ARDA CUP Football 2012

[Nogrod]

We here in the AKM appreaciate a lot the frankness of our colleagues at the TTN to be able to admit the fact - even if they dress it in the traditional formula of "our rivals will argue that..."

Originally Posted by TTN

Now, our competitors are going to argue that these numbers mean absolutely nothing, and it's TTN being a mediocre network, by trying to say something, without really saying anything.

Although the AKM would like to be more specific about that.

The AKM believes that stats and numbers are useful - and the more of them the merrier - and also more accurate. But what the AKM finds futile is predicting the friendlies where so many factors come into the play: have the teams made a deal beforehand that they just practise in turns, maybe they have made a deal that one team practises one thing and another something else; do they play it sloppily or do they try to simulate a real game (or does one team do the first and another the second); do the teams want to try out some tactics they don't usually do; will a draw be satisfying for them unlike in a tournament game...? (the list could be continued)

Like fex. the game between Armenelos and The Sea.

It is easy to predict a draw for several reasons: Armenelos has been playing the friendlies in a most friendly manner not willing to put up a full effort against their friends - and The Sea is full of their countrymen. The Sea in turn has been playing draws thus far and is a quality team which has all it would take to challenge Armenelos: so even if they played it in somewhat competitive manner for a while, it would be close. So which would be more probable than them going for it for a while and playing more or less evenly, and then satisfying themselves for a draw? Also: would they both qualify, they might meet again in a real competitive situation so neither would wish to reveal their hand at this point. So everything just yells a draw between the two teams.

So what does it help if the TTN then offers us the odds of 53.7% - 46.3% "in case it was a real game" - when it isn't a real game but one has to take into account all the aforementioned?

The AKM on the other hand doesn't waste your time with numbers concerning fictional games (a forthcoming tournament game between Armenelos and The Sea), but tries to give the reader the best tools to get her/himself ready when the real games start.

Originally Posted by TTN

But we guarantee it will be TTN that provides the most information, covering every single angle by using every possible stat we could possibly come up with.

The AKM has accepted that as a challenge.

Follow the AKM. The most thorough Ranking-list of the teams after two rounds of friendlies is going to be published yet today.