Werewolf XXX - Tol-in-Elendili - The Isle of the Were-Faithfuls

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Well, considering what happened around here the Day before, I started to read through the thread yet again, looking if together with the revelation of tgwbs it makes some trace we can use.

Reading tgwbs's posts, he seems to be very complex. He behaves more or less the same way to everyone - meaning there are no persons (from us living) he would have any special attitude to. Actually, he acts much like an innocent (at least in the early days). His main confusing act was, really it seems, the famous shortlist concept, and that he accepted Roa dead right when he learned the truth. However, in the latter days, he started to base many things on Nogrod. The main thing (a "matematic pattern" in him, perhaps?) he does, seems to be point one vote right in the start - a safe vote! - but still then (or before, or around, or whatever) sparkling little hints of suspicion on others. There do not seem to be any particular objects for him - he suspected people who were suspected by others, or merely hinted something. However, all his votes were votes for someone who hasn't been voted yet at the Day (speaking about the first votes, not retractions). He was also a bandwaggon-creator twice - see: his 1st Day vote was Garin, who ended up lynched. His 3rd Day vote was Brinniel, who ended up lynched, and he was so bold to retract his own vote yet. On Day 2, he stayed with trying to defend Roa (an ally). On Day 4, Nogrod cast suspicion on him, so he couldn't do much - but was trying to accuse Gil-Galad.

From this I would conclude Gil-Galad probably being not in league with him, since if tgwbs played still the same way all the days, then this could have been supposed as a start of a bandwaggon against Gil-Galad.

The people whom tgwbs seemed to support the most were SpM and Mithalwen, namely, these posts seem most significant to me:

Originally Posted by tgwbs

Thus far I have believed SpM to be innocent, but his continued life makes me doubt him a little.

The problem is that this always happens when SpM lives late into a game. People think that he must be a wolf, because otherwise the wolves would see him as a threat and kill him off.
However, the wolves know people will think this, so they may leave him alive in order to let him garner votes.
Or perhaps they leave him because they know that he is influential, but his suspicions are all wrong and so misleading the village.

This could be half a suspicion and half a defense, but it could be also a "defense with backdoor", if you catch my meaning. If SpM indeed were a Faithful, and were under strong suspicion, this might have served tgwbs as defense.

Originally Posted by tgwbs

Mith - I appreciate the trust, but I must say you confuse me completely. I have gone from strongly suspecting you to strongly believing in your innocence and back again. You feel innocent to me - you act as though you have the village's interests at heart.

Mithalwen stood behind tgwbs in the Roa-issue, and tgwbs had very changing opinions on her (or at least he says so). If Mithalwen were a Faithful, this might also serve as backdoor, although tgwbs is a little bit more positive here than above. It is however true that Mith was not under such suspicion as SpM at that moment, so no big suspicion was needed, if they were allies.

That is what I had in my mind now, I'm leaving now for a little time, but seeing there is not much activity today, hopefully I won't miss much.