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Old 02-23-2009, 12:33 AM   #1
Mnemosyne
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I just did a quick numbers crunch to see where we stand right now. So forgive me for pointing out the obvious.

We're at 7 ordos, 3 gifteds, and 5 baddies (one of whom counts towards the ordo tally).

We outnumber them 2:1 at the moment. Or, statistically, one of those of us who have posted thus far toDay is playing for Sauron.

With this whole 2 kills/night thing, this margin is Not Good.

On the other hand, that makes our chances of killing a baddie at Day better.

One third of the players at the moment are evil. Keep that in mind, folks.
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Old 02-23-2009, 12:36 AM   #2
Mirandir
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Originally Posted by Mnemosyne View Post
One third of the players at the moment are evil. Keep that in mind, folks.
Do you mean in general or who are posting right now? Forgive me if it's obvious but my mind is functioning at very limited capacity at the moment.
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Old 02-23-2009, 12:38 AM   #3
Mnemosyne
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Well, at the time I was typing, only Fea, Sally and I had posted. So it was literally 1 out of 3.

But in general it's true, too.
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Old 02-23-2009, 12:41 AM   #4
Mnemosyne
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I am making no sense tonight, not even to myself!

Of course I don't know if that first statement in the post above is true or not. Statistically it's rather invalid, as it was only a sample of three--it was just a useful way of thinking about it.
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Old 02-23-2009, 12:43 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by Mnemosyne View Post
I am making no sense tonight, not even to myself!

Of course I don't know if that first statement in the post above is true or not. Statistically it's rather invalid, as it was only a sample of three--it was just a useful way of thinking about it.
And here I was about to jump down your throat as to how you could possibly be so sure of that.
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Old 02-23-2009, 12:47 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mira
And here I was about to jump down your throat as to how you could possibly be so sure of that.







...Yeah, realized that 10 seconds after I'd made that first post.
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Old 02-23-2009, 02:29 PM   #7
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Alrighty, I'm back and I have re-read everything! Wow. K, so here's my list, with a rating from 1-10 (1 being snow white innocent, 10 being pitch black guilty, in my eyes), it has changed a lot from yesterDay, just cause I hadn't been as thorough yesterDay, so here it is:

Mirandir: Didn't say too much so she makes me uneasy, I find it interesting that she kept up so well with the vote tallys and yet wasn't able to vote. 8

Durelin: Not much to go on I find, so she too makes me a bit uneasy, I'm willing to hold off a bit though on her. 6

Fea: Is Fea, so I will wait til later to try and sort out exactly how I feel, so I can see more from her. 5

Izzy: Not really getting any negative vibes from her, so I'm gonna go with thinking innocent for now. 3

the phantom: He seems normal tp to me, so yet another neutral for me. 5

Brinn: I didn't like her yesterDay, but I'll admit I hadn't read her posts thoroughly, after re-reading them a bit I've come to be more comfortable with her, even though her vote did bring Gwath into the tie, but still don't see anything too baddie from her for now. 3

Sally: not much substance from her I find, but according to what people have said about her that's normal for her, so I don't really know, though my gut doesn't like her. 7

Lariren: I find she goes in circles a bit, seems to be tip-toeing and agreeing. So she makes me a bit unsure, but not necessarily all out suspicious. 6

Rikae: I'm fairly comfortable with her so far, I haven't seen anything suspicious. 3

Eonwe: Still don't like him very much, but he said he wouldn't be aroud toDay so I don't think I'll be voting for him again. 7

Nogrod: Talks alot, that makes me just as uneasy as the ones who never post. So I really don't know yet, I'll need to read all his many posts one more time to really get a feel, but so far not liking it. 6

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mnemosyne View Post
And I'm really quite miffed that it was Gwath who got the tie, even though he looked vaguely suspicious for jumping on Nog's reasoning like that. I considered retracting to put him in the lead after that flurry of crosspost votes, but couldn't do it in good conscience since he was giving information and appeared to be nothing more to me than a misguided innocent.
Mnemo: Because of the above post I really am not feeling good about her. Just something about that little part feels wrong to me, like she's saying "haha I knew he was innocent", just not liking it at all. 8

Kath: Really badly want her to post. 5

Hansy: Seems to be pretty savvy considering this is his first game, uneasy but will let him be toDay unless he says something later on toDay that I don't like. 6

Therefore my possible vote will be for Mira or Mnemo, though Sally is a possibility aswell.

Be back in a couple hours to re-evaluate. Study time.
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Old 02-23-2009, 12:47 AM   #8
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And here I was about to jump down your throat as to how you could possibly be so sure of that.
Well, there's certainly one obvious explanation....


Some ducks do have claws, after all.
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Old 02-23-2009, 12:48 AM   #9
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Speaking of explanations, Sally...

*prods*
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Old 02-23-2009, 08:14 AM   #10
Feanor of the Peredhil
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I'm awake-

but useless until after breakfast.

Then I shall take a look at my notes and try to find anything of value to post.

It's neat, having so many gifteds: instead of ordos who act without information, you can sit and look for people who fit specific role constraints. You might not find anything, but the potential is there.

It's not very useful early in the game, but I'm having fun looking for patterns. Though if my example with Nog is an indicator, maybe I should sit back and wait to be told what to think.
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Old 02-23-2009, 08:44 AM   #11
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So I had a a few things that I was going to look at from yesterDay but then saw that they were explained/in the light of more sleep not as important. I really was going to ask about the Nog and Fea seer thing, but then thought better of it because it was explained already.

As for other things: would Nerwen have been a safe wolf kill because she didn't vote yesterDay?

As for thoughts on why Eomer was chosen: he was making a lot of sense, and sort of sounded like he was playing it safe as a gifted, but then again, I don't know his persona from before, therefore not sure what he would have been like as an ordo/gifted/baddie.

I really have nothing else interesting to say. Later I probably will, mostly because then more people would have posted/I will procrastinate doing work to go through again and see if anything catches my eye.

Edit: X-posted with pre-breakfast Fea.
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Last edited by Lariren Shadow; 02-23-2009 at 08:44 AM. Reason: x-posting
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Old 02-23-2009, 09:18 AM   #12
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Sorry; got distracted by writing an essay about how video game mentality could solve the world's economic problems. Still haven't eaten...

I'll be around for real later.
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