WW LXXVII: The Metamorphs of Wolf-562-e

[Shastanis Althreduin]

Originally Posted by Paranoia

To Shasta: Your overwhelming attempt to shifting your focus on the bear today seems to indicate to me that you don't care about hunting morphs; indeed, the primary danger is still the morphs, no matter how diminished the traitor is in effect. Their numbers still give them a leg up on everyone else.

If the Morphs had more than one member remaining, I'd agree with you. As they don't, I respectfully disagree.

Originally Posted by Paranoia

7- 3 (the lynch and the night kill) = 4. If we hit right, assuming traitor. 7-3 = 4. We still lose, unless the assassin strikes true tonight. Assuming we hit the morph. 7-2 = 5. Pretty good odds, with the traitor basically stuck with no way to win, and the bear having to survive two rounds. Hitting the bear leaves us at 7-2 = 5, and assuming the traitor isn't hit, leaves us in a dire position with only one more mistake costing us the game.

If you'd like me to mention all the factors that I can think of that affect this total, I will. Let's see...

1. We lynch the Bear, and the Assassin kills the Morph. Village wins.

2. We lynch the Morph, and the Bear kills an innocent. Village is down to five, with one baddie.

3. We lynch the Traitor, the Assassin kills the Morph, and the Bear kills an innocent. Village is down to four, with one baddie.

4. We lynch the Traitor, the Morph kills an innocent, and the Bear kills an innocent. Village is down to four, with two baddies. Village loses.

5. We lynch the Traitor and the Morph and Bear kill each other. Village wins.

7-9. Replace "Traitor" with "Innocent".

10. We lynch the Bear, and the Morph kills an innocent. Village is down to five, with one baddie and the Traitor remaining. At least one villager knows the identity of the Traitor.


So you see, there are plenty of ways for things to turn out, but the best situations all revolve around killing the Bear first.

[Shastanis Althreduin]

Originally Posted by Izzy

Unlike you Shasta, I like to question things. As opposed to merely forcing votes as to how I want them to go.

I like to question things too. But unlike you, I don't like to do that to the exclusion of all else and avoid giving any of my own opinions in the process.

[Isabellkya]

If I am reading that right.. you are wanting us to play and speak accordingly to what will make Rikae happy?

X'd since my last post.

[Shastanis Althreduin]

Originally Posted by Isabellkya

If I am reading that right.. you are wanting us to play and speak accordingly to what will make Rikae happy?

X'd since my last post.

It was a statement in general.

I'm not trying to make anyone "happy". I'm simply asking that everyone who's being rude to someone else, please stop. There's no need for it.

[Rikae]

Izzy, since you're the tie-breaker, I'll tell you this:

Something Noia just said makes me doubt he's the Wereborg - unless you think he's the sort to pull off a bluff in his post putting me down, that is.

[Rikae]

Although, on second thought, he may very well be... someone who knows him better can judge that more easily, though.

Edit:
X'd with all since my last.

[Rikae]

Well, if Pitch is not the morph, and Inzil's still alive tomorrow, I'd say it's a good bet the last morph is Shasta, Paranoia or Wintywinty

Edit: x'd, sorry.

[Nerwen]

Thanks, Sally! Apologies for lateness.


Also, Pitch is dead and was ordinary.

Paranoia will be modfired by request.

I'll write the narration as soon as I can– horrible busy today.

Before I start, I'd like to note that I'm not happy with the conduct of certain players yesterDay– not at all happy.

I know people can get very involved in this game, but please try and not get personal about it.

[Isabellkya]

++Pitch

My gut says that this Paranoia wagon is all wrong. If I'm wrong then *shrug*, my gut will need to see a doctor.


x'd with Sally & Rikae.

[wintywinty]

here and reading

[Paranoia]

Shasta, I really, honestly do have to disagree. It might just be how I look at situations, but I always count Traitors against the town. I have always counted them against the town, even when technically they count amongst the town's numbers, as they are never neutralized as a threat to the town until that last mafia member, pack mate, or morphmate bite the dust, because until then they aren't. So numbers wise, I consider that last morph the biggest threat, simply because there is a role that will win only if they win. I'd barely given a thought to the bear until you basically called me the bear while providing me basically no time to defend myself against the accusation. Maybe you're right, and I'm just not factoring the Assassin into the equation; in that case yes, lynching the bear is the best case scenario, with the hickup you've gotten it completely and utterly wrong.

[Rikae]

Crossposted - Ok, Sally, I'll drop the subject.