WW: LXXXIV - Middle Earth in Fifteen Minutes

[wilwarin538]

Ok, I think I can afford a short break from studying.

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

A thought before I go (got a few minutes extra time since my friend is late):

can somebody count if toDay would be a Day for reveals? If both seer and ranger revealed themselves and their information, we could have 3-6 known roles. Of course there is the danger of false reveals, somebody should also count if we can afford it.

Will be back to see what happens! Exciting.

K, so where we are at now: 3 Gifteds, 3 Wolves and 3 Ordos. Right? If both the Seer and Ranger reveal (Hunter revealing is bad), and the Seer has had 3 dreams, hoping that they are all still alive, then we would know 2 of the Gifteds and have a couple more known innocents and maybe a wolf. Then whoever the Ranger protected last Night, obviously innocent. So yeah, out of the 9 players we could know the identity of up to 6 of them. That could be very good. Now we'd likely lose one of them toNight, but the wolves would have a tough time figuring out who is being protected, unless their kill choice from last Night narrows it down for them. We could potentially still have our Seer tomorrow for another dream, though, which takes away some of that risk.

But yeah, false reveals are very possible, and oh so annoying. But again, doesn't take long to figure out who's lying, so it could be worth taking the chance.

Personally, I think we could afford it, though I wouldn't suggest both the Seer and Ranger revealing. Maybe the Seer first (especially if they have a wolf), unless all of their dreamed people are dead (though they'd have to be pretty unlucky for that to happen), then they shouldn't. Once the Seer is out we'd really want to have our Ranger still hidden in order to keep the Seer protected. So yeah, not both at the same time. Maybe Seer toDay (potentially) and Ranger tomorrow?

Sorry if some of that didn't make any sense, I can only afford to take a couple minute break before I get too distracted, so I wrote this fairly fast. I'll try to come back again later.

[Eomer of the Rohirrim]

Originally Posted by wilwarin538

Personally, I think we could afford it, though I wouldn't suggest both the Seer and Ranger revealing. Maybe the Seer first (especially if they have a wolf), unless all of their dreamed people are dead (though they'd have to be pretty unlucky for that to happen), then they shouldn't. Once the Seer is out we'd really want to have our Ranger still hidden in order to keep the Seer protected. So yeah, not both at the same time. Maybe Seer toDay (potentially) and Ranger tomorrow?

I'd be very surprised if it wasn't the Seer who was successfully protected last night, and that would mean we need some hard information out in the open today.