Game Thread: Werewolf- this time it's real!

[Isabellkya]

I'm going to cover Lari for the moment, because her use of bonus votes yesterDay and the casualness of it, struck me as a bit odd compared to her statements on the matter previously. It quite looked to me like a wolf succumbing to the pressure which Nog was trying to elicit.

Lari...


In her post #348 she covers a few people, these being whom she finds suspicious.

Who I don't like at the moment:

Kent: I'm not sure if it's his style but it seems suspicious to me. I can see where his points can be coming from, but to me he seems way too defensive right now. Whether that is being a newbie wolf or what but I don't like it.

Fea's vote worries me as well. I don't know what to make of it and someone earlier brought up that the odds of Fea being innocent in this game are, well, low. I also wish she could post more and maybe that's where a lot of my worry suspicion is coming from but I understand the not posting. I just don't like it.

And Brinn, who I've been wavering about all Day reading through the posts. She seemed guilty when explaining her vote, but the innocent later and then, I reread, and didn't like anything that I saw.

Nor does she like people seeing Greenie as a wolf. She reads Nog as rather innocent, and has no idea on everyone else.

In #378 she votes for Kent, because she finds him the most guilty. Also states, that she better vote before she forgets.

In #384 she does a vote count.

Thanks Brin over the correction of a technicality in #389.

Her Day two posts are quite sparse. Her attitude in terms of voting "before I forget", give off an air of not caring, of casualness. As if she couldn't care less how the voting turned out, as long as she remembers to vote. Which is a valid point, since she didn't on Day 1 and would've been modfired.



In her #437 she shows surprised over the lynch of Kuru, yet is glad over having him back for the Day. Finds the Night kill of Firefoot a much bigger surprised than Kuru's lynching.

#470
She echoes what has been said regarding bonus votes.
As well as her stance on the use of them.

I for one am saving mine till I feel really sure of someone's guilt.

Originally Posted by Lariren Shadow

Known definite innocent:
Kuru

Leaning towards innocent:
Form: He seems to be making sense and has been making good points. His posts don’t seem like he’s hiding anything or trying to hard.

Greenie: Contrary to what others think she seems innocent to me. She just seems to be having little time and only wants to post when she has something to say. Nothing she says is giving off warning vibes to me.

Izzy: She seems more innocent every time I look at her.

Sally: I think she’s innocent. Not sure, but she seems like it in her posts.

Betwixt between:
Fea: I haven’t heard a lot from her, again with the problems, but she seems to not be saying anything that makes her seem guilty to me. I usually can’t get a good read on her and always suspect her, but here she is seeming more innocent than not.

Nilp: I read half of his post and he seems to have really good ideas and I go “yay!” and the other half I read and say “BUT HE’S A WOLF”. It’s just a feeling I get. And I just don’t like the idea of a lot of the vocal people saying a wolf/vamp is one of the quiet ones, seems like a good way to throw off suspicion.

Brinn: I’m thinking she’s more innocent but she could be hiding something through all of her defense. She seems to be innocent to me one minute and then guilty the next. I just don’t know how to feel about her.

Gwath: I have really no read on him at all.

Probably guilty:
Kent: I don’t like the vibes I’m getting from his posts. They seem like they are defensive and its just rubbing me the wrong way.

Nog: His posts seem the same way to me like Kent’s. They are also telling the village what to do about a lot of things, and to me this seems like a wolf playing boldly. Maybe he really does want the village to use all our bonus votes before the vampire can suck them but, well, it just seems wrong at time.

Shasta: His posts are giving me bad vibes all around.

With all this being said and I need to vote I feel like I should be using some of my bonus votes toDay:

++Nog(3)

Now, I've had far too much to drink and I'm glad I made that list earlier then rushed around all day.

In her #470 she said she was saving her bonus votes until she was really sure of someone's guilt. Yet in her #581, it seems her top suspicions are Kent, Nog, and Shasta - which she puts under the label "Probably Guilty". She then votes for Nog and adds bonus votes under the reason "I feel like I should be using some of my bonus votes toDay". Afterwards she says "I'm glad I made that list earlier then rushed around all day."

