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#1 |
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Beloved Shadow
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Yeah, that didn't go so well yesterday.
But of course it could have been worse.And to be fair, Nog did turn out to be not normal, didn't he? The fact is I thought he was a bit different a few times throughout, but I worried about voicing suspicion in case he was a White Gifted rather than Black. I was getting both kind of vibes from him, so I just claimed he was innocent and put him on the back burner to be watched. But when I saw that I could throw him into the voting mix, I made a split second decision- "You know, I'm gonna do it! He's been funny so let's just go ahead and see." Plus I was wanting to save Izzy. Anyway, this evening I finally got a chance to do a bit of digging (I've been far below my usual standards thus far when it comes to reading and rereading). And guess what? I found some interesting stuff and I feel like I'm on better footing now. The lynch will finally go favorably I think. And you know Shasta has got to be entertained thus far. I mean just think of all the Werewolfing stars there are here. There's Fea, me... um, Fea, and.... me. And Fea of course. A regular VIP show right there, wouldn't you say, m'dear?
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#3 |
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Beloved Shadow
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About the lynch, there are a couple possibilities that spring easily to mind...
1) The White Queen's vote counts for more. 2) The White Queen is immune to the lynch and must be killed at night. 3) The White Queen cannot be killed on the first attempt. Given that, I can't believe a certain someone is alive today. Do the WereCreatures really expect us to lynch in that direction.
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#4 |
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Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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I still think there's something to be said for the fact that those initial Izzy votes were all so spread out early in the day, and all apparently arrived at by people who had "reasoned independently" and came to the same conclusion at the same time.
We now know one of them was Nog, a known innocent. As I said, I don't know what was going on, but I didn't like the look of it. And I still don't, despite the fact that Nog did vote her. phantom, if the White Queen's vote counts for more than an innocent's, that Day One tie may be helpful to those who want to find out her identity. But as you said there are other possibilities.
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#5 | |
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Beloved Shadow
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#6 |
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Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Yeah... basically, we don't know and unless a miracle happens, won't find out till the end of the game. Better, IMO, to hunker down and get back to work. I'm still convinced there was at least one wolf in the group of Izzy voters. Coincidences like that don't happen.
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#7 |
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Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Also, I hope Eonwe and Durelin are both back and in working order! We can't give silent players a free pass forever, even though they're having RL troubles.
I really can't wait till we've got a flood of more opinions out here. Recent events should result in a flowering of ideas, which I hope can be translated into evidence. I really want to hear more from Fea, because I'm concerned about her actions yesterDay. Hansy's reactions, given that he voted Nog first when Nog was nowhere in the running for a lynch, should be interesting. Come to think of it, that whole Nog-in-second-place seemed to me, at least, to spring from nowhere! phantom voting him on a lark I can see, but it still don't look good. Oh, and phantom, you're still alive. I'm starting to get worried.
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#8 | |
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Beloved Shadow
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Good thoughts, Sally. Similar to some of the stuff than went through my head. Indeed, Izzy and Brin are the prime candidates in such a case. Oh, and maybe one other person. Can't think of the name... *snicker*
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#9 | |
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Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Interestink thoughts, Sally.
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Then again, I'm rather grasping at straws here. Anything which looks off is grounds for concern, regardless of the feelings I get about players, because I don't get any feelings about them other than "innocent" or "unknown," generally. It may not have been a Vast Wolvish Conspiracy, but that doesn't mean no one was involved. Of course, Sally's vote looks odd, explanation or no.
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#10 | |
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Beloved Shadow
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#11 |
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Beloved Shadow
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Izzy went out to her lead early, so it's not as if her voters were reacting to anything (a threat to one of their pack-mates). The only person who ended up being threatened with the noose was Nog, and we know that he wasn't a WereWolf, so there was no compelling reason to vote Izzy over him. You certainly can't say it was because the Wolfpack suspected her of being Gifted, otherwise they would've eaten her last Night.
It may seem like it can't possibly be a coincidence, but I'm not seeing a reason why it shouldn't be one.
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#12 |
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The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Well, I would just like to say that I thoroughly enjoy having my laptop back. It's so nice to not be on some rubbish machine from the Dark Ages, but instead to be on my lovely Hunter with his bright shiny screen and....oh, I dunno....working internet connection. I'm happy he's all better. It means I can at least attempt to play properly!
