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Old 01-28-2011, 07:59 PM   #1
the phantom
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lottie
I've seen him get...meaner before as a Gifted.
That isn't my experience with him. This "meanness" you speak of fits nicely into my primary point about him- that for someone claiming to be a Seer he pretty much went the opposite direction when it came to survival tactics. His vote-attracting smacks of a Cobbler, and this false reveal (I realize that no one else can know it's false) also fits the mold.
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Old 01-28-2011, 08:02 PM   #2
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His vote-attracting smacks of a Cobbler, and this false reveal (I realize that no one else can know it's false) also fits the mold.
If he was trying to die, he was already well on his way there. He's already got, what, four votes? If dying was his goal, he just had to keep doing what he was doing. The Seer-reveal kept him alive for another Night, not doomed him.
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Old 01-28-2011, 08:05 PM   #3
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But Lottie, it paves the way for him to continue serving a purpose once in Mandos. He's already assured his death in one fashion or another, and now the only missing component is having an angle to work after death. Now we see what it is.

Plus there's always the remote hope that there will be a counter-reveal, particularly if the true Seer is also on the chopping block and is put forward as a suitable replacement candidate. A Cobbler would be foolish to ignore that glorious possibility.
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Old 01-28-2011, 08:09 PM   #4
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Leaving for home now. Be back soon.
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Old 01-28-2011, 08:10 PM   #5
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I hate to say it, but I believe Nog. I don't think it would be particularly beneficial to false reveal as a seer at this point, and he seems worked up enough about the Lovers' playing that it strikes me as sincere.

So I hope I'm right..

++the phantom

Because it's more likely than not that one of the two is a wolf-cobbler.
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Old 01-28-2011, 08:32 PM   #6
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I hate to say it, but I believe Nog. I don't think it would be particularly beneficial to false reveal as a seer at this point, and he seems worked up enough about the Lovers' playing that it strikes me as sincere.

So I hope I'm right..

++the phantom

Because it's more likely than not that one of the two is a wolf-cobbler.
Hm, brilliant. Now if Nog is bad, this looked rather bad too. And, I mean, even if Nog is telling the truth, once again, it does not make much sense to lynch Cobbler at this point. So I don't see why immediately following and wishing to lynch phantom.

So, in fact, this might bring me even to vote Nessa once again. There is also Lottie, whose reaction I also was not very fond of. The trouble is, we have no way to verify who is lying and who is not right now. Okay, last thought and then I will vote. Honestly.

EDIT: x-ed with Mith and Fea
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Old 01-28-2011, 08:35 PM   #7
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OK well the time is seriously incompatible with the time I need to be up tomorrow so unless someone convinces m v quickly I shall vote for damage limitation and Blind Guardian.
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Old 01-28-2011, 08:37 PM   #8
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++Nessa

I think I have said all as for what I think about whom people should vote or not... preferably not any possible Cobblers; otherwise, sufficient to say, seeing either of my general suspects go will be fine. But I have to really go to sleep now, so, vote well, folks... and really looking forward to toMorrow...

EDIT: x-ed since my last
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Old 01-28-2011, 08:11 PM   #9
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But Lottie, it paves the way for him to continue serving a purpose once in Mandos. He's already assured his death in one fashion or another, and now the only missing component is having an angle to work after death. Now we see what it is.
Just like Fea suggested, you mean? But people already know that's an option. They won't trust him completely without proof. Dead people can vote to find out roles, right? So maybe they vote Nog, find out for sure if he's the seer or not. Especially if this:

Quote:
Plus there's always the remote hope that there will be a counter-reveal, particularly if the true Seer is also on the chopping block and is put forward as a suitable replacement candidate. A Cobbler would be foolish to ignore that glorious possibility.
Happens as well. With two reveals, a supposed Cobbler!Nog would not have the automatic power in Mandos that you seem to assume.

EDIT: xed since the post I quoted
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Old 01-28-2011, 08:03 PM   #10
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So here's an amusing moment for the night...

We have to choose to believe either the phantom, or Nog.

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Old 01-28-2011, 08:11 PM   #11
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We have to choose to believe either the phantom, or Nog.
Ask me the next day if we're both alive, because my answer right now is "neither."
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