Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXI: Dueling Wizards Werewolf

[Firefoot]

Firefoot, you said you may have to vote early. When will that be?

It would be about 10 1/2 hours from now. I'm hoping not, but that's sort of how it's looking.

I'm still concerned about Firefoot. I didn't find her answers yesterday to be wholly settling.

I wasn't trying to be settling. But okay.

Gurthang, isn't it a little counteractive to tell us that you're going to choose the same seer? The EW knows who that is. S/he has the power to just keep ungifting or set the wolves on him/her. I would probably choose someone different.

Jenny, please do go ahead with an analysis of Kitanna. I certainly don't have time to do something in-depth on all of them...

[Roa_Aoife]

While I think the phantom had some good ideas (that whole hunter thing obviously worked out really well for us) I still have to disagree. Maybe it's my independant nature, but I'd really hate for the village to fall under that kind of limitation. You yourself don't know of anyone's guilt (or so you said), so all you could give us is a list of unknowns. Certainly if you find someone guilty, we should all vote for that person, but by narrowing things down so greatly, isn't it quite likely that a wolf, or even the EW, could slip past you? As I said, we may find things that you do not. Until you give us something concrete, I don't see the good of having you choose for us. Then it's just you vs them, instead of us vs. them. Besides that, the only gifted your protecting at the moment is the hunter, and isn't the hunter only useful when dead?

[Firefoot]

Moving through my list:

Caran: Cailin summed my observations up very well in her analysis post:

There is less information on Caran. She has posted regularly, but said less than some and even her voting pattern underlines her inclination to go with the crowd. She was suspicious of Lommy, yesterDay, as well. She has been clarifying things, tallying votes but provided few theories of her own. I do not think her particularly guilty, but not very innocent either. She might just be a little overwhelmed.

She tends to shift her suspicions around a lot, following pretty much whatever everyone else is doing. Day 1 it was Loki, Day 2 it was Lommy and Nogrod, Day 3 it was Celuien and a little bit Lommy and Eomer. I'm thinking that she's probably innocent, or at least she has been. No accounting for the here and now...

Glirdan: He has been putting out some of his own ideas. There's nothing about his posts that particularly sticks out to me as being wolvish, and with him gone, he can't be the EW. Probably innocent.

Kath: I think that, at least prior to last Night, she was almost certainly innocent. Her posts have been thoughtful, to the point, and sensible. Of course, these things, and the fact that she hasn't been under much suspicion, would make her a good target to be changed into a wolf. I would consider picking her, if I was the EW. But I wouldn't lynch her yet.

Lalaith: I honestly have no clear idea why she has been under so much discussion after reading her posts. Nor do I think that she was one of the ones recently changed into a wolf; she has been under too much suspicion for that. I'm thinking that she probably is innocent.

Jenny: Okay, I'll be honest, my mind has started to wander and I'm not comfortable saying much on Jenny because of that. I would say that she is not the EW, but that's about all I'm going to say for now.

That's all I'm going to do for now, and it doesn't seem to have been terribly productive. But my focus is not with this any more, and that means time to take a break.

Firefoot, you are innocent.

Glad to know somebody thinks so...? What Roa and Diamond said.