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#1 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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By the way– it seems Boro and Sally were trying to impersonate the Lovers on Day One.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#2 | |
Wight
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In hindsight, that's exactly what I thought as well. What worries me now, however, is Brinn's attempt to save Boro by voting for me on Day 2. Was she gullible and truly didn't believe he was evil? Or was she trying to sacrifice herself to save a wolf - in which case, she may possibly be the Snitch.
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"Puddle! Puddle! Oh, snow! Future puddle!" |
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#3 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Quite likely... look at her dialogue with Boro near the DL.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#4 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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I missed most of the drama yesterDay– all I can say is I'm surprised Boro wasn't unanimously lynched after his little "Hakon, tell the class why you think Mac is the Ranger" stunt. But then, I'm surprised he made a mistake like that in the first place.
EDT:fixed typo that gave the opposite meaning to what I intended.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. Last edited by Nerwen; 08-07-2009 at 01:28 AM. |
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#5 |
Wight
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It seems that two out of the three librarians in this game have been playing themselves as wolves almost too obvious to even be thought as wolves. It makes me wonder - though, not hope - if the third wolf will keep a lower profile than his/her other two, deceased counterparts. S/he is quite outnumbered at this point.
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"Puddle! Puddle! Oh, snow! Future puddle!" |
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#6 |
Wight
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Nerwen, does it surprise you he was lynched even after he was revealed to be a wolf?
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"Puddle! Puddle! Oh, snow! Future puddle!" Last edited by alonariel; 08-07-2009 at 01:18 AM. Reason: X'd with Nerwen |
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#7 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Better fix that.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#8 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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Well, since there's only one librarian left, at least we may be able to figure out a pattern to the Night killings. When there are three wolves, it's almost impossible, but a lone baddie would have been trying to save themselves since they're so outnumbered now.
So who would want Form dead? ![]()
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#9 | |||||||||||||||||
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: The other side of the fish bowl
Posts: 267
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Here's a list of all the posts that Form made on Days 1 and 2. I wasn't sure what to include and what not to include. Hopefully this will help.
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The only thing to expect is the unexpected. |
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#10 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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Thanks for getting those together, Tum, that saves a lot of trouble.
My conclusion, is that, were last Night's kill to be a revenge, it would point to either Hakon or Brinn. But that would be too obvious, both of them are smarter than to do something that blatantly points to them. Any thoughts?
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Joined together wrote our names upon the page Seven times alliance our loyalties we gave |
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#11 | |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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Boro and Form dead... that means a lot of analysing work toDay. I'm happy that both were quite occupied with me yesterDay. Since I know what I am, I can skip all that.
![]() I still wonder about the wilwa-kill. Since Boro pulled two tricks to flush out gifteds, the librarians are very aware how dangerous those are. But why did they think wilwa could be gifted? Maybe they're applying more than one strategy at a time... I wouldn't be surprised if they killed Form because the snitch gave them the name. Let's analyse Boro and Form then: Day1: Quote:
Boro votes autume. Now, this could easily be lib-on-lib, however, coupled with the wilwa-kill - maybe the objective was simply not to kill the snitch? I do feel moderately better about autume now. I'm not sure what to think of Boro's "Why do you think autume is guilty then?" on Day2. Form mainly pursues Hakon and defends Nienna on Day1. Day2: Boro is friendly with Fea throughout, suggesting to me that he's trying to win her unexpected trust, but I'm not sure. He said Nienna looks most innocent, but he couldn't have otherwise - it was obvious. He's worried about Form's vote for Hakon, could be both an attempt to make Form look bad and one to defend Hakon. #168 has to be treated with care, since Boro was already under pressure and made this post to appear helpful. Nerwen, Shasta and Nienna are innocent to him, but the reasons are so obvious that this doesn't change anything. He feels ok about Hakon, but is still watching him (keeping him innocent yet in nowhere-land makes me slightly suspicious). Autume and Brinn are getting a pass for not being there (watchworthy). He tries to set up alonariel as a scapegoat, which makes her look innocent. He then picks up a point of Hakon against Form, making Hakon look worse. The exchange between Boro and Brinn looks to me like Boro is trying to figure out whether Brinn is the snitch. Form is almost totally immersed in the Boro-Mac thing at first, then strongly goes after Brinniel. I daresay that Brinniel is one of the two the remaining lover will surely dream of, and I think it's a good choice. Now, the votes: Nessa -> Brinn (no reason to suspect) Hakon -> Alona (very suspicious since it's after Boro brought her up as a scapegoat, then again, it's before any votes for Boro) Mac -> Boro Nienna -> autume (no reason to suspect) Fea -> Nessa (not sure what to think) Form -> Brinn Brinn -> Brinn (peculiar) Boro -> Alona Alona -> Boro (makes her look very innocent) Shasta -> Boro (same) Boro --Alona -> Brinn Brinn --Brinn -> Alona (suspicious, of course) Bottom line: Suspicious (in order): Hakon (see above) Brinn (I don't think she's a librarian, because if she were, I'm sure the plan to save Boro would have worked. She's a top snitch candidate, though. Form would be Brinn's natural choice to make the librarians dream of.) Autume (some evidence looks suspicious, some innocent) Fea (I've been wondering why she's been so friendly with Boro, but that's all I have against her) Nessa (simply because nothing exonerates her) Innocent (without order): Nerwen Nienna Shasta Alona |
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#12 |
La Belle Dame sans Merci
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This group contains the last Librarian and the Snitch. I'm quite sure of it.
Alona Autume Brinn Hakon Nessa Shasta I don't think Alona is the wolf, and if Nessa or Hakon are, they really don't deserve to win because they've both posted less than the mod. I have a hunch who the Evil Two are, but it's purely a hunch, so I don't want to say it and end up with people jumping down my throat for blithe commentary like Nerwen did yesterDay. ![]() Time for breakfast, and must write an essay before I go anywhere or do anything else.
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peace
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#13 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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Well, since I believe the best way to go about this is to honestly tell what I think of everyone. That way, gifteds and librarian and ordos alike will know where they stand with me.
I know listers were practically dissected earlier, but I'd really rather everyone know what I'm thinking. Fea, surprisingly doesn't look suspicious. She clearly stated earlier that even as a regular villager, she was too helpful to the wolves because of her semi-permanent status as a scapegoat. (Now that I think about it, I wonder why everyone is always suspecting her?) Hakon I'm iffy about. Boro somehow managed to side with him, yet not at the same time, which makes me wonder if it's wolf-innocent or wolf-wolf going on there. Tum always seems to suceed in giving necessary information for a debate, then stepping back to watch the fight. Maybe she's too nervous that giving an opinion might put the spotlight on her, or maybe it's not as innocent. I, for one, am more inclined to believe the former. Nerwen I am almost entirely sure is innocent. On Day 1, Boro subtly encouraged people to vote her instead of sally. One librarian turning the vote from one of his fellows to the other? Unlikely. Nienna. Has she said anything guilty? I don't hear any sirens when she does anything. Mac's head to head with Boro probably speaks louder than anything I could say. It wasn't wolfish on his part, mainly for the reason that his posts spotlighted Boro and lead to his death, in my opinion. Smart, if he's innocent, and stupid if he's a wolf. I don't think he's stupid. Shasta's vote killed Boro. Easy enough to interpret. alona also voted Boro, who was trying to frame her at the time. Would a librarian really do that? Brinn I believe to either be a snitch or librarian. Voting herself yesterDay makes me think the former rather than later, but her performance right before deadline was sketchy. Nessa: Obviously innocent ![]() edit:crossed since Mac
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