![]() Sorry. Slight euphoria going on over here, that's all. ![]() I'm again concerned by Brinn and Phantom's votes. Now I realize Phantom was being silly (and he did explain himself toDay) but that's two Days in a row in which Brinn has influenced the....oh my giddy aunt. Phantom may be right. And if anyone makes sense for the double vote power, it's her. "Let me explain. No, there is too little time. Let me sum up." I know I'm a bit thick but go with me on this one. Day One it was a tie between Gwath and Fea. Brinn put in her vote for Gwath at the last minute, and Gwath was the unfortunate loser of the tie. (What if it really wasn't a tie?) Day Two Izzy was technically ahead, but Brinn put in her vote for Noggie and he somehow managed to perish. (What if she pushed the vote into a tie?) I'm just saying. Shasta didn't mention a tie on the second Day, but if that's the case he wouldn't anyway, since it's a secret role. Does that make sense to anyone else? Or should I don a white straitjacket and take Hunter to the happy home to post for the rest of the Day? EDIT: x'd with Phantom EDIT again: I kind of messed something up, so I had to sort of do the post over. Sorry if it's a tad different.
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Last edited by satansaloser2005; 02-25-2009 at 12:40 AM. |
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#14 |
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The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Never said she wasn't, love. What's your point?
Heh, yeah Izzy, I had the same reaction. To be honest, I'm really upset that Noggie got lynched instead of you, but happy you're still alive. Does that make sense?
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#15 | ||||
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La Belle Dame sans Merci
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Would anybody at all be surprised if Sally wasn't being wholly innocent in her flippant remarks? --- Oh yeah- Shasta: ++MITH --- Quote:
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*watches people in the library boredly*
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#16 |
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La Belle Dame sans Merci
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Upon reflection, my last post seems more grouchy than usual. I apologize for its tone, and beg understanding of my idiot body's inability to function without real food at frequent intervals. I shouldn't post at all until after balanced meals.
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#17 |
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Animated Skeleton
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 34
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Most of this stuff is taken out of Day 2, maybe I've mixed some ideas in, but at this moment that's what I've analyzed. If it doesn't take too long, I'm re-reading Day 3 today, but I don't think it's happening.
Durelin - Right now, who I'm more confident of their innocence. Seems the most sincere to me. Feanor of the Peredhil - For someone as strong-minded as her, getting a vote from narrowing down the player list is kind of strange... she didn't stand out anymore, that adds to my suspicions. Isabellkya - I'd still go innocent for her; she's usually more agressive when she plays evil. So I like the general smooth appearance of her. the phantom & Brinniel - Seeing them both involved on Gwath's and Nogrod's lynches, they barely interacted with each other, I'd think this is a good shot on a evil duo... You could throw in Fea here, maybe Day 1's occurance was meant to make her look worse, I don't know. satansaloser2005 - She's playing it different than last game; I can't relate her with anyone, but I can't stop thinking she's evil. Add Eomer's death, you have your Black Queen. Do us all a favor and kill that black bishop/rook tonight. If you don't, they'll outnumber everyone soon anyway, giving you no room.Lariren Shadow - Went back from "probably innocent" to "I have no idea". Her posts weren't conclusive enough for me, they were giving mixed impressions. wilwarin538 - When she posted her list on day 2 I agreed with most of her points, from what I've seen I'm not worried so far, if she's a wolf it's playing the backup member or something. Rikae - Her reasoning is, well, reasonable all the time. I don't know how she plays evil, but this Rikae looks more or less like the innocent Rikae from last game. Eonwe - Just didn't see enough, though I remember him raising my eyebrow on Day 1. Mnemosyne - Now I'm starting to worry about her.. when Izzy asked her about the "Who're we killing today?" bit she said right after Night 2, it could be taken as a cobbler hinting to the wolves. Kath - Nothing stands out from what I've seen, really. Overall innocent feeling. So, summary: More Evil: TP, Sally Less Evil: Nemo, Brinn I don't know: Eonwe, Fea, Lari Less Innocent: Kath, Izzy More Innocent: Durelin, Rikae, Wilva ++The Phantom |
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#18 | |
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The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Hansy's analysis of a few people, put in italics, followed by my reaction in regular type. Does not necessarily reflect my opinion of the players he's analyzing, but rather my comment on his logic. Thanks for listening, and enjoy my post.
