WWLXII: Dead Men Do Tell Tales

[Shastanis Althreduin]

So we're down to five; Izzy, Eonwe, Nerwen, Gwath, and myself.

I'm removing myself (I know I'm innocent) and Nerwen (no one's come forward and challenged Greenie's seer claim, and I'm not sure I'd believe them now if they did) from my calculations entirely.

Gwath I'm unsure about. He was gone for too long for me to have a clear read on him, but was he gone during the no-kill?

Izzy and Eonwe have looked like cobblers to me for a while. I think it's time we consider lynching one of them; my preference is Eonwe as I think he's more likely to be a mutineer.

[Shastanis Althreduin]

And besides, if we lynch Eonwe, we'll still have a powder monkey! Arr.

[Nerwen]

I wonder how many villains (both kinds) are left? If it's three we're in trouble.

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by Shastanis Althreduin

Izzy and Eonwe have looked like cobblers to me for a while. I think it's time we consider lynching one of them; my preference is Eonwe as I think he's more likely to be a mutineer.

More likely to be a mutineer than a cobbler, or just more likely to be a mutineer than Izzy?

I'm not hair-splitting. At this stage it makes a difference.

[Eönwë]

I'm hoping that one of Lommy or Mac was a mutineer (I think Mac), but can't be certain.

Well, to me it seems that one if not both of Gwath and Shasta are the mutineers. I know I'm not, and I'm hoping that Nerwen is indeed a non-mutineer (could be a co-conspirator, though), and I think Izzy is the co-conspirator.

Since Gwath hasn't voted for many Days, I hope the Cap'n wouldn't let him win like that as a mutineer, so I say we lynch Shasta and hope for the best. On another note- how has Shasta survived so long? Usually an innocent Shasta gets lynched or killed early on in the game... which makes him look even more suspicious to me.

If we haven't won by lynching Shasta, then I'd suggest we lynch Izzy toMorrow, as she could be a mutineer avoiding lynching by pretending to be a co-conspirator.

I also think it's way too late to be looking for a double lynch.


Also, if Greenie isn't the seer and you are the real seer, then I suggest you reveal toDay, otherwise we have no chance.

[Nerwen]

Well, looks like Shasta and Eönwë aren't in it together, anyway.

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by Eönwë

so I say we lynch Shasta and hope for the best. On another note- how has Shasta survived so long? Usually an innocent Shasta gets lynched or killed early on in the game... which makes him look even more suspicious to me.

"Even more" suspicious? What was your case on Shasta before? I can't remember.

Originally Posted by Eönwë

Also, if Greenie isn't the seer and you are the real seer, then I suggest you reveal toDay, otherwise we have no chance.

A bit eyebrow-raising, Eönwë. I rather think the real Seer would have revealed by now, don't you?

[Nerwen]

Come to think of it, it's surprising we haven't had a counter-claim yet. Izzy keeps hinting she's something, but then backs away when she's asked directly. I bet she's been planning to claim Seer-hood for Days now... but is too chicken to go all the way.

And yes, this is one situation in which I feel entirely justified in suspecting anyone who suspects me of being a wolf.

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Brinn

Oh btw, Mith is dead.

Well, there went my wildcard... *sighs*

Okay the good news first: we have not more than two mutineers left - so we've managed to lynch at least two. Good.

In the best scenario we only have one left. In that case we would have ample chances of winning as I think we can somewhat rely on Nerwen being a non-mutineer and slight reasons to believe the same of Gwath.

So the lynchee should be probably picked from the trio Shasta, Eönwë and Izzy.

The bad news are that if we (well you who vote) miss toDay and there are two mutineers left, well that's the end of it and we lose.


An unnerving point to add. Now interestingly Nerwen keeps staying alive Night after Night even if she has a semi-innocent status on the ship. It's clear the normal dynamics don't work in here and the baddies probably don't have as much reason to kill a "known innocent" because she can't be silenced by the kill.

So are they just trying to keep up our insecurity concerning her innocence by letting her live or is there a real problem here?

And why did they pick Mith?

Well "they" or "s/he"...

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by Nogrod

In that case we would have ample chances of winning as I think we can somewhat rely on Nerwen being a non-mutineer and slight reasons to believe the same of Gwath.

Hmmn. I wasn't all that keen on Gwath's talk of lynching ghosts yesterDay.

Originally Posted by Nogrod

The bad news are that if we (well you who vote) miss toDay and there are two mutineers left, well that's the end of it and we lose.

The worse news is that if there's two wolves and a cobbler, they can win toDay whatever we do.

However, as it stands I think there can only be two wolves if Izzy's one of them... unless they've screwed up.

Originally Posted by Nogrod

Now interestingly Nerwen keeps staying alive Night after Night even if she has a semi-innocent status on the ship. It's clear the normal dynamics don't work in here and the baddies probably don't have as much reason to kill a "known innocent" because she can't be silenced by the kill.

So are they just trying to keep up our insecurity concerning her innocence by letting her live

Presumably– but if so they're being pretty silly (not that I like to sound ungrateful). What's the point? It should be obvious that even if Greenie were lying, the real Seer would have dreamt of me– and would have denounced me if I were a wolf.

Why Mith? *shrugs* Well, I'd made up my mind she was a goodie... guess the wolves did too.

[Shastanis Althreduin]

Originally Posted by Nerwen

More likely to be a mutineer than a cobbler, or just more likely to be a mutineer than Izzy?

I'm not hair-splitting. At this stage it makes a difference.

I think Sally was a co-conspirator. That leaves one, and I think Izzy fits the profile better. Which leaves Eonwe as the mutineer.