Tol-in-Gaurhoth XVII: The Saga Continues to Continue quite Continuously

[The Saucepan Man]

Professional obligations discharged, I am back.

Reviewing today's discussions, I thought that I ought to answer this because it is an interesting point:

Originally Posted by Glirdan

I'm very surprised that [SpM]'s not been lynched yet. This could mean a one of two things. One, he's a Wolf. Two, he's been suspicious of a Wolf and it's to dangerous to attack him because it will lead to many clues.

I can see other plausible reasons why I have not been mauled by the Wolves yet. Night 2, they selected Aiwendil. We discussed the possible reasons for this on Day 2, but I think that it was a logical choice. His death left scant trail and he has a formidable intellect and an aptitude for analysis. Perhaps, were he still here, we would have made better choices. I still think that their choice of Valier on Night 3 was strange. But I can see why they did not go for me. After my votes on the previous days, they (correctly) assumed that I would be under suspicion and a potential lynch victim. Their choice on Night 4 was an obvious one. Moreover, be leaving me alone, they ensure that the very fact of my continued presence arouses suspicion, particularly given my voting record. After all, you have stated that this is one of your reasons for suspecting me, Glirdan.

... we probably want to vote for one more person, and then see if we can between 4 people get a wolf to finally come out of voting.

I agree with this. It remains sensible to keep the voting options wide, as it may force the Wolves' hand. For that reason (and also because there is a chance that I might not get back later), I shall vote now. And I shall vote for:

++NARIA

Basically for the reasons that I stated earlier. Nothing that I have seen so far alters my view on her. She has been laying low and placing "safe" votes, a sensible tactic for a Wolf in light of the way the voting has gone so far. Also, a few of the things said today (particularly by spawn) have reinforced my suspicions. Her lack of presence today might be viewed as overly risky behaviour for a Wolf, but (if she is a Wolf) it seems to have worked for her so far.

Of course, now that I have voted for her, she will probably turn out to be innocent - given my track record so far.

Edit: Cross-posted with Garin.