Game Thread: WW LXXXVI - The Halls of Mandos

[the phantom]

Well, it's definitely down to Nessa and Lommy, and now's the time to stick to the guns. We'll know soon enough what our bullet hit-

++ Lommy

If Nessa ends up lynched instead, then I guess it'll be another day of Lommy pushing tomorrow, heh heh.

[the phantom]

The Voting:

Nerwen ++ Nessa
Green ++ Lommy
Boro ++ Lommy (2)
Legate ++ Nessa (2)
Lommy ++ Nessa (3)
Sally ++ Nessa (4)
Nessa ++ Lommy (3)
Agan ++ Boro
ElDau ++ Lommy (4)
Mith ++ Lommy (5)
Glirdan ++ Nessa (5)
Wilwa ++ Boro (2)
TP ++ Lommy (6)
Lottie ++ Nessa (6)

(Guess it'll be determined by who has the extra vote.)

[Rikae]

When the elves awoke, they were surprised and relieved to find their numbers the same as when they had retired. Perhaps the evil had been vanquished, all the possessed sent to their deaths? Or maybe the spirits that had warped the minds and bodies of their companions had simply vanished, leaving their former hosts bewildered and riddled with guilt, but no longer wolves at all?
It could have been so, but the area of trampled grass near the place where many of them had slept suggested otherwise. The tracks crossed and tangled with one another, but some were like those of a wolf, and some were not. It appeared a battle had taken place while they had slept, too worn out from the horrors of the last three days to be awakened by the noise.



The living:

Glirdan
A Little Green
elronds_daughter
Nerwen
Loslote
wilwarin538
Legate of Amon Lanc
satansaloser2005
the phantom
Boromir88
Mithalwen
Anguirel


The dead:

Macalaure
Rikae
Mänwe
Nogrod
Blind Guardian
Feanor of the Peredhil
Aganzir
Shastanis Althreduin
Thinlómien
Nessa Telrunya

It is now Day 4.

[satansaloser2005]

Okay, who gets the cookies?

....

....

Don't answer that out loud.



Anyway, excellent! Now, who's up for killing fAng?


ETA: I'm totally going to bed now. If the weather is awful, I won't be going to work and I'll make an epic post or two. If I can make it to work, I'll be quick bursts again, as I've actually had things to do. Behave while Mummy's resting her eyes, yes please?

[Glirdan]

This is a nice turn of events. It means that one of us has a known innocent under our belts....well, a known non-wolf anyways.

Oh, and just as a reminder from Ms. Wilwa that she will most likely not be around whatsoever toDay.

[Mithalwen]

Good choice Glorfy. But I am not going to try to stay awake now so back to zzzzz

[Nerwen]

Nice work, Mr Glorfindel!

Now, I'm wondering– is it safe to assume that Shastanis Lúthien and Beranzir are going to use Mith's odd-even plan?

EDIT:X'd with Glirdan.

[the phantom]

Well then- Glorfindel possibly has a play up his sleeve now- the identity of a non-Wolf. And since he can come back from the dead to prove his claim, that person will be a proven innocent.

Let's say he reveals both himself and his target. That person dies tonight, as that is the guaranteed kill (Glorfy can't protect him twice in a row). The following night the Wolves have to go after Glorfy and he protects himself (another foiled kill!), and then the next night they finally do kill him, but he simply returns again, only with double protections! The first night he will probably protect himself, as the Wolves will likely feel obligated to try and off him two night in a row, for it is too great a gamble for them to risk being foiled by yet another protection (in other words, he's likely to foil another kill after returning).

So, basically what we have is FOUR nights amounting to ONE kill (the Wolves selecting Glorfy all four nights in a row). Or at least that is the percentage play given the impossibility of the Wolves winning with Glorfy around at the end (they HAVE to kill him). Not to mention the Wolves will fear attempting to kill anyone besides Glorfy due to the fact that he may in a village this size foil them (especially once he has double protections) which would allow him to reveal to us yet ANOTHER proven innocent.

So we're sitting at a population of 12, and if we decide to limit to single lynches...
lynch: 11
kill last night's: 10
lynch: 9
fail kill Glorfy: 9
lynch: 8
kill Glorfy: 7
lynch (Glorfy back): 7
fail kill Glorfy: 7
lynch: 6
kill Glorfy: 5

I'd say that those protections stretch the game out nicely, yes? The question is, is such a tactic worth it, or would Glorfy be better served to try and stay hidden another day before revealing? If he takes that route, then his protection from last night certainly dies tonight if not lynched (he will no longer have that status protection), BUT he gains the advantage of existing with double protections in a smaller sized village later in the game, which is extremely powerful!

So, the question is, does anyone think it would be worth it for Glorfy to reveal IF it seems obvious that we are looking to lynch his protection from last night? Or should he just stay hidden no matter what? I'm of the opinion that we're unlikely to lynch his protection from last night, as that individual is likely to be a rather innocent looking sort.

UNLESS of course Glorfy protected HIMSELF last night, in which case I really think he ought to come out with it so we know not to lynch him and to trust him, because if he doesn't reveal the Wolves will simply kill him tonight anyway.

(x-post with all)
(edit numbers- forgot a night)

[the phantom]

Originally Posted by Nerwen

Now, I'm wondering– is it safe to assume that Shastanis Lúthien and Beranzir are going to use Mith's odd-even plan?

I'm going to assume it.

[the phantom]

Looking back on the instructions it seems to me that the Dead checked Lommy last night (since she was the first to reach the total).

Did we ever specify if odds or evens meant guilty or innocent?

If not then we need to post that so that one of them on that thread can see it here before they start voting.

[the phantom]

And about the double lynch- honestly I'm not even a little bit sorry. Heh- I actually wasn't expecting the double due to the fact that there was the extra-vote power out there (I completely forgot the fact that Agan hadn't voted either of the top two candidates, plus Shasta didn't vote, and those two were pretty well guaranteed to have the power) but I'm glad I finally offed Lommy, and I'm anxious to see what she was.

As far as Nessa... We ought to debate tomorrow (or late today after the vote is decided) if we'd rather have our latest lynch checked or her, but that's not an issue for now.

[Nerwen]

Originally Posted by the phantom

Looking back on the instructions it seems to me that the Dead checked Lommy last night (since she was the first to reach the total).

Did we ever specify if odds or evens meant guilty or innocent?

If not then we need to post that so that one of them on that thread can see it here before they start voting.

Originally Posted by Mithalwen

Since Agan won't be back and Shasta isn't around shall we tell them to use odd number placement on the day's living list for wolf and even for non-wolf for their double vote?

So, if they follow that, then a double-vote to any of the following would mean "Lommywolf!": Glirdan, Elra, Lottie, Legate, phantom or Mith.