Tol-in-Gaurhoth XVIII: The Play’s The Thing…

[littlemanpoet]

Good questions, Aiwendil.

Originally Posted by Aiwendil

I offer a few questions for all to consider in the hope that they may provoke some useful discussion of villager strategy.

1. What is the most reliable way of spotting a wolf? Should we focus on the accusations people make, on the general tone of their posts, or on their voting records?

For starters, such helpful questions as these lead me to suspect your innocence. By contrast, I have found that werewolves find it difficult to put on the act of innocence, and their guilt can often be read between the lines of what they say when they "suspect" others. Also, some werewolves tend to explain their strategy by means of conjecturing how they "suppose" a werewolf might think. These aren't definites, but they help me lean toward suspicion, if you take my meaning.

2. What should the Gifteds' strategy be? My own feeling is that the Gifteds, and our Seers in particular, should emphatically not risk revealing themselves unless necessary. Especially at the outset, the prime goal of the Gifteds should be to survive.

I've already spoken regarding the Seers: stay hidden, both of you. Make very, very subtle hints that can be referred to should you be killed. I agree with your advice otherwise.

3. Among how many people should we spread the votes today? I would guess that with nineteen villagers, we should try to spread the votes among about five or six people, which would make the chances of at least one of them being a wolf fairly good.

That seems reasonable to me; that way, the werewolves will be forced to vote in a telling way. However, five or six? That may spread things too thin, maybe? I don't know.