Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXII: Hic Monstrae Trucidant

[Durelin]

The only reason I'm still alive is because the wolves like all the attention I'm drawing away from them. And so they simply need to nudge the village in the direction of lynching me to get rid of me. Which I suppose isn't going to be hard for them, is it?

As TGWBS has pointed out, everyone's been going after the loudmouths. The lynchings have all been of innocents so far. Perhaps it's about time everyone reconsidered the direction their suspicions are headed in.

Innocent:
Caran

Probably Innocent:
Cailin
lmp
morm

Possibly Innocent:
TGWBS
Lommy
Nogrod

Possibly Guilty:
Mith
Lhuna

Probably Guilty:
Celuien
Tom

Now, the votes have LMP and myself tied. But I seriously doubt he is a wolf. His post that seemed to somehow ignite a SPM bandwagon really doesn't work. It could have been well-timed, but why would he have risked drawing the attention away from Caran? And the kind of bandwagon that followed had a lot to do with only Caran's revealing of her role.

Celuien and Tom would be an interesting pair of wolves. They have, in a way, worked together, without actually working together at all. (Today they're both going after me, maybe with reason, but Tom conveniently mentions that he is uncertain about Celuien. That seems to be about the first time he's mentioned Celuien at all in a while, if he ever did.) Yesterday, before the craziness with Fea occured, Tom had voiced suspicions about all three of the top candidates for lynching yesterday: morm, myself, and TGWBS (though of course he was not quite up there with morm and myself). Celuien voices suspicions about all three as well. And who do they end up voting for? Tom for morm, Celuien for me. morm and myself end up tied. Then, Fea jumps in.

Fea's whole routine was because of RL problems and to try and get some reactions. But most importantly, I believe, was a whole other reason.

Originally Posted by Fea

Celuien: when tomorrow comes, do me a favor if my plan suddenly becomes clear.

I'm trying to keep deaths from being wasted. Wink... Wink... Deaths, plural.

Analyze the bejeezus out of everybody that took part in this little exchange. And rip apart anybody that needs it. 'K?

Both Morm and I were tied. That's two deaths. And it's quite possible that Fea thought either one of us or both of us was/were gifted. She said time and again that if everyone thought they knew that someone was a wolf, that they should vote for them, but she wanted to avoid needless deaths. Plus she wanted out. Fea was an ordinary villager, and so, technically, did not necessarily have any clue herself, but she did find the way yesterday's voting was going to be stupid.

And then she says 'analyze the bejeezus out of everybody that took part in this little exchange.' Her actions were a good way to test people's reactions. And, obviously, anyone who quite willingly took part in voting for Fea could very well be a wolf. What would there be for a wolf to lose in such a situation? A strange cry of suicide - it could mean anything. A villager might want to vote for Fea because of the chance that she would be the Changling. But so would a wolf. And a wolf wouldn't have to worry about the chance that Fea would turn out to be just another 'ordo.' That's another down, with no mark against them.

And who was at the head of the Fea lynching? Celuien.

So my top suspects remain as stated on the list: Celuien and Tom.

Question, though: Would the wolves know that the Changling picked one of them?