WW XXXX - The scouring of the Shire, vol.2

[Brinniel]

Some final thoughts before I turn in:

Originally Posted by Mac

It might be suspicious that I'm going to drop all my suspicions against Volo now, since he just started to suspect me, but the way he bases so much of his points against me on the wolfdom of Menel it is rather obvious that he didn't know Menel's role - because of the time he posted them (he would have known that much of his points were obsolete after Menel's death).

I do agree that a wolfish Volo wouldn't say this about an innocent Mac. Since Mac doesn't worry me as much as others, this makes Volo less suspicious. Of course, if Mac and Volo were teamed as wolves, this could make a great cover-up. I don't know...I still want to hear from Volo, who hasn't said anything yet toDay.

Only three people did not vote for Menel. Only one of these people have been proven innocent. The other two are Farael and Aganzir. Could a wolf be among these two? Possibly. Farael was the first to vote and his vote for Might was very safe, even if it was wolf-on-wolf. By voting for me, Aganzir brought a third candidate into the picture. I don't know how likely it was for others to pick up with that vote, but surely Aganzir thought it was possible otherwise she wouldn't have made a throwaway vote. If it was, her vote meant there were an even amount of people left potentially voting for either Might or Menel. Which means she was increasing the potential for another double lynch. There might be a wolf among these two, but I doubt both of them are.

Originally Posted by Kuru

I think that Shasta doing something so noticable at this juncture seems to indicate more toward innocence than guilt. To me it seems unlikely that a wolf would do something like that to draw attention at this stage in events.

I agree. I doubt a wolfish Shasta would act so confused like that. On one hand, his lengthy post full of only quotes (posted after people complained he was too quiet) looks a bit fishy. But the fact he unintentionally broke the rules and then seemed genuinely upset that others were criticising him for what he did makes him less suspicious.

We still haven't heard from Might yet toDay. I thought he'd be here defending himself by now...

A comment about the possibility of a double lynch: It's a very tricky situation. The wolves can easily manipulate the voting so it happens...if all innocents have already voted, they don't even need to hide anymore. But it can be avoided if we're careful. Two possibilities:

1) There are nine of us, right? So if we only keep two candidates in the running, a double lynch is impossible. If someone even tries to bring in a third, I would look at them carefully.

2) If all of us unanimously decide to vote for one person. That may be less likely for everyone to agree, plus we'll have less to look at on votes toMorrow, but at least it'd certainly avoid a double lynch.

Right now I'm most worried about:
Might
Fea
Aganzir
Kuru
Farael

Okay, I really wish that list was shorter. But I'm hoping 3/5 of those are wolves...

I'm going to bed now. I'll be back tomorrow.