Tol-in-Gaurhoth LVII - Chess Game for Middle Earth: Game Thread

[Isabellkya]

Actually, no. I didn't see what Shasta said. Only what you claim he said.

'tis fine. You got caught in a lie. xD


X'd since Mnemosyne's #820

[satansaloser2005]

Originally Posted by Isabellkya

Actually, no. I didn't see what Shasta said. Only what you claim he said.

'tis fine. You got caught in a lie. xD

Rikae, if you don't get killed toNight (and I don't either) odds are there will be two innocent lynches, right?


Sorry, poor phrasing. What I mean is....if the baddies target two other people, we're down two innocents with no chance of catching a baddie.

How confident are you that you can find one of the other baddies in your next pick?

In other words, I'd rather get a baddie out of the way for sure, mostly because of numbers.

In even other words, I think I'd prefer Izzy most of all. Give me your thoughts.

[Rikae]

Originally Posted by satansaloser2005

Rikae, if you don't get killed toNight (and I don't either) odds are there will be two innocent lynches, right?


Sorry, poor phrasing. What I mean is....if the baddies target two other people, we're down two innocents with no chance of catching a baddie.

How confident are you that you can find one of the other baddies in your next pick?

In other words, I'd rather get a baddie out of the way for sure, mostly because of numbers.

In even other words, I think I'd prefer Izzy most of all. Give me your thoughts.

Hmm...

If they don't target either of us, Wilwa and Phantom would be the likely kills.
I do have the ability to dream, so my odds of finding another baddie are pretty good, I think. I may hunt, or I may dream. At any rate, in your scenario toMorrow we'd be looking at a group of three in which there are two baddies, and the other baddie will be known.

[Rikae]

Fea, how can you retract when you haven't already voted, eh? Tricksy...

[Rikae]

Gah - never mind, you did. And I just posted that.

[Rikae]

Sally, you're forgetting a couple things:

If we lynch Izzy toDay, and neither of us manages to kill a baddie toNight, the village will *still* be half evil toMorrow.

Secondly, any of those innocents you mention has a 25% chance of being the cobbler, so wherever you have an innocent or two (or three) dying, consider the chance of the cobbler dying accordingly

Third, Dury (or whichever of the four we're considering) has a 50% chance of being evil.

Fourth, even with you, me, and two baddies alive, the game's not over, since we can both hunt. If we hunt correctly, it would be tied (actually pretty cool, probably a first in WW history).

Fifth, the baddies are not working together. Odds of 3/3, I think, *don't* mean the game is over. Actually, I'm going to have to go check that now - I'm not sure what the rules say about that.

[satansaloser2005]

Originally Posted by Rikae

Sally, you're forgetting a couple things:

If we lynch Izzy toDay, and neither of us manages to kill a baddie toNight, the village will *still* be half evil toMorrow.

Secondly, any of those innocents you mention has a 25% chance of being the cobbler, so wherever you have an innocent or two (or three) dying, consider the chance of the cobbler dying accordingly

Third, Dury (or whichever of the four we're considering) has a 50% chance of being evil.

Fourth, even with you, me, and two baddies alive, the game's not over, since we can both hunt. If we hunt correctly, it would be tied (actually pretty cool, probably a first in WW history).

Fifth, the baddies are not working together. Odds of 3/3, I think, *don't* mean the game is over. Actually, I'm going to have to go check that now - I'm not sure what the rules say about that.

You have a point. I'm taking this from a 'baddies equal goodies' perspective, which I'm guessing is actually incorrect. Sorry, different style of game than I'm used to so my calculations are....well, cracked out.

[Brinniel]

Originally Posted by Sally

Assuming that Rikae's telling the truth, Izzy's the black bishop

That's the problem: you are assuming she is.

Originally Posted by Sally

I'm still not discounting the fact that you (Brinn) may be guilty.

*sigh* I've been trying to help and hint at you for the past two Days, Sally, but you're just making things worse. You're the only one I know is innocent, so we really need to be on the same page here.

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

Originally Posted by Rikae

Fea, how can you retract when you haven't already voted, eh? Tricksy...

I voted at like... dawn. I was at work this morning.

Seriously. Way at the beginning of the day. I voted, then said Dury had to defend herself.

NM. You noticed.

[satansaloser2005]

Originally Posted by Rikae

Hmm...

If they don't target either of us, Wilwa and Phantom would be the likely kills.
I do have the ability to dream, so my odds of finding another baddie are pretty good, I think. I may hunt, or I may dream. At any rate, in your scenario toMorrow we'd be looking at a group of three in which there are two baddies, and the other baddie will be known.

My point exactly. Ideally, and this is THE ideal because it can't happen, we could PM during the Night, but since you've not dreamt me this isn't going to happen. The only reason I would have suggested that is because I would know whether to hunt player X. That didn't make a lick of sense, did it? Blah.

Basically if we kill an innocent toDay the game's over. Our best bet is Izzy, as it's the only guarantee.

By the way, come Night fall I'll tell you all who I'm hunting. I think.