Tol-in-Gaurhoth XIX: Ang Sagang Daga, bow. - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Naria · 03-25-2006, 11:26 PM

Well, this isn't very good now is it....hmmm. So Gurthang what should we do, or what are you and Lalaith going to do, since me and Caran have already voted.

If you would like my opinion, I think that you and Lalaith should both vote for Form just in case Thin isn't able to get online. If Form is an ordo

,which I doubt, we can try for a double lynch tomorrow.

Gurthang · 03-25-2006, 11:34 PM

Since it looks like Lommy isn't going to be able to get on, here's how it will probably have to work.

Lalaith and I will both vote for Caran. We will do this with the stipulation that Form will not vote. I will make sure to give him plenty of warning, so that if he does vote, he will be lynched tomorrow by himself. No excuses, no accidents. If he breaks the tie, he's the wolf.

I'm still going to wait to do that for awhile. He said he wasn't going to be here until, well about now actually. He said three hours before the deadline, so he's probably around, whether he's going to post or not.

Lalaith, when you get here, post and tell me. I want to make sure that we're all on the same page before we get to the voting.

Gurthang · 03-25-2006, 11:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gurthang

...he will be lynched tomorrow by himself.

Sorry, just realized that this doesn't make much sense.

What I mean is that, tomorrow, he will be lynched and him only. There won't be any double lynch tomorrow if he gets on and breaks the tie toDay.

Gurthang · 03-25-2006, 11:47 PM

Point of information:

If the double lynch falls through toDay, and Caran is innocent.

AND

If we lynch Form tomorrow in a single lynch and he is somehow innocent. (unlikely)

Then this would leave us on the last Day with 3 people: 1 known innocent and 2 unknowns. The two unknowns should vote for each other and the known should not vote, resulting in a double lynch of the two unknowns.

One of the unknowns will (obviously) be a wolf. That one will, inevitably, receive one vote from the unknown innocent. He can then either vote for the unknown or vote for the known innocent. If he votes for the other unknown, then we have the double lynch we want. If he votes for the known innocent, then the known innocent can simply vote for the wolf and he will have two votes.

So, basically, the village will still be assured a victory. If we end up with just a single lynchee toDay, just do a single lynch tomorrow, and we'll still have a villager win in the bag.

Lalaith · 03-26-2006, 01:17 AM

I'm here, Gurth. Good morning. *yawns*

Lalaith · 03-26-2006, 01:18 AM

Oh, and the clocks *have* gone forward, on my board at least.

Gurthang · 03-26-2006, 01:22 AM

Well, do you mind if I go ahead and vote for Caran? I think you should wait for a little to see if Formendacil wants to show up. If he doesn't, then go ahead and vote for her also. Make sure you make a couple of posts awhile before you do, just so there's no cross-posting or anything that he could use to say it was an accident.

Caranlondien · 03-25-2006, 11:35 PM

Oh dear.

The problem is, if Form were an ordo and only he were killed toDay, then tonight the wolf would kill one of the known innocents, leaving 2 known innocents and 3 unknowns. Even double lynching then, there's the chance that the last wolf still wouldn't be lynched, and would win the next day.

On the other hand, Form is looking pretty darn wolvish right now.

I don't really have a plan to recommend, but I just wanted to point out that if we don't double-lynch toDay, we're no longer guaranteed to win.

EDIT: Cross-posted with Gurthang

Caranlondien · 03-25-2006, 11:37 PM

Good plan, Gurthang! It hadn't occurred to me that even if Formendawolf weren't killed today, his breaking the tie would incriminate him.

I think I need some sleep...

03-25-2006, 11:34 PM	#2
Gurthang Sword of Spirit Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Oh, I'm around. Posts: 1,401	Since it looks like Lommy isn't going to be able to get on, here's how it will probably have to work. Lalaith and I will both vote for Caran. We will do this with the stipulation that Form will not vote. I will make sure to give him plenty of warning, so that if he does vote, he will be lynched tomorrow by himself. No excuses, no accidents. If he breaks the tie, he's the wolf. I'm still going to wait to do that for awhile. He said he wasn't going to be here until, well about now actually. He said three hours before the deadline, so he's probably around, whether he's going to post or not. Lalaith, when you get here, post and tell me. I want to make sure that we're all on the same page before we get to the voting. __________________ I'm on a Mission from God.

03-25-2006, 11:47 PM	#4
Gurthang Sword of Spirit Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Oh, I'm around. Posts: 1,401	Point of information: If the double lynch falls through toDay, and Caran is innocent. AND If we lynch Form tomorrow in a single lynch and he is somehow innocent. (unlikely) Then this would leave us on the last Day with 3 people: 1 known innocent and 2 unknowns. The two unknowns should vote for each other and the known should not vote, resulting in a double lynch of the two unknowns. One of the unknowns will (obviously) be a wolf. That one will, inevitably, receive one vote from the unknown innocent. He can then either vote for the unknown or vote for the known innocent. If he votes for the other unknown, then we have the double lynch we want. If he votes for the known innocent, then the known innocent can simply vote for the wolf and he will have two votes. So, basically, the village will still be assured a victory. If we end up with just a single lynchee toDay, just do a single lynch tomorrow, and we'll still have a villager win in the bag. __________________ I'm on a Mission from God.

03-26-2006, 01:17 AM	#5
Lalaith Blithe Spirit Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 2,779	I'm here, Gurth. Good morning. yawns __________________ Out went the candle, and we were left darkling

03-26-2006, 01:18 AM	#6
Lalaith Blithe Spirit Join Date: Jan 2003 Posts: 2,779	Oh, and the clocks have gone forward, on my board at least. __________________ Out went the candle, and we were left darkling

03-26-2006, 01:22 AM	#7
Gurthang Sword of Spirit Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Oh, I'm around. Posts: 1,401	Well, do you mind if I go ahead and vote for Caran? I think you should wait for a little to see if Formendacil wants to show up. If he doesn't, then go ahead and vote for her also. Make sure you make a couple of posts awhile before you do, just so there's no cross-posting or anything that he could use to say it was an accident. __________________ I'm on a Mission from God.

03-25-2006, 11:26 PM	#1
Naria Ghost Prince of Cardolan Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 500	Well, this isn't very good now is it....hmmm. So Gurthang what should we do, or what are you and Lalaith going to do, since me and Caran have already voted. If you would like my opinion, I think that you and Lalaith should both vote for Form just in case Thin isn't able to get online. If Form is an ordo ,which I doubt, we can try for a double lynch tomorrow.

03-25-2006, 11:35 PM	#8
Caranlondien Shade of Carn Dûm Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Bag-Endless-Fuel Posts: 339	Oh dear. The problem is, if Form were an ordo and only he were killed toDay, then tonight the wolf would kill one of the known innocents, leaving 2 known innocents and 3 unknowns. Even double lynching then, there's the chance that the last wolf still wouldn't be lynched, and would win the next day. On the other hand, Form is looking pretty darn wolvish right now. I don't really have a plan to recommend, but I just wanted to point out that if we don't double-lynch toDay, we're no longer guaranteed to win. EDIT: Cross-posted with Gurthang

03-25-2006, 11:37 PM	#9
Caranlondien Shade of Carn Dûm Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Bag-Endless-Fuel Posts: 339	Good plan, Gurthang! It hadn't occurred to me that even if Formendawolf weren't killed today, his breaking the tie would incriminate him. I think I need some sleep...