Werewolf XXX - Tol-in-Elendili - The Isle of the Were-Faithfuls - The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum

Nogrod · 03-03-2007, 09:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Durelin

I certainly put weight in your opinions, and you are a valuable ally, but you are not the Seer. I'll think for myself, as well.

You're encouraged to do that... I have never said I should be seen as any Mr. Right here. But unlike with all the others you all know that I'm not trying to do harm to this village... Obviously everyone decides for oneself. How else it could be? And hopefully everyone also thinks her/himself!

But what I can see from your reactions?

Well they don't exactly dispel my suspicions... quite on the contrary.

It's so nice to get comfirmation to ones suspicions...

the guy who be short · 03-04-2007, 09:43 AM

20 posts from her. From Day 2:

Post 139 - Says we should look at Garin voters. Confused that Holby wasn't a wolf.

Post 144 - Confused about why the wolves went for Rikae as they should know the Ranger would protect her.

Post 153 - Says Rikae was safe, but she switched vote just in case.

Post 222 - Says she finds it too unlikely that Rikae is not the Seer. This is what an innocent would say.

Post 301 - Suggests that the known innocent chooses the lynching target - this is foolish and seems Faithful to me.

Post 306 - Nothing much.

Post 347 - Says she did not advise a Nogrod-led lynch, but that we should consider it.

Post 358 - Analysis of everybody. Suspects brinniel, durelin, me. Mildly suspects Legate, Manwe. Finds innocent Gil-Galad, Hookbill, Lommy. Neutral about Kath, Kitanna, Mith, Rune, SpM.

Post 367 - Says if she's lynched, look at those who voted for her.

Post 372 - Nothing much.

Post 374 - Supports Lommy's innocence.

Post 393 - Says she doesn't think Rune is a wolf, so she'll vote for brinniel or manwe, her top-running candidates. I also don't like the way people vote not for their top candidates, but who looks lynchable. This isn't British politics - go for your top suspect.

Post 400 - Votes Brinniel but doesn't like the choices - i.e. Brinniel, Rune, Manwe.

Posts 451-2 Confusion about Manwe's position.

What struck me going over was the overwhelming brevity of Lal's post. Though a comparatively frequent poster, only one of her posts was more than about six lines long. Again, I get the feeling she's keeping a presence without saying much.

I don't like the way she didn't vote for who she found most suspicious either. She also seems a little paranoid about being lynched - the "look at those who voted for me" post. Why?

Her behaviour has also been suspicious - the subtle suggestion that Nogrod should choose one lynching candidate, the way she switched her vote to Manwe to "save Rikae" and wondering why the wolves went for Rikae - a classic wolf bluff.

Quite suspicious, I think.

That concludes my analyses of all my neutrals yesterday. Here is a renewed table of suspicion:

Faithful-seeming
Manwe
Gil-Galad
Lalaith

Slightly suspicious
Lommy
Legate
Hookbill

Don't really know
Kath
Durelin

More innocent than faithful
Kitanna

Probably innocent
SpM
Mith

the guy who be short · 03-04-2007, 09:50 AM

We've been through three quarters of our day, and a frightening proportion of us have said absoultely nothing.

Even before I read the two posts above, I considered that the Faithful could very easily be several quiet villagers lying low and letting the loud get themselves killed. This would be a brilliant tactic because it's proven to work.

On the basis that Manwe might still pull out, and if he does, a vote for him would be wasted, I now vote for my second suspect:

++GIL-GALAD

03-04-2007, 09:43 AM	#2
the guy who be short Shadowed Prince Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Thulcandra Posts: 2,343	Lalaith 20 posts from her. From Day 2: Post 139 - Says we should look at Garin voters. Confused that Holby wasn't a wolf. Post 144 - Confused about why the wolves went for Rikae as they should know the Ranger would protect her. Post 153 - Says Rikae was safe, but she switched vote just in case. Post 222 - Says she finds it too unlikely that Rikae is not the Seer. This is what an innocent would say. Post 301 - Suggests that the known innocent chooses the lynching target - this is foolish and seems Faithful to me. Post 306 - Nothing much. Post 347 - Says she did not advise a Nogrod-led lynch, but that we should consider it. Post 358 - Analysis of everybody. Suspects brinniel, durelin, me. Mildly suspects Legate, Manwe. Finds innocent Gil-Galad, Hookbill, Lommy. Neutral about Kath, Kitanna, Mith, Rune, SpM. Post 367 - Says if she's lynched, look at those who voted for her. Post 372 - Nothing much. Post 374 - Supports Lommy's innocence. Post 393 - Says she doesn't think Rune is a wolf, so she'll vote for brinniel or manwe, her top-running candidates. I also don't like the way people vote not for their top candidates, but who looks lynchable. This isn't British politics - go for your top suspect. Post 400 - Votes Brinniel but doesn't like the choices - i.e. Brinniel, Rune, Manwe. Posts 451-2 Confusion about Manwe's position. What struck me going over was the overwhelming brevity of Lal's post. Though a comparatively frequent poster, only one of her posts was more than about six lines long. Again, I get the feeling she's keeping a presence without saying much. I don't like the way she didn't vote for who she found most suspicious either. She also seems a little paranoid about being lynched - the "look at those who voted for me" post. Why? Her behaviour has also been suspicious - the subtle suggestion that Nogrod should choose one lynching candidate, the way she switched her vote to Manwe to "save Rikae" and wondering why the wolves went for Rikae - a classic wolf bluff. Quite suspicious, I think. That concludes my analyses of all my neutrals yesterday. Here is a renewed table of suspicion: Faithful-seeming Manwe Gil-Galad Lalaith Slightly suspicious Lommy Legate Hookbill Don't really know Kath Durelin More innocent than faithful Kitanna Probably innocent SpM Mith

03-04-2007, 09:50 AM	#3
the guy who be short Shadowed Prince Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: Thulcandra Posts: 2,343	We've been through three quarters of our day, and a frightening proportion of us have said absoultely nothing. Even before I read the two posts above, I considered that the Faithful could very easily be several quiet villagers lying low and letting the loud get themselves killed. This would be a brilliant tactic because it's proven to work. On the basis that Manwe might still pull out, and if he does, a vote for him would be wasted, I now vote for my second suspect: ++GIL-GALAD