Tol-in-Gaurhoth L: Battle of the Fandoms

[Macalaure]

Nogrod, my problem right now is that I simply don't have much to add anymore. It seems all has been said and without much new evidence, all we can do is decide what to do with the evidence we have. I'll try to come up with something productive anyway.

About your list up there

With your opinion of Nerwen I more or less agree.

With the one of Fea I don't. All the time you suspect Fea you ignore her fake seer reveal. That does not fit the idea of a methodical wolf, it fits the idea of a bored wolf who thinks she's not going to make it til the end alone anyway so she tries to have some fun and get herself lynched quickly. It's not impossible that this is really the case, but how many bored wolves have you come across so far?

The next four on your list are all looking good because of some kind of vote for or from a wolf. I keep on having the nagging feeling that either Sally or the respective one here simply made a mistake - maybe overlooked a vote and thus got the vote count wrong, or something of that sort. Because of this mistake, the remaining wolf is now alone, but can count on looking innocent. Sometimes wolves plan things like that, but it could also just have happened. I know I didn't overlook something, and I'd say Mith's vote doesn't look that way either. If you look at the surroundings of Izzy's vote more closely, however, it could be, and Sally could have gotten something wrong with her vote for Boro, too.

Now, Boro, he has Sally's vote going for him, but other than that I don't see anything in his voting record that makes it impossible that he's a wolf. I think you're too quick to discard him there.

Your opinion of Mith I agree with, for Izzy see above.

c) he has been consistently explaining in different analysis how he could have been seen as having lupine motives.

Yes, because nobody else has so far.


Oh, and a vote for a cobbler surely doesn't make one look automatically innocent like a vote for a wolf does - but it's still more unsuspicious than a vote to save a cobbler.



I guess I'll go and have a look at the voting yesterday and yet another one at the past possible wolf-on-wolf votes.