Tol-in-Gaurhoth XVIII: The Play’s The Thing…

[The Saucepan Man]

Originally Posted by tar-ancalime

What's your information? Please share it.

Like Farael, the information that I hoped to gain was based on the assumption that lmp was a Wolf.

I have been reviewing past events and noticed that I didn't have an opportunity to answer this yesterday, having already left the village square for the evening.

Originally Posted by Kath

What? SPM? You ask me to talk more so I do, and while I don't wish to get overly defensive I put my own opinions in all through that summary.

In answer to SPM and Eomer's worries over my no vote though I would like to ask you a question. Would you rather that I came in at the end of Day 2 and made a snap decision on a vote (something which SMP at least has already said is a bad thing) or that I analysed what I had seen of Lhuna, deemed her innocent and decided not to vote as any that I made would have been random and of no use to anyone the next Day?

Well, as I have said, I was thrown into a lot of doubt yesterday, following the revelation that lmp was innocent. I had already formed the impression that your quietness made you look suspicious. I did see your long analysis of Day 1 before I voted. However, I thought that it came rather late in the day (or three days, I should say). And it seemed to me that you were mainly commenting on the opinions expressed by others rather than putting forward opinions yourself. And doing so on a post by post basis, rather than looking at patterns of behaviour over the three days. That always looks suspicious to me, as a Wolf can avoid saying anything which incriminates him/herself or his/her companions by commenting only on selected statements.

As for whether I would rather you made a snap decision to vote rather than taking your time, well, if the alternative is a no vote, then frankly yes I would. A no vote gives a Wolf a place to hide. I disliked Garin's snap vote because it was at the beginning, rather than the end, of the day. I disliked even more the fact that he was encouraging Formendacil to do the same.

I agree with others that the quiet ones merit consideration. Going into the fourth day, we have very little to go on with regard to Kath, Formendacil, Celuin, Glirdan and Nilp. Yes, you too Nilp. I am beginning to wonder whether I was rash to accept your sign. I hope that I was not.

One further point occurred to me as I reviewed the past days' events. Mormegil seems to have a knack for putting forward suspicions of, and voting for, the most likely candidates for lynching. On Day 1, he voted for Gil, who was certainly a likely candidate that day. On Day 2, he made out a strong case against littlemanpoet, but voted for Lhuna. Both were looking suspicious, and likely to gain votes, at the time (as indeed they did). And on Day 3, he made a strong case against Garin, littlemanpoet and Eomer, and voted for littlemanpoet (who would almost certainly have been lynched, but for his disappearance) and then for Eomer, another likely candidate to be lynched. And now today, he has come out strongly against Eomer. It is understandable, I suppose, that his main suspicions coincide with the most suspicious-looking villagers, but this tendency of his to pick the villager most likely to be lynched does make me rather uneasy.