that Wolves can do some very unlikely things- both rational and irrational.

However, looking at these three, none of them is really leaping forward as a potential Wolf, although I still think it likely that one of them could be hiding in there. And, since I said I would, I'll do some analysis on them...

Starting in alphabetical order...

Aiwendil has, as expected of someone with his well-known intellect, blended into the game quite well. He's kept a fairly low profile, staying out of the spotlight, while being present enough and thoughtful enough to not be considered "quiet". He could be a quiet, clever, risk-taking wolf, or he could be the innocent he seems to be.

Boromir88 has amused/annoyed us with his "dialectial differences" so far in the game- which could be a simple innocent's way of having fun, or a clever wolf's distracting ploy. There's a lot of thoughtful, serious content in his posts, but the first thing one gets out them is his dropped "g"s and his "wulves". And a clever ploy it would be, for most roleplaying players of Werewolf tend to be innocents- at least in the games I've played.

Wilwa has kept a pretty low profile this game- which could be a Werewolf lying low while more vocal innocents capture all the attention, or it could be the woes of a school-aged girl, or it could be the growing experience of a Werewolf player (I remember my steadfast conviction in her Werewolfishness a few games ago, totally unproven, that would likely not have happened had she played a more quiet, serious hand). Whether this proves Werewolfishness or not, I am clueless.

As I said, SPM is right that none of the three are really suspicious. However, I think I am justified in saying that any of the three COULD be Werewolves.

Oh, and to answer a question that Aiwendil had:

What was so suspicious about Formendacil?

Since Day 1 has no past evidence to go off of, the voting is more truly random than on any of the subsequent days. I guess proclaiming oneself a Werewolf (even in sarcasm) is as a good an excuse as any to vote for someone...