Unless I am mistaken, "probably guilty" and "really sure of someone's guilt" are not the same thing, nor are they entirely close to the same thing. Her statement of making the list earlier, gives an air of "meh, I'm not concerned".

Now, is she a confuzzled Ordo or one of the Three who succumbed to Nog's intentions of pressure to get them to use their bonus votes?


X'd with Kent x2.

[Isabellkya]

I'm quite curious as to your voting... experiment(?) you seem to be conducting Mr. Nilp.

I dare say you are on much rockier ground now, if you miss one more vote.

[Isabellkya]

Pugh, wrong button.

Will we perhaps be seeing a vote sucking soon? Since they killed the Cobbler, I'd say they wouldn't be worried about sucking the Cobbler's votes away.

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

Well, certainly, my quote from WWXVIII was apt: I, like Celuien, have been duped by a baddie.

(Unfortunately today I have little time to post, I better make all analyses snappy,)

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

Well, at the very least we have delayed what Nogrod feared the baddies intend to do.

Brinniel's 'reveal' gave the village another DAY. Oft evil shall evil mar!

And finally, Kent, after two DAYs you answer my suspicions! Care to answer why you think us suspicious, though? Be you special?

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

The DAY 3 vote list (times in GMT +8; known innocents underlined, known baddies emphasised):

• 04:54 Kent - Brinn (+1)
  Brinn - 2
  
  
• 05:23 Sally - Kent
  Brinn - 2, Kent - 1
  
  
• 07:01 Green - Nog
  Brinn - 2, Kent - 1, Nog - 1
  
  
• 08:38 Fea - Nog
  Brinn - 2, Kent - 1, Nog - 2
  
  
• 11:02 Shasta - Gwath
  Brinn - 2, Kent - 1, Nog - 2, Gwath - 1
  
  
• 12:39 Gwath - Sally
  Brinn - 2, Kent - 1, Nog - 2, Gwath - 1, Sally - 1
• 12:40 Form - Brinn (+3)
  Brinn - 6, Kent - 1, Nog - 2, Gwath - 1, Sally - 1
• 12:41 Lari - Nog (+3)
  Brinn - 6, Kent - 1, Nog - 6, Gwath - 1, Sally - 1
  
  
• 12:45 Kuru - Brinn (+6)
  Brinn - 13, Kent - 1, Nog - 6, Gwath - 1, Sally - 1
  
  
• 12:57 Nilp - Brinn (+4) (no highlight)
  Brinn - 13, Kent - 1, Nog - 6, Gwath - 1, Sally - 1
  
  
• 01:00 Izzy - Sally
  Brinn - 13, Kent - 1, Nog - 6, Gwath - 1, Sally - 2
• 01:00 Brinn - Nog (+10)
  Brinn - 13, Kent - 1, Nog - 17, Gwath - 1, Sally - 2

Did not vote: Nilpaurion Felagund. (invalid vote)

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

Even though we already have a known baddie, the fact the she was merely the Cobbler, instead of being one of the Three, makes it less useful to analysis. However, someone with more time can perhaps scrutinise her posts to find some clues into what she thought. Cobblers looking for their masters can be rather astute.

YesterDAY's voting has been interesting in some aspects, one of which was Izzy's vote: Voting for Sally at the last minute even without the chance of lynching her. Of course, it could be a principles thing, and ordos have been known to do that; nevertheless it certainly is interesting.

Which brings me to another point: bonus votes. There are still four who have all 10, one of whom I suspect, and two of which are quiet. I am inclined to think Green and Shasta innocent, Gwath somewhat suspicious, and I believe Sally is t3h evil.

Back to the yesterDAY's vote: Fea's vote post. I thought it cobblery, but since it has been subsequently revealed that she is not the Cobbler, could she be one of the Three, then?

Will vote in my next post.