Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXI: Dueling Wizards Werewolf

[Lalaith]

We have no way of knowing when the current wolves were turned.

Sigh. Roa, that has been my main theory for two or three days now, and I'm clearly not explaining myself very well if you've been going over my posts and haven't understood my argument.
We can make good guesses - because the EW is not going to waste a curse on someone who is just going to be lynched the same day. So s/he is unlikely to be someone who was nearly lynched the day before. Like your good self the day Valier just beat you in the vote.
For example, you'll see that a whole bunch of us thought that Valier was probably a Night Three wolf because of this theory.