Werewolf LIII: The Republic

[A Little Green]

So Nerwen dear, who do you suspect is the fourth wolf? It seems Sally is one of your suspects, who are the others?

[Nerwen]

Unfortunately, the same as your list of "possibles"– except that I really don't have any idea about Gwath (and I'm half-inclined to put you on it too, Lily, just because I know how sneaky you can be).

One thing that I've been thinking is that the wild performances by Nogwolf and Wolfegil might have been inspired by their desperation at leaving everything in the paws of a newbie, i.e. Ilya.

Also, Nogwolf gave Ilya what looked like parting advice in his last post. I wouldn't want to read too much into that, though, not when morm had already addressed half the village as fellow-wolves.

[A Little Green]

Yes, Gwath was on my possible-list mainly because I have no idea about him so he doesn't strike me as necessarily innocentish... I wouldn't read too much into what Nog and morm said yesterDay since they were known wolves and all they said was probably just to cause more confusion. Especially morm's accusing half the village (which was very amusing, by the way..)
Your idea about Ilya is interesting, though. Or then Nog might have wanted to frame her.. My, this is too complicated. But yes, Ilya is certainly a possibility.

Originally Posted by Nerwen

I'm half-inclined to put you on it too, Lily, just because I know how sneaky you can be).

Well I could return that, actually, knowing you...

I might vote for rep toDay practically anyone on my improbable-list. Any thoughts on who you'd like to see as rep?

[Nerwen]

Not as yet...

Someone really needs to read through the known wolves' posts, but what a daunting task!

I might have a look at Gwath. At least he hasn't been flooding the thread.

One thing: yesterDay Boro and tp were, as I interpret it, trying to plant the idea that it was really in the lupine interest to keep Boro alive (I thought of joining in, but I was afraid it would be too reminiscent of the Agan affair). Wolf #4 didn't bite on it, which perhaps points away from Ilya and towards a more experienced villain.

EDIT: fixed bolding.

[Thinlómien]

I'm here and I have really nothing to say. *sigh*

I guess I still suspect sally and Ilya...

Well, obviously, I should kick myself and start working actually, ie looking through the wolves' posts. But I just feel lazy...

[Ilya]

The laziness in endemic, Lommy. Hopefully, I'll shake it off and get to work looking through the wolves' posts later this afternoon. Just wanted to check in on the thread, though.

[Kath]

Well, well, we have proof now of who the noise boxes were in this village! It is a rather pleasant surprise not to have 5 pages of posts to catch up on after missing 12 hours or so.

So, who do we have left who could be a wolf? I was just going to look at everyone and then I ended up accidentally analysing Gwath which took up a lot of space so I'll post what I've got so far and carry on with the others in another post.

Gil-Galad - given our relatively good numbers at the moment I wonder whether it would be worth lynching him. Thing is I'm a bit torn. I wouldn't put it past Fea to make him a wolf and then sit back laughing maniacally as we give him the benefit of the doubt and lynch person after person with no result ... but then it's Fea and Fea loves an interesting game. Actually given that there WAS a kill last Night I'm thinking it's unlikely he is a wolf. If he isn't around even to make a silly post during the Day anywhere on the Downs he's unlikely to remember to make a kill.

Gwathagor:
Day 1 has some very short posts, some controversy over considering voting for himself and voted Nogrod. Was mentioned by Nog - 'maybe we should not judge too heavily at this moment but he does look evasive indeed'. Potentially a wolf buddy 'ooh look but don't actually' moment. Argumentative with Legate - poking at his suspicions of Agan and questioning his vote for phantom. The second comment against Legate is odd ... it seems more misunderstanding than anything else but the tone is very accusing. Nog then voted to lynch him. What I can't recall is whether there was any other support for Gwath being lynched Day 1. If there was then it seems unlikely he and Nog were wolf buddies, if there wasn't then it's a pretty safe vote and that likelihood goes up.
Day 2 I do not get his reasoning for assuming Nog innocent. Joins the 'why must you have secret ploys' brigade. Fails to vote.
Day 3 - says Eonwe's list isn't useful because his suspicions sound the same - I have to say I disagree but that's personal opinion. Pushing idea of phantom and Boro both being wolves. Seemed almost behind the times - 'maybe the Seer has dreamt of one of you already' when that was the angle that phantom had been pushing for ages. Hmm, mentions Nog again ... sort of defending him. Despite suggesting that Boro and phantom may both be wolves he then votes Boro as his Rep and also says he doesn't want to get rid of him yet ... which if we can believe what our wolves were saying yesterDay was a major part of their discussions during the Night, perhaps this is a Daytime message along the same lines. Says odd reasoning to vote Ka ... which is just what morm says a bit later.
Day 4 - surprised that Ka is a wolf. Could go either way that one really. Overly confused by Boro's revelation. Turns against Nog ... saving his own skin? Votes Nerwen as meant to. Hasn't said anything so far toDay I don't think. Well, I have to say that from that rather impromptu analysis I think he could well be a wolf. He hasn't been as quiet as many people seem to think he has been but much of what he has said has been one liners. I definitely think he's suspicious.

Unlikely wolf:
Gil

Likely wolf:
Gwath