Tol-in-Gaurhoth XXIII: Journey to Hy Brazil

[Nogrod]

Fin had had been worried about the next night already as the day draw to a close. Her last word to her mates were "Good luck if I am not back tomorrow!".

She went quietly to ther new cabin that had been allotted to her after Jenny's death. It felt strange and unfamiliar, but surely it was more spacious and cleaner than her old one. And there was a shower there too! Luxury..., she thought.

She tried to rest but couldn't. She checked the door twice and tried to listen for any sounds approaching her cabin. There were none.

Finally she decided to look outside. She was fed up with the air, thick of her own desperation in the cabin. The fresh seawind blowed her bad thoughts away for a while. She filled her lungs with the fresh air and leaned over the railing. The moon was high up in the sky and everything was calm. Why am I so nervous? Why should it be me? she thought and gazed around one more time. There was nothing.

She went back into the cabin with a fresher mind, but was soon sweating again with fear being locked inside. This time I will not go out, whatever it takes. It's just too dangerous out there I'll try the shower instead.

She drew the shower curtains and untapped the bottom of the barrel that was filled with water. But as soon as she felt its cool and soothing effect on her skin, a series of terrible, ear-breaking high-piched screams filled the air with their nervewrecking pulse. She turned just early enough to see a pair of fangs coming through the curtain, ripping her in pieces. The water from the barrell washed away her blood...

In the morning, the first thing the passengers noticed was the fleet of sharks swimming around the ship. The second one was the missing of Fin. Both Sirs made the deduction that Fin's body had been dumped to the sea and these guys were waiting for more. But soon Caran came out from Fin's cabin, holding a piece of paper she had found over the washed remains of Fin's body. It read simply enough:

Murder, murder, that's the game.

For a moment they all stood silent. But the sun was rising.

~The dead ~
Nogrod – sub-mod, ripped into pieces of flesh and bones by the werewolves on Night1
Cailín – mod, forced to walk the plank at the end of Night1/ the beginning of Day1
Nilpaurion Felagund – ranger, lynched himself at the end of Day1
Eomer of the Rohirrim – ordinary passenger, replaced the main topmast during Night2
Lhunardawen - ordinary passenger, overcame her seasickness by force at the end of Day2.
JennyHallu - Hunter
Formendacil - ordinary passenger
Mormegil - ordinary passenger, found fault in the ship's structure at the end of Day3
Holbytlass - Seer, killed by the wolves during Night 4
Diamond18 - ordinary passenger, brutally devoured by Screaming Eels
Rune Son of Bjarne - Wolf, pierced by Durelin's dagger at the end of Day 4
Findëasëa - ordinary passenger, ripped in pieces in shower during Night5


~The living ~
Durelin -- eye-borrowing Jounin instructor
Caranlondien -- ships's bartender
Kath -- plotting slave
Lalaith -- Football Widow
Firefoot -- wandering traveller with a dog that dislikes pirates

Gurthang -- Plank Operator
Taliesin -- criminal who was set adrift
Saucepan Man -- Rear-Admiral Sir Horatio Potboiler
Sir Anguirel Spens (Anguirel)
Glirdan -- drunken porter
Friedrich Engels (the guy who be short)

Day5 has started. Good luck to you all!

[Glirdan]

Wow! Two shocks in one! The first being Diamond being the Lover (if I am correct that is). The second is Fin's death. Why Fin? What did she do? Did she hit to close to home on one of her guesses? Or was this just a random kill? Gah! These Wolves are getting annoying... I shall be back later...much later. I need to go clear my head and come up with an analysis of Fin's suspicions...

[Durelin]

Aha.

I suppose we should look at both the late Rune voters, and some of the Saucey voters, in particular (though I'm not saying we limit it to that).

I imagine Fin's death isn't all that strange. She was one of our known innocents...now we know only that two living people are innocents. Her suspicions may or may not be far off.

[Caranlondien]

Fin was killed because she was one of the known innocents. If not her, it would have been Taliesin or me.

And I don't think Diamond was the Lover... I think she must have asked to be taken out or something. I mean, if Rune were her lover, he wouldn't have eaten her eyeballs in the narration, would he?

Now that we know Rune was a wolf, maybe we can find some clues from his posts.

[Glirdan]

Fin was killed because she was one of the known innocents. If not her, it would have been Taliesin or me.

Oops! Sorry! I forgot about that. I hate memory loss...

And I don't think Diamond was the Lover... I think she must have asked to be taken out or something. I mean, if Rune were her lover, he wouldn't have eaten her eyeballs in the narration, would he?

True enough. Hmmm... but why would she have been taken out?

[Nogrod]

The narration is now in.

Sorry it took longer I expected, but in a hurry I managed to delete the first version of it as I put it into a wrong place and had to write it again...

Good luck to the game everyone!

[Caranlondien]

Hmm. Well, Diamond mentioned the other Day that she was considering asking to be removed because of (I believe) time constraints. Perhaps more RL stuff came out and she thought she wouldn't be able to help much.

[Lalaith]

It's a pity about Diamond deciding she had to quit, (that can be the only explantion for the eels, I think) Today, the person who has replaced her as the one I feel most secure about (apart from the two provens we have left) is Guy, who just felt very innocent in his behaviour yesterday.