Durelin - Right now, who I'm more confident of their innocence. Seems the most sincere to me. Just to point it out for you, Durie's a girl. Just so you know. She does indeed seem sincere, but just because she seems sincere and kind doesn't mean she's innocent, so keep that in mind.Feanor of the Peredhil - For someone as strong-minded as her, getting a vote from narrowing down the player list is kind of strange... she didn't stand out anymore, that adds to my suspicions. So Fea's not Fea enough for you? Erm....okay? So she's not allowed to be logical now, I see. Thanks for clearing that up. Don't worry, Fea, we all still love you, even if you go sane on us. Isabellkya - I'd still go innocent for her; she's usually more agressive when she plays evil. So I like the general smooth appearance of her. But players change styles, so saying that she is acting normally is saying nothing, especially for a good player like Izzy. the phantom & Brinniel - Seeing them both involved on Gwath's and Nogrod's lynches, they barely interacted with each other, I'd think this is a good shot on a evil duo... You could throw in Fea here, maybe Day 1's occurance was meant to make her look worse, I don't know. I won't really disagree with this, but both of them voting for the same people doesn't mean they're on the evil team together. Maybe a bishop/rook and a cobbler, Queen and cobbler, or Queen and bishop/rook, but Brinn and Phantom are, at least in my opinion, too smooth to be that obvious, especially when they could have let Fea die (I know Brinn's cool with throwing her packmates under the bus and I'm sure Phantom would be too, which of course isn't to speak ill of them) and gone on about their business. satansaloser2005 - She's playing it different than last game; I can't relate her with anyone, but I can't stop thinking she's evil. Add Eomer's death, you have your Black Queen. Do us all a favor and kill that black bishop/rook tonight. If you don't, they'll outnumber everyone soon anyway, giving you no room. Now I don't mind being suspected, but this is rather silly. Hun, of course I am playing differently from last game. Last game I was evil, this game I'm not. And how does Eomer's death implicate me? I mean yes, he voted me, but believe me, I'm rarely that transparent with my kills. Besides, I would rather have taken out other players of whom I was afraid, or whom I thought would be a good no-trace kill. Eomer's not my kill style (not that you'll believe me, of course, and I wouldn't expect you to) so his death tells you nothing. However, I'd love to help you get rid of the black bishop or black rook. Even the Queen, if I can manage it. Just give me a bit more time and I can guarantee I'll be able to help the village. Lariren Shadow - Went back from "probably innocent" to "I have no idea". Her posts weren't conclusive enough for me, they were giving mixed impressions. Okay....not much to say if he doesn't have anything really to say. wilwarin538 - When she posted her list on day 2 I agreed with most of her points, from what I've seen I'm not worried so far, if she's a wolf it's playing the backup member or something. Or she's playing it carefully. Remember that a good wolf knows who to suspect in order to look good, if that makes any sense at all, and just because you agree with someone doesn't mean they're innocent. Rikae - Her reasoning is, well, reasonable all the time. I don't know how she plays evil, but this Rikae looks more or less like the innocent Rikae from last game. Dude, a reasonable Rikae is an evil Rikae. They're all evil Rikaes. Seriously though, Rikae's always fairly reasonable, at least in her arguments, even if she acts like a complete whackjob.Eonwe - Just didn't see enough, though I remember him raising my eyebrow on Day 1. Understandable. He's not been around a whole lot. Mnemosyne - Now I'm starting to worry about her.. when Izzy asked her about the "Who're we killing today?" bit she said right after Night 2, it could be taken as a cobbler hinting to the wolves. Doubtful. Mnemo's just playful like that. She could be evil in some form, but I doubt that would be one of the indicators of her role. Kath - Nothing stands out from what I've seen, really. Overall innocent feeling. Again, nothing really said, so nothing to say. Quote:
EDIT: x'd since my last
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#20 | |
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Beloved Shadow
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#21 | |||||||||
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Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Okay, Rikae, here we go. I am not saying that this is what Sally is, but it's certainly what she's claiming to be.
First of all, keep in mind that all this madness only started on Day Three: Quote:
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Later on, when Steve asks Sally if she's the black pawn, she says, Quote:
Her next quote is Quote:
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I have no idea what sally actually is, but she seems to be saying that she's a second hunter, probably hunterified during Night Three because Shasta is weird. And she also seems to be implying by her "we'll know x if I'm killed" that she's a logical hunter. And since I'm willing to believe that Kath dreamed sally Night Three, that implies that she's at the worst a cobbler. Rikae, you are NOT making this look good for yourself. I want to believe you so badly, but you're not. ...And she just said "for the love of Orion." THE HUNTER. THE FREAKING HUNTER. So that is who Sally says she is. ...Right, sally? ...Right? *crickets chirp*
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#22 |
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The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#23 |
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Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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...In case you're wondering, that's my sally-analysis/crack theory.
That's right, folks, she's claiming to have a role that doesn't exist. So either she's a cobbler (whom we ignore and don't kill) or she's an innocent playing with our minds or she's telling the truth. So, Rikae, if you're correct and not a cobbler/wolf/bear, let's just give sally the benefit of the doubt and get rid of Izzy toDay.
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#24 | ||
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Flame Imperishable
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Right here
Posts: 3,928
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Returnèd
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[QUOTE=Mnemosyne;586541]Also, I hope Eonwe and Durelin are both back and in working order! We can't give silent players a free pass forever, even though they're having RL troubles.[QUOTE] Well, I'm back. Yes sir, I am. My head's still a little fuzzy, but I'll see what I can do. PS. Sally, is it just me or are you playing a little riskily (and I don't mean for yourself)?- Or are you the Black Pawn?
