Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXII: Hic Monstrae Trucidant

[the guy who be short]

I'm here!

Two major things happened yesterday, and though people have touched on both, I'm surprised at how little has been said.

The first was Caran coming out of the closet concerning her Huntress tendencies. The second, in conjunction, was the rushed lynching of SpM.

Now then, it might just be me, but I think Cailin's and my actions yesterday would probably exonerate us. I was quite expecting Cailin to die tonight.

Why do our actions exonerate us? Because we saved the Hunter. Perhaps a wolf would do such a thing to gain trust - but it would be an incredibly stupid wolf, and here's why. Caran is somebody we can ALL trust now. Her opinions are definitely innocent. Anything anybody else says could be a wolf speaking, but not her. She gives villagers a safe base to rally around. Objectively speaking, it would be better if we all trusted her opinions instead of forming our own, but obviously people would resist this. Certainly her opinions should be considered more important than anybody else's. Sorry to pressure you, Caran, but you should get as much analysis as you can done today.

That said, Caran is definitely the Hunter.

Originally Posted by LMP

But there's a problem. Caran may be a werewolf claiming to be the Hunter. If she is not the real Hunter, the real Hunter has enough sense to stay under cover in order to be most useful, because, following this line of thinking, if Caran's not the Hunter, she's a shockingly bold werewolf, knowing that a wise hunter will stay undercover for a while, thus duping the lot of us to think she's innocent for a bunch of Days.

False. If she were not the Hunter, the real Hunter would come out. We would lynch one; if it were a wolf, good. If it were the Hunter, we would lynch the other the next day.

Oh yeah. That's right. Well, in that case, we will probably lose you after this Night. A shame to lose our Hunter so quickly. Oh! There is this possibility, though, that a werewolf won't dare try to kill you on the off-chance that you pick one of them to hunt. So you may be around longer than one Night.

Nope. The longer the wolves leave her alive, the more likely she'll take a wolf with her. They'll take her tonight unless our Ranger has been cunning.

More in an hourish. My next post should contain suspicion of morm and a vote of unconfident confidence in LMP.