I'm glad we caught Rune but we still have three more.
One thing I've noticed..ever since Saucie said he didn't suspect Fin because Fin made too many mistakes about the rules, we've had a whole spate of "whoops, silly me!" type posts. Durelin, Glirdan, I'm looking at you.
And as for Gurthang, I'm still putting him as chief suspect partly because of this:

If it comes down to me and Saucepan, I'll probably still vote Rune. If I vote to save myself, it means the village would have killed me if I hadn't vetoed it. That's rather unproductive, as it almost guarantees that most of tomorrow's discussion will be about me. In my mind, it'd be better to leave an innocent who more people trust (SpM) than an innocent people don't trust (Me).

This statement just doesn't make much sense. In this envisaged scenario, where Gurthang and Saucie are neck and neck in the voting, how does it figure that more people trust Saucie than Gurthang? This just smacks of a wolf trying to look like a good guy.

[Durelin]

One thing I've noticed..ever since Saucie said he didn't suspect Fin because Fin made too many mistakes about the rules, we've had a whole spate of "whoops, silly me!" type posts. Durelin, Glirdan, I'm looking at you.

I can tell you right now I probably didn't even read the post that Saucie said that in because I definitely didn't read that.

Good observation, Lalaith. I'm looking at Gurthang, too, because of his late vote for Rune (by then a wolf knew it would be too late). He could have brought Sauce and Rune into a tie, but Rune still would've been lynched.

Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean anything.

[Caranlondien]

Actually, Lalaith, I was thinking the same thing. I do still think Durelin is to be trusted, by Glirdan is looking a bit more conspicuous.

Now the other two Fin was looking at yesterDay were Lalaith and Gurthang. While it's quite possible that she was killed because she would just generally have been the most helpful of we three innocents, it might also have been because she was on target there.

I still have to go over Rune's posts

[The Saucepan Man]

Ahoy there, me hearties!

I am feeling most optimistic, you know, after the death of Rune. It's obviously not good that we lost Fin, but that was not unexpected. Not that it means much to the rest of you, but I expected the Wolves to leave Taliesin around, what with his supicions of me 'n all, so I was fully expecting the absence of either Fin or Caran this morning. Indeed, I must raise a metaphorical arched eyebrow at Glirdan's (feigned?) surprise over this turn of events. It was always going to be one of three people that we lost last Night.

"But why the optimism, Rear-Admiral?" I hear you cry. Well, two reasons in particular.

First, the innocents are the majority in a three-way fight. Effectively, there are seven innocents against two teams of two, with all to play for. At least one, and possibly both, of the known non-Wolves are on the innocents' side. And the rest of us may not know who each other are, but numbers remain on our side for now and, if we keep our wits about us, we may even be able to pull together in a fashion.

Secondly, the death of a Wolf always provides top quality evidence. However diligently that Wolf, and his fiendish comrades, may have tried to hide their tracks, there will always be clues. We now have a wealth of evidence to sift through. I suggest that we set to it. In particular, we should be looking at:

- The cumulative voting patterns over the four Days so far.
- In particular, the way the votes went yesterDay, given the (happily fruitful) prospect of Rune's lynching throughout much of the Day.
- The manner in which suspicion against Rune gathered yesterDay.
- What Rune has said about his fellow passengers over the four Days.
- What Rune's fellow passengers said about him over the four Days.
- Possible other connections between prospective Wolves and prospective Lovers.
- The possible effect of the Lovers' presence on Wolvish behaviour, both retrospectively and prospectively.

We should also, of course, continue carefully to consider what each of us says as the Day progresses.

Since I could be relatively reassured that I would survive the Night, I took the opportunity to do a fair bit of analysis along the above lines overNight. I'll try to post as much of it as I can toDay*, since I anticipate that I will not be around too much on the morrow*. I have no definite conclusions at this stage, and I am really aiming just to post the evidence, pose a few questions on the basis of it and perhaps put forward a few tentative theories.

I am really rather confident that we will catch another Wolf toDay, you know. Wouldn't it be interesting if we were to catch one of the two remaining Loveless Wolves, setting up the delicious prospect of two remaining Wolves who each know that the other cannot be trusted?

Oh well, best get on. Back soon.

Toodle pip!

Edit: * For clarity, I mean that I will try to post as much of the analysis RL tonight as I will not be around much RL tomorrow.

[Gurthang]

Originally Posted by Lalaith

This statement just doesn't make much sense. In this envisaged scenario, where Gurthang and Saucie are neck and neck in the voting, how does it figure that more people trust Saucie than Gurthang? This just smacks of a wolf trying to look like a good guy.

Maybe I'm biased against me or something, but it does seem to me that more people trust Saucepan than me. About everyone seems to have me somewhere on their suspect lists. Some high enough for votes, others not, but just about somewhere for everyone. Saucepan is on, at most, half the people's lists. (And no, I haven't counted. I'm just estimating.) Henceforth, more of the village thinks he's innocent than thinks I'm innocent.

Good observation, Lalaith. I'm looking at Gurthang, too, because of his late vote for Rune (by then a wolf knew it would be too late). He could have brought Sauce and Rune into a tie, but Rune still would've been lynched.

Correct me if I'm wrong (which is becoming an annoying trend), but the voting was tied between Rune and Saucepan. Rune was up for the lynch because he had reached the tie amount first. If I had voted for Saucepan instead of Rune, our dear Rear Admiral would have been killed.

Of course, knowing that probably somehow makes me more suspicious.

Oh, I also got the impression that Diamond was removed and was not the lover. Disappointing.


Hmm... Saucepan seems very... cheery. Which is something I don't see often from him in this game. He is right, though. We're in a much better spot than yesterday. If I can muster up the time, I'll do a voting analysis, since those are my favorite.

[Durelin]

You're right...they were tied already.

Argh, sorry, Gurthang.

Gah, lynch me for my stupidity, please...