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#25 | |
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The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Yes, love, but don't worry. There's a reason for it. You know me, I like to cause enough stir that it tells me what I want to know. EDIT: Yes as in I'm playing riskily, not yes I'm the Black Pawn. I am a white girl and proud of it, kthnxbye. (And no, that was not meant to be racist, just in case anyone wondered.)
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#26 | ||
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La Belle Dame sans Merci
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![]() Okay, so... Nogrod!? Why does everybody always kill Nogrod? This is a legitimate question: why does Nog always die via a bandwagon that I'm not part of shortly after he and I have a spat and I say that, regardless of the spat, I think he's innocent? No wonder he thinks I'm capable of staging hyper-dramatic coups, given the frequency with which this situation occurs. *is sleepy and hungry* The Night kill... So we know that the wolves and the BQ get to kill at Night. We know nothing about the WQ (who, for all we know, is Shasta dressed in drag, doing the hula). The options, as I can see them, are: 1) The BQ's kill was stopped by the Black Ranger (suggesting that the kill choice was Black) 2) The BQ's kill choice was stopped by the WQ (suggesting that the WQ has saving powers) 2a) The BQ tried to kill the WQ and it didn't work 3) The BQ didn't send in xer kill on time (which seems unlikely) In the instance of #1, the BQ would be free to kill xer choice of last Night tomorrow, because the Black Ranger can't protect twice in a row. This would imply that the BQ wants to pick off the wolves, which makes total sense to me: it's easy for a person who is on xer own team to hide out during the Day, but how long can xe survive with another team killing at Night as well, plus two Seers, plus a WQ with unknown powers? Besides, the BQ, as far as I'm aware, in the instance that it's just xer and the wolves left, doesn't win even though the village is gone. So if the wolves massacre the village? The BQ goes down too. Also, you only need one wolf to make a wolf kill at Night. Why would the BQ risk so much by not trying to kill one or two if the opportunity arises? In the instance of #2, we (and presumably the BQ) don't know the nature of the WQ's power, so it's possible that the BQ could stubbornly keep trying to kill whomever xe tried to kill last Night, and could keep failing. This holds true for 2a as well: it's possible that the WQ can't die at the hands of the BQ, but since we don't know, I'm making this up as I go. In the event of option three, it would be a pointless waste of typing skills for Shasta to have said, Quote:
However a piece nearly fell off the board, that much he says, but was saved by the move of another piece. Shasta doesn't say which pieces, but unless the White Queen is killing people at Night, I'm going to assume (I think this is a fair assumption) that the BQ had a Ranger of some variety get in the way of last Night's work. Sorry if I'm not being crisp and organized; I'm trying to be thorough, but I need breakfast and I don't know when it's going to happen. About half the players could tell you that I'm Incredible Hulk-ish when I'm hungry. "You wouldn't like me when I'm... hungry. Laura hungry. Laura smash." Anyway, to summarize: the BQ seems to have attempted, and the most likely occurence, based on the mod's narration, is that the kill choice was protected. Which means that the BQ stumbled upon - or strided confidently into - something. Which gives me something new to think about: how does the BQ choose xer kills? I hate having roles that are hard to trace. You can find a seer, and you can say confidently, "this person isn't this role" about ones with specific constraints, but I loathe not knowing the level of vulnerability of bad guys, and the details of the good guys. I know the WQ is on our side, or she wouldn't be labeled WQ, but what if she's kind of like the BQ in that she's definitely opposed to the contrasting side, but isn't necessarily on the side of the rest of the Whites? What if there are two werebear-type characters in play, both of whom are attempting to be the last player standing? *grumble* Sorry, that was my belly. A banana and coffee aren't good enough to make me functional. I'm going to search through Day One posts for something I shouldn't talk about. I'll let you know if I find anything worth mentioning.
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#27 | |
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Fluttering Enchantment
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Just checking in really quickly, will be back with much more in a few hours.
Here are my lists as they stand now: Thinking guilty: Mnemo Sally because of below post Quote:
Also, Eonwe from his posts from Day 1 Not really liking but probably won't vote for unless they say something later I don't like: Durelin Lariren Hansy Not sure of: Fea and phantom, these two are so frustrating ![]() Kath, posted more yesterday but not enough for me to get a read, will have more later Pretty confident about: Izzy Brinn Rikae Like I said, back after a few hours of studying with more.
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Comme une étoile amarante Comme un papillon de nuit C'est la lumière qui m'attire La flamme qui m'éblouit Fenris Muffin
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