Tol-in-Gaurhoth XVIII: The Play’s The Thing…

[mormegil]

Post 6

A strange post. One thing that sticks out is here use of the double negative. Is it that I’ve assigned those to Mordor or a slip on her part? Either way I don’t like it.

No noose neither.

Post 10

Originally Posted by tar-ancalime

Nothing wrong with a good healthy dose of capitalism, eh, comrade?

Another odd thing that caught my attention. It could be a simple jab at socioeconomic systems or she could actually be so bold as to call Kath her comrade and italicize it.


Post 22


The ‘moratorium on seer talk’ post. The problem here is this that I can view this either way. Innocent, she is sincere and is hoping that the seers remain hidden; guilty and she is hoping to catch the seer soon and use this post to help show her innocence in the matter.

Post 35

She comes across as mild mannered and fairly agreeable. I noticed that she tries to identify herself somewhat with Lhuna. Also she states that she will suspect those that don’t agree with her. I find this an odd statement.

Post 36

Missed the last part of what Lhuna said and states really nothing new.

Post 44

This is the post where she takes issue with Dancing Spawn’s synopsis of events so far. She finds it suspicious that she has posted such a long post and said so little. Yet, in my mind, tar-ancalime was doing the exact same thing, except she posted shorter posts but very frequent and they hadn’t really added anything to help out, per se. She also says that she is done with seer talk and puts her little disclaimer in.

I’m not sure if I want to make too much of this statement but I do want to mention it.

We've got to focus on lynching a wolf tonight and creating a useful voting record

It’s the ‘tonight’ bit that bothers me. I live further west than most and it was 6AM so night time wasn’t near and I don’t believe it was across the pond either. It could be innocent yet it could be a slip up and she was thinking about her wolf strategy for the night. I’m inclined to think it means nothing but I did want to mention it.

Post 50

Changes suspicion off Spawn and ‘mostly random’ chooses Eomer to vote for. Says something like if you’re innocent I’d want you on my team, but if your guilty I’d rather be done with you before we get started. In my opinion, if he’s that strong a player and such an asset why randomly vote for him if you don’t have any real suspicion of him? He can be very useful if innocent (which I don’t’ see that he has been very useful yet…hmmm…) but killing Eomer if innocent would be a much graver mistake than killing an innocent Gil. This could be an early wolf on wolf vote as I am not convinced of Eomer’s innocence. Later she also is adamant about only voting for those who you suspect. I realize it's day 1 but be consistent.

Of note Aiwendil votes for her in Post 80. Also very damning is Holby’s vote for her in Post 92. I feel Holby may have dreamt of her and that she included Lhuna, with less substantial reasons (occupation) to help cover her tracks. However the wolves cued in on that and went in for the kill. Also Holby voted for her at a time when there was still a reasonable chance for her to get lynched. I could be wrong but Holby may have dreamt of tar-ancalime.

Post 124

Decides there is no reason to review Gil’s post and finds the Boromir bandwagon suspicious. Disagrees with Garin’s reasons for voting for Boromir. Suspects LMP and Garin due to their vote and is willing to assume that Formen and Anguirel’s votes were okay. Interesting to note that all four whom voted for Boromir on day 1 are innocent and she is going after two of them here.

Now, Boromir, I'm well aware that I'm coming under some scrutiny myself today, so I do apologize if anyone postulates an evil alliance between the two of us because of this post.

I find this interesting also. I just don’t see the need for it and it seems like a nervous wolf stating this.

Post 127

Was confused about the double lynching rule, which I admitted already I was too.

Post 129

Thanks SpM for pointing that out and states that she is still confused about the Boromir bandwagon.

Post 141

She responds to Boromir’s suspicion of her quote that I put just above and quotes Garin as her reason to supply this.


Post 161

Gets a bit uppity about somebody saying that she is flip-flopping on her position.

Her calm response that she had done it largely to gather her own thoughts (she didn't ignore me, nor did she get defensive), added to the fact that no one else seemed to have a problem with her post, led me to relax my stance.

I could, again, be twisting this but it seems to me that she is saying ‘well nobody was biting on my bait to get Spawn lynched so I let it be’. Wolfish in my mind.

Post 172

Says that she’s not suspicious of any of the day’s leader on the suspicion chart except Garin and proceeds to vote for him.

Of note Anguirel speaks against tar-ancalime in Post 173 and distrusts all post like her 172. Anguirel dies that night. Holby doesn’t’ agree with her and ends up dead. Anguirel doesn’t agree with her and he ends up dead which brings us back to her earlier quote that essentially she doesn’t like people ever disagreeing with her.


Post 234

This is her first post of the day and she quickly points out that she doesn’t believe it points to anybody, whereas I believe I’ve just shown that it could. This alone raises my suspicion of her immensely.

Post 237

Agrees with Kath that Formendacil’s vote shouldn’t be rushed as was suggested by Garin.

Post 244

Farael's accusations are either based on a refusal to understand Aiwendil's sometimes subtle reasoning and willingness to consider several viewpoints and shades of gray (which style, as I have found to my own detriment, can be taken as a refusal to commit to one line of thinking), or they are totally unfounded

So she is saying that she refuses to commit to only one line of thinking and yet Anguirel pointed out that she did do that in relation to Garin and this is why he didn’t trust her. She refused to consider the others and said that there is only one or two possibilities.

She also says that the Eomer—Spawn feud is a bit ‘contrived’ and she pushes more of the blame for this on Spawn. Now we know Spawn is innocent so it would be reasonable for tar-a to cast some suspicion onto Eomer and yet give the greater portion to Spawn.

Accuses me of flying under the radar.

States her suspects and says that Garin and LMP are the highest.

Post 247

Doesn’t fully agree with Farael that killing LMP might be a good idea but we really should look at those who aren’t contributing and would provide some useful information upon their death.

Post 258

Finds it disconcerting that Boromir and LMP suddenly don’t suspect each other. As LMP is innocent and I find no real suspicion in Boromir I don’t find their sudden change disconcerting at all. I do find it disconcerting that you seem to be testing the water for any takers to your bait again.

Post 261

Comments on Nilp’s sign.

Post 285

Votes for LMP as he doesn’t want to be here anyway so we might as well get rid of him.

Post 289

Forgoes changing her vote because she doesn’t want to make it uninformed citing Kath’s previous example. It’s interesting though that she had some strong thoughts on Garin and yet didn’t vote for him when she could have.

Post 340

She says we got too bogged down in LMP talk yesterday and suggests that all wolves might be quiet ones. Takes notice of my observation that Formendacil hadn’t officially noted his illness and therefore it could be a ploy.

Post 341

Says that many stated that LMP’s death would give information and she requested what information we gleaned from his death.

Post 346

Complains about killing LMP for information and that we should vote for those whom we really suspect and yet she didn’t vote for Garin when she had the chance yesterday.


END OF POSTS

So where does this leave me? I am still very suspicious of tar-ancalime and feel that she may be a wolf but I am not fully convinced at least not enough to vote for her yet. However, Eomer and she are most likely to receive my vote and unless light is shed upon somebody else don’t’ be surprised to see a vote their way.

Upon rereading my analysis I came to the realization of just how non-commital and safe she has been. She almost refuses to come out and openly accuse anybody and is usually taking the safe path. I find these two ponits very critical in my opinion and therefore I believe my vote most likely will go to tar-ancalime.